Thursday, November 27, 2008

IRAN’S SECRET AND DEVASTATING WEAPON

second dd r A f T, with at least one correction.


ISRAEL AND IRAN COMPETE FOR THE AFFECTION OF SAUDI ARABIA

Israeli intelligence recently leaked one of its own reports. In that report it outlined the alleged course ahead. Among its stated goals was to have Israel draw close (or closer) to Saudi Arabia. Israel’s forte in this endeavor, I would think, is its ability to sell “intelligence” and rent its American diaspora’s services to the Saudi ruling elite. (No, it can’t balance Iranian power. On that end it’s useless, even harmful, even though it probably is currently participating in the joint military training and maneuvers with the Saudis and the Egyptians at Tabuk in Saudi Arabia.) Mis-perception and mediocre analysis (by the Saudis) are of help to the Israelis in their endeavor. The ruling Saudi elite, after all, is a few years behind on American politics. Which serves well the Israelis. That elite is acting on the the illusion that Israel’s American diaspora still has the influence it had at the start of the project to dismantle an Arab country -- a mission accomplished. It doesn’t; though it still has influence. The Saudi ruling elite will catch up when the oil surplus dries up, before it flows again. It’ll then have to destroy all mirrors in the Kingdom for kissing so much Israeli ass.

INTRODUCTION TO AMERICAN POLITICS: AN UN-DISCIPLINED LOOK

Anthropologically the consensus within the American body politic/society, it seems, is to allow for two well-defined ethnic poles: (1) the Jewish, which engine is the rally-around-Israel cry; and (2) the African-American, which engine is the rally-around-fighting-racism-and-discrimination cry, for self and for others in American society. (Comically, the wider society has given each pole the task of monitoring the other.)

The rally-around-Israel cry serves the body politic/society in that it offers a pillar for imperial expansion into the Arab oil region. Oil for the society of the tax base and accumulated capital (ours) is an essential staple. And the Jewish pole promises to get us control over that oil -- Iraqi and later Iranian. For now, that promise has failed, not because we’re not getting the oil. Big Oil, both American and European, I think will get the lion’s share of it. The problem is that the price tag -- paid by the tax base and not by accumulated capital (Big Oil) -- for getting it has proven so exorbitant as to have contributed to our bankruptcy. In addition, it's eminently likely that the price will continue to go up as the harmful idiots struggle to stay in Iraq.

The rally-around-fighting-racism-and-discrimination cry strengthens the domestic front. It may, too, serve as an imperial pillar (very symbolically) in Africa where strategic minerals are found -- when the time comes to compete in full with the Chinese on that continent.

At any rate, don’t for a moment doubt that both poles are creations of the wider consensus within the American body politic. Neither is the product solely of its own independent endeavor. The wider social consensus is essential for the existence of both poles. (For example, the Turks enslaved my grandfather and 19 others from his small village in Lebanon and drove them in chains and on foot to Turkey. Only 5 returned. Yet, you don’t see the Lebanese Christians make such a big deal of the affair, even though I suspect -- and have heard -- that the Turks did the same in many small Christian towns. Why? Because the wider Christian Lebanese consensus has refused to make a business out of it. Nor did the wider Arab and Muslim consensus encourage it.) One pole now is on top. The other is blamed for bankrupting us with the Israel-anchored Iraqi oil grab, which turned into a war, and now into a silly attempt at balancing Iranian power while preparing for the next war, this time against yet another of Israel’s foes -- the Islamic Republic of Iran. Imbroglio (and financial bleeding) galore.

ISRAEL DOES HAVE A FOOTHOLD WITHIN THE ONCE-ARAB RULING ELITE OF HE KINGDOM OF SAUDI ARABIA

As the Israeli intelligence report made clear (allegedly -- be mindful that it could be all about misinformation, choreography, or trial-ballooning) , that country is after closer relations with the Kingdom. Likely it’s encouraged by the opening towards it of the Bandar faction in Saudi politics, itself an extension of the alliance of the American Jewish Right (e.g., Bald Samson, the Defense Policy Board) and the Christian Right (e.g., Crusader and his Muslim-warring Evangelists.) Other ambitious princes, too, had been lured by Israel or its American diaspora -- Turki al-Faisal and al-Waleed bin Talal. (See prior post, “Israel Says Who Can be Saudi King.” I’m going on memory about the post’s heading.) But neither Turki nor al-Waleed, both Arab and never having suffered from rejection in their culture, had gone all the way in seeking Israel’s approval as had Bandar. Turki’s father, after all, was Faisal -- likely the best(non-corrupt) king Saudi Arabia ever had. Al-Waleed hails from Talal, an Arab nationalist through-and-through who was made to pay a heavy political price for his genuine patriotism.

Correction: Turki a few months ago participated in a conference in Oxford, England, along with at least one Israeli former official. That tells me that he still thought that Israel via its diaspora within the American body politic (one of the allowed-for ethnic poles -- see above) can advance his career. Else, he would've sent a lower official.

OH, HOW IRAN LOVES ‘YA SAUDI ARABIA

Iran, too, wants to draw closer to Saudi Arabia. Its forte (one of them) is its ability to mess things up in the Gulf. Watch as the sectarian tension continues to flare up in Kuwait. Kuwait was and is a base for the harmful idiots from where they and Kuwaiti leaders had entrapped Arab Iraq. There’s no evidence that Iran is playing any immediate and direct role in this sectarian flare-up. But you get the point about a sectarian rift that’s ripe for the picking.

(Background: the Kuwaiti Prime Minister, member of the ruling family, had allowed into the country an Iranian Imam who was said to be quite anti-Sunni. A few Islamists in the Kuwaiti Parliament, which is dominated by the Muslim Brothers and the clans/tribes, freaked out at the Prime Minister’s action and threatened to embarrass him by questioning the cabinet. The cabinet resigned to avoid embarrassment. As a further background: be mindful that Kuwait is torn: On the one hand it’s under the thumb of the harmful idiots, a base for them; on the other it has a Shia minority that’s attuned to events in Lebanon and Iraq; yet, too, it’s a majority-Sunni country and the Sunnis are reeling from the perceived defeat which their ass-kissing and mediocre-thinking rulers had handed them . These had aligned their countries with the alliance of the harmful idiots and the Israelis, as this symbiotic alliance had pursued its project to dismantle Arab Iraq to control its oil. Suddenly, all the scheming and entrapping by Kuwait’s leaders of Arab Iraq, on behest of the harmful idiots and the Israelis, have -- and should continue to -- come home to roost.)

Iran’s influence is pervasive, not only among the Shias but among the Arab (Sunni) Street. It can allow for Saudi partnership in Iraq and Lebanon, and it can not. (Saudi money can buy -- and is buying -- influence in Lebanon, but Iran can shut out Saudi Arabia as Hizbollah did in May, and likely will have to do it yet again. My suspicion is that Iran has come in with a lot of money deposits in Lebanese banks to save that country from bankruptcy since the Saudis would only help it out if they owned it. And they’re not being allowed to own it. They’re being offered a partnership, no more. ) The relationship with Iran is up to the Saudi ruling elite and that elite’s stand vis-a-vis the preparations for war on the Islamic Republic by the harmful idiots and their Israelis. Recently, there have been Saudi openings towards Iran. Talal bin Abdul Aziz, the Arab nationalist and patriot, al-Waleed’s father, issued a statement to the effect that the Gulf countries should reach an agreement with Tehran. In addition, the Iranian ambassador to Riyadh said that the two countries were getting closer to agreeing to have an inter-faith conference (a real one this time) between the ulamas of both countries. (These two openings are likely choreographed by Saudi intelligene with the approval of the harmful idiots.)

(Iran, alert as hell, will only seemingly soften up thanks to like initiatives. The Iranian ruling elite is a realist elite – which we once were -- under no one’s thumb -- which we never were. And therefore it’ll continue to be an alert elite as to what is genuine and what is a ruse/trap set up for it by the symbiotic alliance of the Israelis and the harmful idiots, with the Saudi ruling elite kissing ass, while looking for mirrors. Iran likely knows whether Israeli troops are participating -- highly probable -- in the maneuvers at Tabuk; it’s to be assumed. But, too, Islamists likely will confirm it to the Iranians when the Egyptian and Saudi troops tell their families about the Israelis. In short, Iran has to impose itself on the Saudi ruling elite. It cannot trust that caste.)

But, in truth, what’s Iran’s best secret weapon in its competition with Israel over closeness to Saudi Arabia?

THOSE DARK, LIMPID PERSIAN EYES

The answer: reproductive access and mass reproductive/genetic diversification.
(Humor me.)

As the financial wherewithal of the Kingdom’s middle class diminishes, Iran should become a more affordable and fun place to visit -- to spend vacation time, as had been the case before oil revenues had peaked. It should be less expensive than Malaysia and Indonesia. Mountains and coast are available for the tourist. A gorgeous country by any measure, all travel literature agree. And Muslim, to boot.

When a very young foreign student, we were asked by the best Foreign Student Office in the nation (at SUNY/Buffalo) to accept a host family in the Buffalo area. I tried it once and once only. My host family was a judge and his wife, relatively old. I got there and asked so many questions about their daughters and grand-daughters. Where were they? They were all over the country. Other older people dropped in on us to check out the foreign student. But I, seeing no young women, turned down that generous and well-meaning couple’s repeated later invites. I wanted reproductive access, not food or clothing or trips to the couple’s house on a lake in Canada. Or friendship with a judge. The campus provided assured reproductive access. The host family didn't. Case closed.

The Iranian government sooner or later should start a version of the “host family” program for Saudi tourists. And Muhammad, the young Saudi who aches for reproductive access, will meet Zainab, the dead-gorgeous young daughter of the Persian family hosting him and his parents. The Iranian ulamas would issue a fatwa that converting to Sunnism can be left up to the young couple after they marry. (That should put to rest the scare tactic being used by the harmful idiots and the Saudi ruling elite that Iran is out to convert the Saudis and all Arabs to Shiism.) Muhammad can either convert to Shiism, or more likely Zainab will convert to Sunnism, since the young married couple should be heading back to Saudi Arabia. When Muhammad’s male friends see Zainab’s black limpid eyes, highlighted with kohl, and the contours of her little body in the black gellaba – trust me, you can see the sexy contours of her gorgeous body – and when they hear Muhammad’s report, they will urge their parents to take them to Iran and connect with a Persian host family. (They won’t tell them why. They’ll tell them it's to learn about the influence the Arabs had on Persian culture. It works with parents. Anything for education.)

(I’m not talking about “pleasure marriages,” the Iranians’ version of our non-married serial monogamy relationships.)

Saudi nuclear and extended families should be heading in droves to Iran. The daughters of these, some of them are getting "old" in a society that doesn’t forgive non-marriage, will be attracted to the host family’s son, Ali – slender, with dark hair. He would be the embodiment of the healthy genetic diversification so many women look for. Beats marrying the young Saudi woman’s cousin – a patterns that’s proving deadly in the Kingdom. (I’ve seen it on planes; it’s pitiful.) Ali and his Saudi bride likely will remain in Iran, since I suspect Saudi law wouldn’t grant citizenship to the husband of a Saudi woman. Leila, the Saudi woman who married the Persian Ali, will too remain in Iran. Saudi-Iranian grandchildren aplenty.


Incrementally a bridge forms over the Persarab Gulf -- of families crossing both ways, but mostly to Iran to enjoy the affordable natural diversity of that country, so absent in arid Saudi Arabia. More importantly: to visit family and grandchildren. Can anyone beat that?

Israel stands no chance in this competition. All it has are Bandar, possibly Turki, a motley of harmful idiot assets, and, ever since it has sent the signal that it's seeking an alliance with Israel and to dump the Palestinian Arabs -- likely many, many spies and informants -- Saudi, Arab, and non-Arab ex-pat. If it's good for the goose (priinces seeking Israel's approval), it's good for the gander (the many who now believe getting recruited by Israel is acceptable.)

Happy Thanksgiving.