SAUDI ARABIA , SUBMISSIVE, ENTRAPS IRAN.

newsuperimproved fourth roughdraft

"This is a joke, for no Saudi [citizen] can meet with an Israeli, let alone a [Saudi] official."

SAUDI CROWN PRINCE SULTAN. (10/13/06, Al-Hayat Online my translation)

IMPORTANT UPDATE:

I'v had this eureka moment, as I was discussing the subject with a friend. Submissive, Saudi Arabia (and the other Gulf countries) are colluding with Israel, under the supervision of the harmful idiots, in setting up a trap for Iran--to have the Islamic Republic commit something spectacular.

By setting up a trap for Iran, the Israelis (along with our harmful idiots and the rich Gulf protectorates) hope to instigate it to commit that one act which would bring one million U.S. troops to the region to have a full-scale war with Israel's competitor--Iran. Something that would force Congress to convene and issue a Gulf of Tonkin Resolution.

Prior to meeting the friend, I had been checking out an Iranian newspaper. In one section which usually is reserved to Iranian intelligence messages to the world, the Iranians referred to a report in an Israeli paper about the head of Israel's foreign intelligence service having received so many gifts from Gulf leaders. And this is where the eureka moment swept me off my chair. The Israelis are flooding their newspapers with news that are terrifically offensive to the Iranians-- about meeting with Saudi princes (which, in all likelihood, they have--see below about the statements on British television of a person known to be close to King Abdallah) and about gifts by Gulf leaders to Israeli officials--to instigate the Iranians to do that one act that would bring into the region one million-plus U.S. troops to defeat once and for all Israel's rival.

In other words, the war of attrition against the U.S. in Iraq, slow but terrifically effective, puts Iran in the winning camp, since--for now--it really owns the Arab Shiites and the Arab Sunnis. The Israelis (and our harmful idiots) are hoping to trap Iran into a full-scale American-Iranian war. But they couldn't achieve that goal without first inflaming the feelings in Congress against Iran, to force our uncritical Congress to call for war against that country. For that, the Israelis and the others would need an Iranian act--for example, a large-scale operation that kills 200 U.S. troops, not the three here, four there-- to shock the American public and Congress into dispatching the million U.S. soldiers.

Does the little item in the Iranian paper, in the space reserved to messages from Iranian intelligence to the world, mean that the Iranians are biting? I don't know. I doubt that they would fall for something that silly. But one never knows.

It seems to me that the Israelis and their Saudi and Gulf pets are treating the Iranians as simpletons. The feeling here--and I am talking to people these days and asking them--is that the Jewish Right and the Israelis already have gotten us into one quagmire. And that it would take such a heavy-duty act by the Iranians to instigate a major U.S. mobilzation towards the Middle East.

The fear that sends chills up my spine is that our troops would now have to watch their back twice as much, lest a spectacular act against them is committed not by the Iraqi resistance, but by intelligence operatives (Arabs working for Israel and its Arab governments), meant to look as if it were committed by the Iranians.

As it is, our troops are living in hell. The last thing they need is a bunch of useless protectorates ganging up to murder some of them to reel us into a war with Iran--and yet another, and much bloodier, quagmire.


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"It's truly a dark day for Arabs and Muslims--that the American-Israeli alliance has failed in Iraq, yet succeeded superbly in cowing the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and making it fully submissive. One hundred percent."

EXCERPT.


...AND: PRESSING NABIH BERRI TO IGNITE AN INTRA-SHIITE CIVIL WAR.

1. SAUDI ARABIA UNDER THE BOOT OF THE AMERICAN JEWISH RIGHT

The Jewish Right played the most prominent role in leading the United States to its first defeat in the twenty-first century, and into a quagmire. But it scored a huge victory for Israel. It has grabbed for it the biggest prize of them all: Saudi Arabia.

Taking advantage of the fact that a Saudi politician in exile had ordered the September 11 terror attacks, the Jewish Right had waged a vicious public campaign against the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. Its operatives succeeded in floating the idea of breaking up the Kingdom into various states, and having the Pentagon give the idea respectability.

The leaders of the Saudi royal family as a consequence ran scared.

The Jewish Right has been thoroughly defeated and humiliated in Iraq. But the Saudis always are behind. They’re operating under the belief that the Jewish Right controls their fate in the United States. It doesn’t:

--Not when dozens of U.S. troops are falling (needlessly) in Iraq every month, thanks in large part to the Jewish Right.

--Not when the Iraq war’s real cost has neared 1.6 trillion dollars.

–-Not when the names of the Jewish Right’s luminaries bring nausea to the many among the American elite–-including conservative Republicans.

--Not when Hezbollah has whipped the Israeli army’s ass for the second time running.

--Not when China and Russia have all but taken over the Iranian and Syrian markets, and are major strategic players in the region.

--Not when China has all but taken over in the Sudan.

--Not when the West lacks the troops and will never have them, wishful thinking aside. An aging Europe and a reluctant United States who has an eye-and-a-half on Asia.

--Not when a Democrat (most likely) or a Republican from the realist school in foreign policy (less likely, though way more likely than a politician from the Christian Right) is knocking at the door of the White House and should come in with an agenda to get the hell out of Iraq.

(An agreement between Republicans and Democrats about a protocol for Iraq, to withdraw, will mean little. I suspect that the country will continue to tire out and the public will place yet more pressure on policy makers to get out. Our tenure in Iraq is untenable whichever way one looks at it, more troops or less. The Democrats are making a mistake, sitting with the Republican old guard--brought over to rescue the little ones--to hammer out a protocol. The defeat in Iraq is a defeat for the populist Republican right wing, first and foremost. The Democrats should be weary of sharing in that defeat. But sharing they are.)

–-Not when Turkey is and will forever be busy with the Kurds.

--Not when the Israelis continue to expand settlements and humiliate the Palestinian Arabs, and dodge the formation of a viable Palestinian state.

–-Not when, as a consequence, Iran owns the Arab Street.

--Not when politicians in the United States manipulate the American Jewish community, and the political entrepreneurs of this community spin the politicians, with a net result that nothing politically good will ever ever EVER come out from this country regarding a Middle East settlement. (So: Ignore all statements to the contrary.)

--Not when Israeli politicians hold dear the cargo of the strategic alliance with the United States, which would require their country to remain a militaristic state to secure this cargo, albeit with nothing to do and nowhere to go.

--Not when all astute observers know that Israel is useless strategically when it comes to Iran, since a substantial distance separates the two. That war from the air has proven repeatedly to be of very limited use, unless your goal is to execute criminal collective punishment, massacres, the pre-meditated murder of 1200 civilians, a Sabra and Shatila from the air.

(Not that the leaders of the Saudi royal family care–-the dead and maimed were mostly Arab Shiites after all! I’m saying “leaders” because I know there are Arab patriots and smart people among the royal family, and there are patsies. Most of the leaders are in the camp of the patsies.)

--Not when Iran has very (very, very, very. VERY) likely perfected plans to disintegrate a good part of its conventional forces into guerrilla groups and spread them into Iraq, Kuwait, the Kingdom, and other places...when attacked by either Israel (don’t make me laugh) or the United States (don’t make me cry.) Iran should not be expected to do this unless attacked in a major fashion, as by a mobilized U.S.

(I hate to have to think for the Pentagon; they make $500 billion and I make ZERO! Yet, they had not planned for the IEDs in Iraq, which had kicked Israel’s ass in Lebanon in the 1980s and 1990s. )

-- Not when any association with a militaristic anti-Palestinian Israel for Arab governments mean total loss of any public support, which means that the Arab public will remain positively disposed to fighting the United States and mistrusting their governments--nothing new, only more not less mistrust.

–Not when...

I can go on with the list for quite a long time.

Strategically, the Saudis, cowed by and submissive to the Jewish Right, are barking up the wrong tree. The Jewish Right doesn’t control their fate in the United States, and could not have any impact on their alliance to the U.S. To be sure, from a balance of power perspective, and economically, the U.S. is mandated to defend the Kingdom, come what may. The Jewish Right’s stint with power came because of the unusual events of September 11, and the magnitude of these. Otherwise, it would’ve gone on printing anti-Saudi books, where it would buy these through dummy outfits, to make it look like someone actually was reading these diatribes.

Why am I addressing this issue?

2. WAKE UP YA (Arabic for “O”) ABDEL-BARI

Because the Arab press (and Israeli) is rife with news and rumors about Israeli Prime Minister Olmert having met “secretly” with one (or more) important member(s) of the Saudi royal family in Jordan. And there’s confusion about the meaning of this not-so-secret meeting.

Why the leak, which first appeared in the Israeli press? Or was it a leak? Was it planned?

Abdel Bari Atwan in al-Quds al-Arabi (online--10/7/06) believes the leak was not. That the spread of the news to the press was intentional. He believes that the Saudis wanted to make it known that they were allied to the Israelis, to prepare for the upcoming confrontation with Iran.

Using the alleged words of the Saudi prince who had met Olmert, not Abdel-Bari’s: To defeat Iran as the Saudis had (through the Israelis) defeated Nasser, to defeat Iran as Saudi Arabia haad defeated Saddam Hussein, thanks to Israel using its influence in Washington D.C. to persuade the United States to dispatch its army to Iraq;

...and had --this is my version--(by Saudi Arabia paying off the Israelis) bombed Lebanon a la Nazis, mowing down the civilians from the air (which defeated no one but the Israelis, though it left immense misery behind and hundreds of thousands of cluster bombs which look like toys to children.)

The key here is the appearance on a British television program, along with Abdel-Bari Atwan, of a person who Mr. Atwan said was close to King Abdallah. This person, wrote Mr. Atwan, quoted the Saudi prince who met with Mr. Olmert as saying that the Kingdom and Israel were "on the same page." That person, whatever his extra associations, being close to Saudi king Abdallah, would not have made this statement without intending it to be purposeful. Hence Saudi collusion in the larger scheme against Iran.

What is the larger scheme?

3. THE LARGER SCEHME: TO INSTIGATE A MISTAKE BY IRAN

If you’ve been reading this newsletter, you would’ve read the issue which addressed a seemingly odd phenomenon where Masoud Barazani, the “President” of Iraqi Kurdistan, at the Kuwait airport, had declared that Kurdistan would like to have an Israeli consulate or two. My interpretation then was that the Kuwaiti intelligence service, controlled fully by the harmful idiots, had put up Masoud to that. Its hope: to instigate Iran into committing that act the harmful idiots were praying for which would enable the harmful idiots to push our American politicians to enact the draft and ship a million plus troops to the region.

The Saudis are no different. The harmful idiots and the American Jewish Right (via the harmful idiots and, more directly, probably via “consultants” who are Israeli intelligence) control the Saudi intelligence services, with or without the knowledge of King Abdallah.

Hence the submissiveness.

It's truly a dark day for Arabs and Muslims--that the American-Israeli alliance has failed in Iraq, yet succeeded superbly in cowing the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and making it fully submisive. One hundred percent.

4. SETTING UP A TRAP FOR IRAN TO SECURE THE DRAFT

Which means that the Israeli “leak” about the meeting, where the harmful idiots and the Israelis probably used Prince Bandar bin Sultan as the stooge, was a trap set up for Iran.

Would the Islamic Republic react against the Kingdom? Would it do that wished-for act (such as taking over territory, or dispatching a missile or two against Abqaiq) that would enable the harmful idiots to push U.S. politicians to enact the draft? That would turn the Arab Street against it?

(I’ve gone over this already in earlier issues: No one is going to fall for the April Glaspie trick, she herself likely having been duped by the harmful idiots, who thought--and still think–they can outsmart others, while the others are continually outsmarting them.)


5. THE DRAFT: A FANCIFUL AND ASININE IDEA?

The draft is a fanciful wish. Why then pursue it? Oh well, do remember that we’re dealing with harmful idiots, who are both harmful and idiot–and hugely desperate. They are playing domestic politics, a very dangerous occurrence for American democracy. How so? They are manipulating a foreign situation over which they have some control, to entrap Iran, to create a condition where the U.S. Congress has no choice but to enact the draft.

Anyway, it would take a true and deep recession in the country to allow for the draft; though, miscalculating yet again, the reaction to a deep recession could be urban riots and unsettling political turbulence, and not the draft. That would require the troops to stay home to contain the violence. Too, the country would go deeper into bankruptcy.

6. WHAT’S REALLY UP?

Has Abdel Bari Atwan not been reading this newsletter?

--Has he not read that the arms contracts with BAE Systems could very well have channeled Saudi money to Israel–to pay it for the Nazi-like assault on Lebanon’s Arab civilian population?

--That it mattered little for the Saudi decision-makers since the dead and the maimed were mostly Arab Shiites, including many Shiite children?

--That the wish behind destroying Lebanon was to flood it with NATO troops, under the guise of UNIFIL, and disarm Hezbollah?

--That the BAE Systems money was probably the Saudi payoff to the Israelis to (in effect) spread cluster bombs all over the south and kill Arab Shiite and Christian children, and maybe even some Arab Sunni?

--That the next step in Lebanon would be for Hezbollah and the Palestinian fasael to clash with NATO troops. (France and Germany are taking political protective measures which may or may not work.)

--That, eventually, Hezbollah and the fasael could go so far as to arm all the willing Palestinians in response to any attempt to disarm Hezbollah without demilitarizing northern Israel, and ceasing Israeli violations of Lebanon's air space?

--So that the harmful idiots and the Syrians would get Lebanon once again into a full-scale civil war?


7. YA NABIH, INTIBIH!*

This calls on Nabih Berri to be extremely cautious and extremely alert: The people who want him to spill Arab Shiite blood are the same who would spill Arab Shiite blood without a hint of remorse, and have done that only a couple of months ago. (Berri is in Saudi Arabia and should be leaving it on Monday.)

The Lebanon civil war the harmful idiots are working and paying for is one of the most confused and criminally neurotic foreign policy objectives I’ve ever seen. It’s borne out of abject desperateness in Iraq, painful defeat in Lebanon, and political inability to do the right thing. All of this bloodshed to be paid for by the Lebanese.

Will Nabih break ranks in Lebanon? He should know, shouldn't he, that a political stalemate beats a civil war any day, intra-Shiite, or other. Besides, Mr. Berri could not win that civil war, anyway. Nor could the NATO troops.

My conclusion: the intra-Shiite civil war would be bloodshed for nothing, just to please the harmful idiots, the Jewish Right and its new pet, Saudi Arabia.

8. REPARATIONS FOR LEBANON.

If the American-Israeli alliance wants total dominance, it’s not going to get it. The Middle East has cargo flowing to it from all directions. But it can hope for acceptance–and that can be done by compensating Lebanon the minimum 500 billion euros this alliance and Europe (especially Germany and Britain) owe it for the many wars waged on its territory against the displaced Palestinians.

To gain acceptance, they should help in the creation of a viable Palestinian state on all pre-1967 territory, and have the Palestinians negotiate for it, not the Saudis, since these are now under the Jewish Right's boot. They should withdraw form all of the Joulan to Syria and station U.N. troops there; they should pay reparations to the Palestinian refugees for loss of home, for their misery for that loss, and for their wholesale slaughter by the Israelis (e.g., Sabra and Shatila.)

Mr. Berri should be mindful that the $20 million offered, the $100 million...is pittance. The Saudi/American proxy in Lebanon is worth $15 to 17 billion, I hear, while Lebanon is in debt to the tune of $37 billion–-what with all this can't-become-a-billionaire-without-paid-for-by-government-via-borrowing-construction-and- government-contracts and ....(Some day I’ll review the Nasserite Najah Wakim’s writings on the subject who I believe has documented the theft of Lebanon’s public purse.) A state within a state, truly. Correct this: That one family is the Lebanese state. It has turned the Lebanese into beggars in their own country. It recently dispatched the police to shoot and kill the poor who took over government-owned land to build their shacks, yet it had appropriated Lebanon’s public purse and made it its own and drove the country into debt with outrageous interest paid to banks owned by themselves--among other corrupt practices.

Steal when poor, and the Lebanese police murders your children. Steal when rich, and the United States showers you with political and diplomatic support.

Lebanon is owed 500 billion euros, at a minimum. All else offered is pittance, bread crumbs thrown to the ground for the hungry slaves to gather.

* The very name “Nabih” means “alert.” Intibih is of the same root, meaning “Be alert”