Iran Will Launch a Tet-Like Offensive

Should the United States (or Israel) Rebound from Defeat?

So, in essence, we have lost the war, since Iran de facto rules Iraq. In fact, Iran has us under the threat of a Tet-like offensive any time we (or Israel) attempt to rebound from defeat, by activating its thousands of operatives in Iraq against our troops, a la Tet.

We have now met reality: that force and power (the shock and awe stuff) only shock and awe us--and hardly affect the ability of old civilizations to fight back. Increasingly, all in that region are reverting back to Islam (including our unwilling protectorate: Iraq) and away from the progress they had made. The chief victim: women. For Islam, when used to resist a total war of subjugation, can hardly afford to be liberal. (It's nothing short of pathetic to witness hitherto Saudi-owned press in London, after going on the U.S. payroll, feature articles about the condition of women in the Arab world. As if these articles can stem a massive tidal wave back to the roots--to Islam--as the fastest way for a civilization to fight occupation and colonization. With Islamic Iran having won the day, that tidal wave is bound to become a tsumani. Unless, of course, the United States offers yet more concessions to Iran. In which case, Iran's take-over of Iraq would be complete. The other option: wage conventional war on Iran (shock and awe stuff), and face unconventional warfare, a la Israel in Lebanon--which, to remind the readers--ended with Israel's defeat.

The OPPW Iraq war resulted in yet another defeat: that of Israel. The American rapprochement with Islamic Iran, and the need to avoid more chaos, has made OPPW all but concede the Bomb project to Iran. (The Iranian Bomb is meant to balance Israel's extensive nuclear arsenal.) All of this after OPPW (and Republican strategists) had used the American Jewish support for Israel as a pillar for the war on Iraq--to garner as much public support as they could. (Arab-Americans and Muslim-Americans in the aftermath of September 11 had volunteered in large numbers to help out against terrorism. But the war on Iraq so befuddled them that they reverted to a state of apathy.) The Jewish right in Israel became excited and, for a while, it seemed that the Bush administration had made a significant dent in the Jewish community's historic support of the Democratic Party.

But now that American lives are in the balance--and the chances for the re-election of the President--OPPW has sent a message to Prime Minister Sharon: Here are some high-tech weapons (useless in the age of unconventional warfare); play with them--but, whatever you do, stay the hell away from affecting the welfare of our troops in Iraq.

SPC WARNING: OPPW personnel, blinded by ideology, should not think they can outsmart the Iranian Revolutionary Guard. In other words, they should beware of playing up an act, where what Israel does...Israel does, and we cannot control them. The killing of the Americans in Gaza was a message by the Revolutionary Guard that, as far as Iran is concerned, what Israel does is what America wants it to do; and even if that was not the case, the Iranian Revolutionary Guard will act as if it were.

Leonard Binder's book, edited in the early 1960's (1961 I believe), Politics in Lebanon should be good reading for the OPPW personnel, those at the Pentagon and those on the Pentagon's payroll, indirectly--the same ones who threatened to break up the Saudi Kingdom. Memory tells me that in the last chapter Professor Binder warned against direct American intervention in the Arab world; that better results were obtained with indirect intervention. And the right wing American Israel enthusiasts--made use of by OPPW and by Republican campaign strategists--would do well to read another book that my memory recalls vaguely--Amin Maalouf's The Crusades as Seen by the Arabs.