STALEMATE:
Updated draft
COMPARING THE THINKING OF THE IRAQI RESISTANCE TO THAT OF...WAIT A MOMENT: OF THE HARMFUL IDIOTS? ARE THESE CAPABLE OF THINKING? Of course they are. Aren’t fruit flies? DO THE HARMFUL IDIOTS CAUSE HARM? BY WAY OF AN ANSWER: IS CREATING ORPHANS BY THE TENS OF THOUSANDS HARMFUL?
D.C. Notes: Drove to Potomac, Maryland, to Didi’s birthday party, the daughter of friends. When in Potomac, I try to focus on the road, fully. The McMansions insult my myopic eyes. Wonder what architects built these eyesores? Which, by the way, I could never afford. Pleased?
PART ONE
Thani Mu7awalah--second rough draft
THE TRAIN THAT COULD
They’re trying and trying hard.
The harmful idiots are trying to co-opt the Arab Sunni of Iraq. The Arab Gulf leaders had so instructed Mr. Cheney on his show-of-force tour of the oil-'n-gas protectorates, last May. But, as with their favorite protectorate, the harmful idiots almost always get the point too late. If at all. They shoot themselves in the foot, then do it again and again in lame and hazardous attempts to fix the self-inflicted damage.
Now they’re going full-steam after the very generation they liberated. A young Islamist Revolution, Sunni, had unleashed thanks to the invasion. It’s called the Islamic State in Iraq (ISI). Qaeda or not--it’s Iraqi. This revolution is youthful; it’s vibrant; It’s cunning; and its young members think nothing of death. The harmful idiots have offered them an opportunity, historic, first to liberate their country and, later, to fight for a formula for national unity and, later still, to fight yet again to regain the north.
In their divide-and-rule attempts to co-opt the Arab Sunni, minus the young revolutionaries, the harmful idiots face insurmountable hurdles.
A FEDERAL AND CONSOCIATIONAL IRAQ–NOT
For one, in Iraq, the Arabs–Sunni and Shia–would never accept to live under a consociational government in a divided country ("federal system."). Call it nationalism; call it the search for a sense of togetherness; call it a seach for common purpose. The Hakims (the ailing Abdel Aziz or his son Ammar) should pursue such to their own peril. Should they fail to dismiss the invader’s ideas (shared by Iran) about the future form of their government, they should expect to be dragged alive through the streets of Iraqi towns and cities. (Think Nuri es-Said.) They should humor Iran about federalism; but such should be temporary. Sooner or later, the pull of a fully united Iraq, should become the unavoidable and urgent call of the day, Iran or no Iran, occupier or no occupier. (Besides, a federal Iraq should translate into a de facto Shia state in the south. Good luck, Kuwait.)
No Iraqi Arab therefore should be expected to accept but total and unquestionable control by one central government over the north. Even Iran would risk compromising its alliance to the Iraqi Shia should it fail to appreciate the yearn for a strong central and united government. Islamic should be fine. Allied to Iran–that would depend on the tactics of the harmful idiots, their exorbitantly rich, spoiled, and privileged Gulf rulers, and Persian chauvinism. But non-consociational government and certainly non-federal. This quest should go through difficult and bloody stages. But have no doubt about the end result.
COUNTER-INSURGENCY, SECTS, AND THE YEARNING FOR NON-SECT
The harmful idiots think in sterile sectarian terms. Their fruit fly minds need clean and clear dividing lines, and sects lend themselves to that. The harmful idiots are mechanical in their thinking. In their world, there’s no ideology, no nationalism. They’re the product of an imperial machine that prints money and feeds them lots of it. So their world is devoid of struggles. They have jobs. That’s what matters.
Consider their counter-insurgency theories. What’s that: clear, hold...blah blah blah. What idiotic minds come up with such simplistic, asinine, and moronic stuff? Don't they realize that the revolution in Iraq is way bigger than a run-of-the-mill insurgency? Let’s go after the makers of the IED s and EFPs and we shall stabilize the situation, so we can retreat to our silly billy lily nilly pads. Need I repeat that these tactics reflect illusion and wishful thinking? They’re nothing more than the thoughts of Israeli-inspired reactionary forces trying to stem the march of history. It recalls to me the time when, researching my dissertation, I heard higher-ups in the Lebanese Forces, trained in Israel, mouth theories about how they were going to push the Druze out of the Shouf Moutains in Lebanon. (The Shouf had been spared the ravages of the Lebanese civil war until the Lebanese Forces, trained by the Israelis, applied the lessons of their mentors in that region of Lebanon.)
Instead, the Druze leader Walid Jumblatt, using Syrian and Palestinian troops (beholden to Syria), pushed the native Christians out of the Shouf. And these had nothing to do with Israel or its agents in Lebanon.
The harmful idiots can’t seem to comprehend (surprise!) that their divide-and-rule sectarian approach in Iraq ignores the basic fact that a society divided by sect should yearn to overcome that division. To do so, this society should seek an ideology that all but erases the source of its weakness: sectarianism. That was what the Baath had done, imperfect though it had been. Pan-Arabism was all-inclusive, though it left the Kurds out, somewhat. (They just didn’t want to come in.) Pan-Islamism therefore could be the remedy the doctor had ordered. And if the Kurds refuse to join in, all the better. Their refusal should give the ideology the elan it’d need by imbuing it with yet another sense of purpose: reclaiming the north.
The harmful idiots are building a puppet state which tools of enforcement are mostly under the idiots’ control. When all’s said and done, the harmful idiots and their Iraqi ancillary forces are nothing more than another militia, since they can’t pretend to have any legitimacy, United Nations or no United Nations. Never forget: to the Street, they’re Israel’s allies. A no no. A potent weapon of mobilization of the Street. Ask Iranian President Ahmadi-Nejad, who's perfeted the art of that mobilization. (A recent speech was nothing short of masterful in the way it linked issues dear to the Street.) When the harmful idiots should have exhausted our troops and their capabilities, drained them and their machinery, they should start pulling out. At the first sign of a pull-out the young revolutionaries–Sadrists and ISI-sts (Islamic State in Iraq) and others–should go at it. Seemingly never-ending wars should erupt, but ones that eventually should end with an Islamic state, pan-Islamic, not beholden to sect.
PRINCES AND SHEIKS, OIL-'N-GAS
The rulers of the Gulf oil-'n-gas protectorates know this. They know that once the harmful idiots order the withdrawal of the troops, Iraq would turn pan-Islamic, sooner-or-later. They need U.S. troops in Iraq as their mercenaries--the armed preservers of their privileges. Should oil money not be as bountiful as it is currently, their own people could very well respond with open arms to the pan-Islamic state in Iraq. What with the high birth rate in these Gulf countries, a generation of young ones should be looking to Iraq for inspiration.
The rulers of these countries are worry-free. They own a virtual financial empire overseas. Think kings, princes, and shieks with tens of billions of dollars each in globally-invested wealth. Oil-'n-gas has made them sinfully rich, without having to do any real work for it. So, in essence, they can buy up any country and settle there. They can also buy up the assured presence of U.S. troops in Iraq.
But the harmful idiots will want the oil-'n-gas leaders to stick around. These rulers are the harmful idiots’ contacts. The harmful idiots can’t seem to know how to open up to the revolutionary generations, saddled as they are by their strategic alliance to a reactionary and colonial Israel and by a domestic right wing militaristic establishment which remains powerful, even after defeat. (Think jobs.) The harmful idiots only know how to kill the young revolutionaries and their dreams. They don’t know how to open up to them. Goes against the grain.
IDEOLOGY: HOW IMPORTANT?
Staying in Iraq fires up the revolution. And it hardly provides an alternative ideology to nationalism. What ideology it provides is all about security. And that can be pierced relatively easily by suicide bombings, IEDs, EFPs, bombings of religious symbols, assassinations, torture and killing of opponents and innocents. Pan-Islamism, in contrast, offers the promise of unity and nationalistic pride. Pan-Arabism, a possible competitor to pan-Islamism, is dead. The harmful idiots, the Israelis, the Saudis, and the kiss-ass Uncle Toms of Egypt and Jordan had coalesced against it and murdered it.
Currently, the chief candidate to push along a pan-Arab ideology is Saudi Arabia, if only because it has the resources and its people speak Arabic. (Huh?) Yemen could do it, but it lacks the resources. But Saudi Arabia is a lost cause. Its Arab nationalist King is old. And his planned successor, Prince (Bank) Sultan...Well, there’s no money in pan-Arabism. And no lucrative contracts.
Besides, pan-Arabism threatens Israel. And anything that threatens the apple of America’s eye, even remotely and quite theoretically, is not to be tried by any Arab protectorate, including the Saudi. Don’t you ever forget that the harmful idiots can unleash campaign afer campaign to reveal the corruption of the princes should these ride the pan-Arab nationalist bus. These campaigns would suffocate the princes, not so much at home, but in any country that matters, where the princes might want to travel and settle. So, in essence, the harmful idiots have those princes by the balls.
To sum up: forget pan-Arabism albeit it being the most effective ideology to neutralize pan-Islamism.
(Part II to follow. May be)
