LEBANON: THE IDIOTS ARE BACK.

THIRD DRAFT

AN ASSASSINATION

On May 25, 2006, in Sidon in the south of Lebanon, a car bomb exploded as Mahmoud Muhammad al-Majzoub and his brother Nidal were leaving a building. Both died.

Mr. al-Majzoub, Palestinian born in Lebanon, was a liaison between Hizballah and the Palestinian Islamic Jihad.

Islamic Jihad pointed the finger at Israel. It promised retaliation deep inside that country.

Hizballah retaliated by heating up the Lebanese-Israeli border area on May 28. Of interest was the fact that the Israeli air force bombed one Palestinian military camp and one weapons' warehouse, also Palestinian, in Lebanon.


BACKGROUND

In 1975, the Lebanese Army’s intelligence service, the Deuxieme Bureau, was under American control, directly and through Jordan. These multi-cultural idiots devised a scheme to rein in the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO) on behalf of Israel. A part of that scheme entailed sowing chaos in those parts of Lebanon which were controlled by the PLO and its Lebanese Muslim and Druze allies. They exploded car bombs, which killed hundreds of civilians. The Deuxieme Bureau and its American and Jordanian idiots thought the wholesale murder of civilians would motivate the Muslims to request (beg for, really) the stationing of Lebanese army troops in their midst and to force the expulsion of the PLO guerrillas. There’s nothing like killing your family to want the killers to protect you.

It didn’t work. The PLO was equally capable at exploding its own car bombs in Christian Lebanon, killing civilians who were "protected" by the idiots. (The idiots didn’t really care; they never tried to protect anyone.)

Worse, repeated visits by the late Kamal Jumblatt to oil-and-cash-rich Libya led to a terrific flow of money into Lebanon. Using that money, Mr. Jumblatt and the PLO bought off the Muslim members of the Lebanese army. The army disintegrated, and the idiots lost control. Misery fell upon the Lebanese ever since.


IF THERE’S SMOKE...

Al-Manar Online, an Arab newspaper (looks Palestinian but seems to have a Hizballah slant) had carried an article about a visit in early May by an Israeli “security expert” (another idiot) to Lebanon. (The article did not include a date, making it timeless. I read the article around mid-May.) The Israeli idiot came in through the Beirut airport; he used a French passport. (The French, encircled by Empire, have too joined the ranks of the idiots.)

The al-Manar article went on to report that a Lebanese idiot met the Israeli at the Hariri-family-be-rich airport, and took him to the house of Samir Geagea, head of the Christian Lebanese Forces. Many among Mr. Geagea’s men had been trained in Israel and 6000 of them live there, unable to leave. The Israeli idiot and Mr. Geagea drove off to the Shouf, to meet with Mr. Waleed Jumblatt, a Druze leader, at his “palace.” Present at that meeting were Mr. Amin Gemayyel (Christian Phalanges), a U.S. embassy representative, and an advisor to Saad al-Hariri.

(SaudiPolitics is confident that Hizballah had monitored the Israeli idiot’s movements; it can't be otherwise. Hizballah is probably the “knowledgeable source” for al-Manar’s article. The odd thing is that Hizballah, knowing what it knew, had failed to thwart the assassination.)

As for Jumblatt, the Americans and the Saudis have assigned him the role of the acrid critic of Syria, the Palestinians in Lebanon, and Hizballah. Cargo. Connecting the dots, one wonders about a possible collusion between the American wing of the Saudi foreign policy establishment and Israel, shepherded along by the United States. Is Lebanon to pay the price for this folly, for this abject mediocrity?

Two days later, the Israeli security idiot left to France where he met with another idiot, Abdul Halim Khaddam. The former Syrian Deputy President, upon (probably) being handsomely cargo-ized by the Saudis (as a favor to the Americans), had defected a few months earlier. (That means the following: He pocketed lots of cargo and moved into yet another "palace" in Paris.) He is currently allied to the Syrian Sunni Muslim Brothers in an American-Saudi idiots-sponsored front.

(Yes, Virginia, the United States is sponsoring the Muslim Brothers–the very Osama bin Laden people!)


AT JUMBLATT’S “PALACE”: A BIT OF FICTION

What happened at the meeting between the Israeli idiot and his Lebanese counterparts at Jumblatt’s “palace”? SaudiPolitics wasn’t there, but it sure is glad to use fiction to re-create the scene, allowing for ample freedom in character portrayal and development.

The Israeli idiot, in retard-like Arabic, kicks off the meeting: “Isghraeel (he means Israel) will be starting a campaign of assassinations against the terrorist Hizballah and Palestinian terrorists in Lebanon. We’re giving you heads up. Act defensively. (Meaning stay home, in the center of the house, where there are the highest number of steel-reinforced concrete walls separating you from the outside world. Add sandbags to your hole.) We will of course be using our friends the non-terrorists in Lebanon to conduct these surgical operations against the terrorists.” He continues, looking at Jumblatt, “Of course, we expect your honor to activate the non-terrorist Druze of Syria to terrorize the terrorist regime of Bashar al-Asad.”

Coffee is offered, which the Israeli idiot, thinking it may be terrorist coffee, turns down. “Terrorist Hizballah,” he continues, “should react to the assassinations, which would give us an excuse to bomb Palestinian terrorist sites in Lebanon. We do this to help you in your campaign to disarm these Palestinian-Syrian terrorists by creating Shia public pressure on Hizballah to do just that–on the way to disarming terrorist Hizballah itself.”

The Israeli idiot becomes quite emotional, and nearly loses his breath. The American idiot takes over, showing off (too) his retard-like Arabic: “Needless to say, we will take care of our friends who help out. Two millions per assassination.”

Samir Geagea and Waleed Jumblatt interject, impatient, both wanting to make a point. Then Sameer, who had killed a fair number of Christians and Druze, allows Waleed who, using Syrian-Palestinian troops in Druze uniforms and his own Druze militiamen, had killed a fair number of Christians, to speak: “You’ll pay us for assassinations; but what about when one of us is assassinated. I don’t see you pay up.”

The American idiot is fast to respond. “No, no,” he protests. “ We will pay. One million for each loss of a leader. It’s already approved by the agency. We have developed a computer-assisted sliding scale compensation schedule which factors in the age, length of service, level of violence associated with the death, and so on, of the murdered or maimed freedom lover.”

Amin Gemayyel doesn’t say anything. He’s regretting having attended the meeting at all. But a bunch of cargo had arrived at his “palace” from the U.S. embassy, which swayed him. It’s only a meeting, he figured.

“What will you tell Abdel-Halim?” Asks Amin, to say something, no more.

“I will urge him to use the American-sponsored Muslim Brothers in Syria to terrorize the terrorist regime. Sooner or later, we will have our friend King Abdallah the Second of Jordan rule over Syria and Iraq; Najaf will be his, and the Lebanese Shias will have to honor him”

Um, thinks Gemayyel. I am dealing with idiots. I am an asset for American idiots.


PROGNOSIS

SaudiPolitics would not have given the al-Manar article much attention but for Mr. Majzoub’s assassination. The rumors about visits by Israeli idiots to Lebanon and meetings with the American-Israeli-Jordanian proxy idiots had been floating about for quite a while, as had rumors about Mr. Geagea meeting with Israeli agents when he had resided in France.

Sayyed Muhammad Hussein Fadlallah (Shia) had warned more than once (the last on or about May 7, 2006) that the United States had a plan to use Lebanon as a base against Syria and Iran. Obvious. The problem for the United States is that Lebanon has two cargo cults: The Hariri-led one which is paid off by the U.S. and Saudi Arabia, and the Hizballah-Amal-Palestinian refugees cargo cult, whose money comes from Iran, though I suspect that Amal receives money from Saudi Arabia and the U.S., too. (That clever Berri!)

It’s unlikely these two cargo cults would change cargo preferences any time soon.

The camp of the idiots is banking on one scenario: That Amal would break ranks with Hizballah. (The Saudi idiots, to assist the American idiots, had tried to persuade Berri to do just that–see previous SaudiPolitics article, “Arab Iraq No More.”) Recent clashes between Amal and Hizballah students at the Lebanese University may have been a (timid) precursor. But Iran is cash-rich now and can afford to fund Hizballah to the tune necessary to thwart defections by Hizballah commanders to Amal. Not to mention that Russia and Syria are alert about American and Israeli activities in Lebanon. Hence perhaps a controversial shipment to Lebanon by Syria on or about May 19. Syria (and Berri) insisted the shipment was made up of food. In contrast, the U.S.-Hariri cargo cult claimed that Syria was shipping weapons to the Palestinian refugees.

It probably was food, though it wouldn’t surprise me if Syria weren’t conducting its own brand of psychological warfare. All are now, having taken a lesson from our stellar and well-read Pentagon. Arming the Palestinians, after all, probably is a contingency plan of Hizballah and should proceed fast once the Iranian-Syrian alliance determines a need for it. (I wrote this before Israel’s raid on Palestinian camps.) In short, there’s no need for shipments. The American cargo cult headed by Saad Hariri made a scandal out the Syrian shipment probably to increase the amount of that cargo (i.e., dollars) to its members and keep the U.S. interested in Lebanon.


THE PROBLEM

Strategically, the room for maneuver for the U.S. is very tight. Its idiots-operatives (or operatives-the-idiots?) are spinning their wheels just to show that they’re doing something. Unless they are beyond the level of idiots and think they are in fact doing something. The U.S. strategic alliance with Israel closes off the minds (and options) of U.S. policy-makers. Especially the minds. To repeat a running theme of this newsletter:

(1) Though the United States is militarily/technologically superior, it lacks popular appeal due mainly to the following facts:

i. It is the sponsor of Israel’s expansion into Palestinian land;

ii. It has failed to produce a Palestinian state on all of 1967 lands; and

iii. It attacked an Arab country and dismantled it. As a consequence, for the foreseeable future, the Arab street and the Arab opinion-makers, even those on the U.S. payroll, should not trust the United States.

By adopting the racist and mediocre policy of the Israeli right wing (Summary:”Arabs are inferior creatures who only understand force; they should be our servants not our equals”), the United States has found itself increasingly relying of minorities here (Kurds, Druze), alleged representatives of majorities there (the Syrian Muslim Brothers.) But none of these groups can carry the day. These groups are seen as traitors since they had turned their back on the Palestinians and on the Arab identity of Iraq.

The Bush Administration will not be able to overcome its right wing neo-con mediocre limitations. A suave American Administration, for example, would fund the left in Israel to lead that country in the sane direction of helping out in the formation of a Palestinian state on all the 1967 lands, while assuaging Israeli protectorate envy. (SaudiPolitics was first to coin the concept of “protectorate envy” to describe the feeling of jealousy by one Empire protectorate (i.e., Israel) vis-a-vis other protectorates (e.g., Saudi Arabia) and upcoming protectorates (e.g., Palestine). The insignificant U.S. Department of State would do well to create yet more employment in an office named “Protectorate Therapy Division (USPTD), ” where Israel would be First Patient.)

For the American idiots to stand a chance, the United States would have to come to terms with some basic facts:

(1) That the Palestinian national movement is here to stay, and will get stronger and will go deep underground–all over the Arab world--the longer Israel and the United States repress it; and

(2) that no Palestinian leader will succeed if she compromises over an inch of Palestinian land, wall or no wall, unilateral withdrawals or no withdrawals.

In Lebanon, the Palestinian national movement probably can muster thousands of fighters to assure its survival. These fighters have proven themselves. Their motivation is rock solid. Can Lebanon afford to see them out and about, allied to local groups? No, it can’t. Assassinating the leaders of Hamas and Islamic Jihad is truly meaningless. It doesn’t scare anyone. Again, this is a national movement, and martyrdom is welcome by nearly all. The Palestinians, when they fight, gain the respect of all Arabs and Muslims, at levels (I suspect) that include senior decision-makers, even among those who are on the American payroll.

That Amal might split away from Hizballah would in no way establish the U.S. in Lebanon. The Lebanese army is mostly Shia and money could flow to it as Libyan money did in the late 1970s. An intra-Shia civil war, unlikely, would in no way establish the U.S. in Lebanon. You figure it.


THE SAUDIS: DOES LEBANON REALLY MATTER?

Saudi Arabia, in particular King Abdallah and Crown Prince Sultan, should be weary of seeing Lebanon sink into a civil war. In other words, the two should be alert to runaway Saudi intelligence forging its own idiotic ways in Lebanon, following those of the equally idiotic American. A civil war in Lebanon would create yet another Iraq.

It’s not enough that the Saudi Ambassador to Washington on or about May 23 should tell an Israeli reporter that the 2002 King (then Crown Prince) Abdallah’s peace initiative still was valid. More is needed.

Saudi Arabia should make it clear to its many assets in Lebanon (all those on its payroll) that a civil war in Lebanon, including intra-Shia, is not an option. Nor is a war of assassinations, which could de-stabilize a precarious government and turn Lebanon into yet another American failure a la Iraq and Afghanistan. Some government and stalemate are far better than no government and chaos.

To recall: Though the idiots may not intend to see the country slip into civil war, they can lose control as they did in the late 1970s. Lebanon should not be a laboratory for their sadistic and sophomoric strategies. Only Saudi Arabia can protect Lebanon by activating its assets there to ward off idiotic schemes.

Returning the Joulan, sponsoring a Palestinian state on all of the 1967 lands, and paying reparations to the refugees AND TO LEBANON (which has suffered the most from Israel’s wars against the Palestinians ) should be basic principles of Saudi foreign policy. Skillful advocacy of these principles should gain the Saudi leadership legitimacy at home (think Saudi public,) in the gulf (think Iranian Islamic popularity,) and in the Arab and Islamic world.

(Too, think principles.)