WHEN THE CHICKENS WILL COME HOME TO ROOST

ON THE BUTTRESSING OF SECT AND TRIBE BY THE HARMFUL IDIOTS AND THE SAUDI RULING ELITE. U P D A T E D.

second (updated)draft.

REVVING THE TRIBES: THE MARK OF COLONIALISM

So the harmful idiots, with help from the Saudi and Jordanian ruling elite, to end Arab Sunni resistance, revived the Sunni tribes of Iraq. We’ve now reached a stage where the harmful idiots and their Saudis and Jordanians have so succeeded at reviving these that the harmful idiots are considering using these (the revived tribes) as third party custodians for Arab Sunni independence fighters who have been stewing in the occupiers’ jails.

BUREAUCRATIC POLITICS: THE PENTAGON V. THE CIA. NOT REALLY.

It looks like there possibly is a bureaucratic rift in addressing the next phase in Iraq. Al-Malaf, the propaganda sheet of Jordanian intelligence – and, by historic extension, the CIA – is campaigning like there’s no tomorrow to convince the harmful idiots, through the Arabic-reading public, not to close Camp Ahsraf, the camp of the Mujaheedeen Khalq, the Iranian dissident group. The idea has been to give jurisdiction over this camp to the Dawa/Badr Shia government. Which already is on record saying it’ll close it down. Jordanian intelligence (AKA, the CIA) doesn’t want that camp closed since it sees the Mujaheedeen Khalq as a useful tool in the long-term money-making plan to war with Iran. (Jordan is resource-poor.) In other words, on this issue, the CIA stands opposed to the Shia Badr/Dawa state.

In contrast, the other harmful idiots, the ones from the Defense Department, continue to work along with that state with no hesitation, including not opposing its decision to close Camp Ashraf. The Pentagon harmful idiots continue to stage operations with the Iraqi army against opponents of the Badr/Dawa Shia state. Is the Defense Department buttressing the Badr/Dawa Shia state or is that Department weaving a ruse? Most recently, for instance, harmful idiot colonialist troops, with Iraqi ancillaries in tow, raided the house of a Shia ayatollah – Baghdadi – who is hiding in Damascus, likely because that ayatollah is competition to Sistani, the spiritual father of the Badr/Dawa state . (Baghdadi, too, likely is a significant player in the Iraqi opposition to the occupation, many of whose members work out of Syria.) The Pentagon harmful idiots probably are drooling at the highly possible fact that Sistani has given his money (Shia holy places’ money) to Saad al-Hariri to “invest” for him. (“Invest” means that the Saudis would add money to Sistani’s coffer regardless of the market’s ups and downs. They’ve bought him out.) That should secure yet more “counter-insurgency” peace until such time as the colonialist ruse can be brought to fruition.

The colonialist ruse: the harmful idiots from Defense likely think that they own those units within the Iraqi army which are effective -- the ones which I believe likely will end up in San Diego, opening and running liquor stores. In other words, the ruse of the harmful idiots from Defense is to fight along the Badr/Dawa Shia state until such time as these harmful idiots can unleash the Iraqi troops they control on that state -- stage a coup d’etat against that state. On or about October 18, the political advisor to the head of SCIRI (now: Higher Islamic Council in Iraq) , Mohsen al-Hakim, said he expected a coup d’etat in Iraq. He hasn’t been alone in pointing to this possibility. Adil Abdel-Mahdi (Deputy President), Ahmad al-Jarabi (greed-driven shyster extra-ordinaire, asset of the harmful idiots and the “neocons,” and head of the so-called Iraqi National Congress), and Masoud “the happy” Barazani, had all so stated in the past. (“the happy” because one Arab news weekly recently said that around $3 billion had been transferred from Lebanese and Gulf banks to Kurdish. Payoff by the harmful idiots and the Saudi ruling elite for Kurdish compliance with the ruse and for bases?) The ruse requires that the harmful idiots at Defense play along the Badr/Dawa Shia state, including not opposing the elimination of Camp Ashraf, until such time as the harmful idiots are ready for the coup. No need to irk the Iranians unnecessarily or prematurely. Too, better wait for the provincial elections which could atomize (that’s the expectation) the Shias and make the Shia camp more malleable.

The Shias in power therefore would need to consolidate their ranks to withstand the harmdul idiots' ruse. Their options are limited. They should have no choice but to:

-- Unite solidly against the harmful idiots. This would mean that they would have to join ranks with Moqtada as-Sadr. This would be difficult on their egos since they would have to concede leadership to him.

-- Re-ignite the civil war with the Sunnis. Nearly impossible. The dynamics already have changed. They now are the Iraqi government. Their status would stand in the way.

-- Ignite a civil war with the Kurds. But the Pesh Mergas would kick their ass, including the new Iraqi army's.

These Shias (the ones currently in power) are running out of time, paralysed by their status as double-agents(agents for Iran and the harmful idiots.) The harmful idiots are aware of this and are using it to further their ruse. They could therefore be on point: the Shias could end up fighting each other and therefore become even more paralyzed, paving the way for the coup.

So the harmful idiots from the CIA and the Saudi ruling elite can revive the tribes while the harmful idiots from Defense can plan for the coup d’etat. All in all: keep that oil-rich piece of real estate -- and neighbor of the Islamic Republic, to boot -- divided into tribes and sects. Keep it so until such time that we can complete the training and equipping of the armed forces and imbue them with good old Third World elitism and with enough of a distinct corporate spirit. With that -- elitism and distinct corporate spirit -- we and the Saudi ruling elite can move to cull that army away from the tribes and sects we so endeavored to revive and buttress. We’ll use the new Iraqi army to stage a coup and allow us to stay in Iraq as we have stayed in South Korea and Vietnam. And as the French had stayed in Algeria. And the Israelis in Palestine. And the Italians in Libya.

Our “Gulf allies” will then be so happy for us -- really for themselves. As to the Kurds -- the Saudis and other Gulf “Arab Sunni” ruling elite will continue to sedate them with oil surplus money, transferring it in the billions to Kurdish leaders through Kurdish banks. To compensate them for Kirkuk, temporarily, until further notice. The Arab poor should watch with disbelief and sheer anger. Nationalist/Islamist opposition groups should have a field day in recruitment as a result.

SHIA TRIBES, TOO

The revival of the tribes is for real. We recently learned that their power has so peaked that even Dawa and SCIRI are expected to fight it out (with weapons) as they compete for the Shia tribes’ allegiance and the votes these can produce. So the tribe bug has bitten the Arab Shia community. Iran will have quite a task keeping the peace within its Shia realm, so successful were/are the colonialists at dividing it as they had divided the Sunni Arabs.

A note of caution is in order (I don’t know why I bother) to the nouveau colonialists: based on the past and on the fact that Iran is there while the harmful idiots come from 6000 miles away, no victory in Iraq is but chimeric and episodic. In the end, Iraqi nationalism (Shia-led, this time) should win out. Have no doubt about it. It’s a matter of time. Extending the American experience in Iraq, using the oil surplus of Saudi Arabia and the Gulf countries, should only delay the inevitable, not eliminate it. The very ruse that requires the phasing out of the double agents could strengthen Moqtada beyond his wildest imagination, as well as line up tribes at his side -- with Iranian money to the Shia tribes to balance out the Saudi. If Sistani has in fact been bought out, and the harmful idiots aren't communicating with Iran, then expect attempts to have him assassinated.

CONTAGION: AND IT’LL SPREAD OUT INTO THE REGION LIKE WILD (OIL) FIRE

The tribe and sectarian bug has invaded Kuwait, the “staunch ally” whose ruling elite had assisted our harmful idiots in setting up Saddam Hussein so that the Iraqis should live in turmoil for fifty years, give-or-take. (The more I think about it the more I conclude it'll be more than fifty years.) Kuwait’s handsome emir recently warned his countrymen that he would not stand for sectarian and tribal differences continuing to rear their head. These differences had emerged acutely ever since once-Arab Kuwait had cast its lot with Israel’s sponsor and quit its Arab mission. Enjoy.

In Saudi Arabia we have Bandar bin Sultan’s strategy of widening the rift between Sunnis and Shias. The man wants to make up before the King and the Allegiance Council for having been member of the team (together with Crusader, Bald Samson, the Jewish Right, and the Evangelist Conquerors) which brought defeat onto the Kingdom. So his campaign produces the likes of one prominent Sheikh who recently ordered Sunnis not to sell real estate to Shias. But that wasn’t the novelty. The novelty was that one Mukhalaf bin Daham al-Shamri, a civil rights activist, retaliated by putting up his house for sale at a 10% discount for Shias. Now I don’t have the time to make phone calls and verify my analysis. (This blog as it is already is exhausting.) Here’s my non-verified observation: the civil rights activist’s name (al-Shamri) strikes me as originating in the name of the powerful al-Shammar tribe, one of eight largest in Saudi Arabia. Al-Shammar is a Najdi tribe with clans inside Iraq and Syria. It behooves all to know that the al-Shammar tribe, under the leadership of the al-Rashid, had fought the al-Saud in the 19th and early 20th centuries.

To put it bluntly: the tribal and sectarian chickens, which the Saudi ruling elite is fostering in part to fail the Iraqi Sunni resistance to the occupation of Iraq, in part as a self-defense mechanism, its way of warding off the American-Israeli-Iranian hangman, should come home to roost inside Saudi Arabia. (Each and every Arab, including those who disliked Saddam Hussein, have etched in their brain the delivery by the American/Israeli conquerors of an Arab President to the Iranian hangman. That should apply to the ruling families in the Gulf, including that in Saudi Arabia. Unless they’re not Arab. And some of them frankly aren’t, patriarchal mythology notwithstanding.) Iran and others (including the harmful idiots) know the Saudi tribal stuff and can use it against the ruling elite.

Suddenly, a new vista opens up to all those against whom the Saudi ruling elite is using its oil money surplus. The (unintended) message: look into those tribes which historically have fought the al-Saud, fund them, and bring them into prominence. The surplus should evaporate, in and for a while at least, and it’ll be naked violence which would balance what’d be left of it. Naked violence might be visited earlier on those who are feeding the sectarian/tribal tsunami, what with surplus on one side of the Gulf and relative poverty on the opposite side and among the majority of the Arabs. All of this while the Arab poor watch Saudi Arabia and the other rich Arab Gulf ruling elite fund the fancy occupation of Iraq by U.S. troops, who scheme to keep it divided. And while these Gulf ruling elite flood the secessionist Kurdish region with Arab money. There’s no assurance that the naked violence will stay out of the Kingdom. What with the tribe bug spreading into the Kingdom and the Gulf from Iraq (such bug itself having been funded by the Saudis ruling elites!) As a result, these Saudi tribes should re-evolve and sharpen their identity, including recalling their defeat at the hand of al-Sauds.

What, too, with a sect, the Shias, feeling like second class citizens.

Words to the wise among the harmful idiots and the Saudi ruling elite, if any are left: you should be overwhelmed by the very dynamics you’re setting off.