SAUDI ARABIA DRAWS CLOSE TO THE ISRAEL LOBBY: A SUMMARY

SECOND draft


The November 4 post beats around the bush, I admit. A friend read it and commented that I needed to put in in "plain English." Here it is:

1. ISRAEL AND SAUDI ARABIA WANT U.S. TROOPS TO STAY IN IRAQ.

Both the governments of Israel and Saudi Arabia want U.S. troops to stay permanently in Iraq, or until such time when they can change the government in Iran. The Saudi ruling elite is eminently reluctant to build a modern army to balance Iranian power. One important reason for that elite's reluctance is the concern that the officer corps of a professional army would stage a coup and change the royal extended-family form of government.

2. ISRAEL CANNOT BALANCE IRANIAN POWER.

Israel cannot balance Iranian power because the expanse separating it from Iran is full of people who detest Israel, with good colonialist reasons. But Israel is concerned that an American pull out from Iraq would strengthen Iran even further. With that, Hamas and other groups allied to Iran would too be strengthened. Israel would then have to withdraw from all Arab lands. God forbid. It doesn't want to. It fears that shedding colonialism would shed its raison d'etre.

3. U.S. PROTECTING A SUPERIORITY COMPLEX AND SPECIAL PRIVILEGES.

The governments of Israel and Saudi Arabia therefore are on the same wavelength when it comes to wanting U.S. troops to remain in Iraq. Both countries would perceive these troops as their protector. To be precise: U.S. troops would be protecting the superiority complex ("Jewish identity") of Israel and the privileges of the Saudi royal elite.

4. A TRIPWIRE IS ALL THAT'S NEEDED.

The U.S. can withdraw the troops to al-Adid in Qatar, to Kuwait, to Bahrain, to the U.A.E., and to Oman. But U.S. troops likely wouldn't be welcome in Saudi Arabia since the population of the Kingdom would rather die than see Israel's sponsor spread crusader forces on their land. Still, the U.S. can balance Iran's power from the territory of the other members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC). A trip wire likely would be sufficent, anyway.

5. SAUDI ARABIA TO DIVIDE THE SHIA REALM.

But the Saudi ruling elite is worried about something else. It is worried that the withdrawal of U.S. troops from Iraq would keep the Shia realm (both Iranian and Arab) intact. With that, the Arab Shias inhabiting the length of the eastern part of the Arabian Peninsula, including the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, could be emboldened politically. Hence the perceived need for THE U.S. troops to stay until such time that Saudi/Jordanian/harmful idiot efforts to divide the Shias bear fruit, and until the Iranian government is changed and a pro-American government is put in place.

Current attempts by Saudi Arabia (with the cooperation I would think of the harmful idiots) is to widen and exacerbate the divide within the Shia realm between the two Marja3iyyahs (religious reference schools): the one in Iran's Qum (Persian) and the one in Iraq's Najaf (Arab.) Saad al-Hariri's visit to Ayatollah Sistani a couple of months ago smacked of that attempt. It's possible that Sistani himself, though born in Iran, would want to break the ties that bind to Qum and the Iranians since his marja3iyyah is in Najaf not in Qum. (By now he's Arab enough, you would think, after decades of residency in Najaf.) But he wouldn't want that at the cost of in-fighting within the wider Shia realm or the Arab Shia realm. He's aware that Iran can unleash Sadr and other ayatollahs (e.g., Baghdadi) and split the Arab Shia realm -- something Sistani should dread. In other words, splitting the Shia realm likely is yet another reactionary hope springing eternal. But it could become an Iranian strategy, too. Best solution for all Shias: keep things calm and cool. We're the winners of the invasion by the harmful idiots. Let's not spoil it. True, the Saudis will fund attempts to get us Shias to retaliate againt Sunnis or against each other. (See "How to Keep the Harmful Idiots in Iraq: A Page Out of the Play Book of Saudi Initelligence.") The purpose would be to create reasons for the harmful idiots to present to the new American President about the need to keep troops in Iraq. But the Iranians should be expected to retaliate against the Saudi proxies in Lebanon. That should chill them.

(Note: The Iranians are unlikely to retaliate inside the Kingdom lest they lose their popularity among the Saudis for being the balancer of harmful idiot-Israeli power and friends of the Palestinian people.)

6. EVIDENCE CLOSE TO HOME.

I myself have been monitored by the Israel lobby and members of the Lebanese Forces (who, during the Lebanese civil war, had begun cooperation with Israel and some likely still are informants for that state.) I think that the monitoring was meant to pass the information on to Saudi intelligence and score points for the Israel lobby with that intelligence service. (For the novice: governments such as that of the Kingdom's are nervous about any publication that talks about them. They think another government is behind that publication. They would be the last to understand that someone would issue a newsletter because of concern about his own American government messing up other people's lives -- as it did the Lebanese and later the Iraqi -- by having a bunch of bureaucrats and ideologues miscalculate. Or messing up American lives by -- at a minimum -- bankrupting us.)

7. SAUDI ARABIA IN SEARCH OF AN ALLIED AND POWERFUL CONSTITUENCY TO LOBBY FOR U.S. TROOPS TO REMAIN IN IRAQ: LET'S TRY THE ISRAEL LOBBY AND THE AMERICAN JEWISH COMMUNITY.


Where things stand now is that Saudi Arabia itself is opening to the Israel lobby. Someone (I suspect the harmful idiots) must've given Saudi intelligence the idea that the Kingdom (and Israel) would need a powerful constituency in the U.S. to lobby for U.S. troops to remain in Iraq. And that party has convinced the Saudi ruling elite that the constituency that's most reliable for that kind of work is the forever hyper-mobilized-on-behalf-of-Israel Jewish community. Hence the proposed inter-faith conference, sponsored by Saudi Arabia, to be held in New York City. Yes, Melvina: we're now to welcome the SECTS into our realm from societies where religion is politics. (As if we hadn't had enough with "God Bless" Crusader and "Rescue of darling protectorate" Bald Samson.) Correct me if I'm wrong: but isn't that city where a large number of the Jewish community resides? Is the Israel lobby going to instruct its people there to "be nice?"

Sophomoric, I know, but that's what the Saudi ruling elite and the Israel lobby are up to. They're allies, an alliance brokered by the harmful idiots -- the same ones who entrapped Arab Iraq into invading Kuwait, only to find us entrapped and bankrupt. But what do they care? They're bureacurats with secure pension plans. Unlike us mortal beings who have to struggle to secure what looks like a shitty retirement, if ever.