FLASHBACK: LEBANON, MARCH 6, 2006

The following was posted on March 6, 2006

ARAB IRAQ NO MORE: NOTES ON SAUDI ARABIA, EGYPT, AND LEBANON

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LEBANON: GOD BLESS THE STALEMATE

In Lebanon, they are flattered that Empire is paying attention to them, at last. But so were the Iraqis at first. See what happened.

The American proxies in Lebanon are playing a dangerous game. They don’t seem to understand that they are in a stalemate. And that they should be thankful for the stalemate. The alternative would be a civil war where most of the weapons are held by the proxies of Iran and Syria. The Lebanese army? It’s mostly Shia. And neither Empire nor the Europeans have the fighting troops to dispatch to Lebanon.

All really need a lesson in history: That much of Lebanon’s recent misery has been (and is) related to Syria’s nearly-forty-year-long ceaseless quest to regain the Joulan. What makes anyone think that these efforts would cease, with sanctions or whatever else? Do you really think that a Sunni state in Syria would line up with Saudi Arabia and not with the Muslim Brothers and Iran? Hello!

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Saad Hariri doesn’t have the troops... He has the money; but so does Iran; so does Russia. His dad’s biggest mistake was his failure to appreciate that Syria would not let go of Lebanon without assuring the return of the Joulan. The Americans and the French led Rafiq on. Geniuses.