HAMAS WINS

(Rough t h i r d draft meant to break the news about Syria’s suspension of its contacts with Israel.)

BACKGROUND: THE HARMFUL IDIOTS' ARAB UNCLE TOMS SPONSOR ISRAEL’S MASS MURDER IN GAZA

The Israeli barbaric assault on Gaza’s civilians has the backing of the Egyptian ruling elite and those of the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia.

The evidence against the Egyptian ruling elite is overwhelming.

Against the U.A.E: That country's Foreign Minister recently visited the West Bank and met with Mahmoud Abbas. He (proudly) stated that his country supported Mr. Abbas as leader of the Palestinian people. In other words, Hamas was Iranian and therefore we dread it. Abbas was Israeli.

The fact that the U.A.E.'s Foreign Minister chose to go through Israel to reach the West Bank (not through Jordan) says that the U.A.E.'s ruling elite is as much in cahoots with the Israelis as the Egyptian ruling elite. (I have the distinct impression that cadres of Israel's intelligence services and its armed forces have gone furthest in the U.A.E., of all Gulf countries.) That Foreign Minister's visit, in retrospect, looked like the prelude to the assault on Gaza. His handlers, the harmful idiots and Israel's diaspora boys, harmful and idiot, had dispatched him to provide yet more of an "Arab" cover to the Israelis. It wasn’t enough that they had the Egyptian ruling elite and Mahmoud Abbas to fulfill that function.


The Saudi ruling elite had learned its lesson from Israel’s equally-barbaric assault on Lebanon in 2006: the mass murder of the Lebanese Arabs (with American weapons and cluster bombs) which the September 11 Queen had said was meant to give birth to a “New Middle East.”

Indication then was that the Saudi royal elite had backed that aggression on Arabs and Muslims.

Further indication soon theafter (or is it before?) was that the Saudi ruling elite was in alliance with the Israel lobby (and with Israel) in Washington D.C. and highly likely was pumping money into that lobby. (The earliest cue on this can be found in this blog's post "Israel Says Who Can Be Saudi King.") But the Saudi ruling elite has proved smarter this time around. It’s letting its Egyptian counterpart, which is on the Saudi and harmful idiot payroll (with all the certainty political analysis can muster), do the dirty work for both and for the harmful idiots.

(Israel in turn is doing the dirty work for the Egyptian ruling elite. By (thinking it is) weakening Hamas, Israel is hoping to weaken the Muslim Brothers in Egypt, the only true opposition to the Egyptian ruling elite. Israel has become through-and-through the bully for Arab reaction.)

HAMAS WINS

As the last post had indicated: Syria’s negotiations with Israel in Turkey were most likely meant to put pressure on Syria’s Iranian ally to soften up on the Shia realm strategy -- too sectarian for the vehemently secular Baath in Syria. The last part of the post predicted that if the Israelis go into Gaza, the Syrians should be expected to stop Syria's overture towards Israel.

It hasn’t taken that much. Ziad Haidar in assafir.com today (“Asad Moves For an Arab Summit; the Aggression on Gaza Closes off the Negotiation Door Between Syria and Israel”) quotes “Syrian sources” as saying that “the aggression on Gaza closed off the doors to these contacts [between Israel and Syria].” (My translation from Arabic.)

MEA CULPA

In the last post, I didn’t heed my own earlier warnings that one should hesitate before referencing so much to Iran. In assessing the chcances for the Syrian-Israeli negotiations, I had said that Hamas’s strategy to lure Israel into Gaza would constitute counter-blackmail by Iran against its Syrian ally. I amend this now by saying that Hamas had every reason to blow up the Israeli-Syrian separate negotiations. (Too many reasons to cover here.) Not to mention that the Israeli-Egyptian starvation of Gaza had propelled Hamas to force the issue with the Arab Street. I believe it succeeded: the Israeli-Syrian negotiations have ended, for now. That Iran would benefit from Hamas’s strategy could only be gravy for Iran. Iran, thanks to Hamas and the Israeli-Egyptian war on Gaza, has been able to re-define the terms of its alliance with Syria the Iran way.

SYRIA'S ARAB NATIONALISM WILL NOT DISAPPEAR

But Iran has to be careful. Syria’s Arab nationalism is here to stay. I recently attended a “tea” at a friend’s house and spoke at length to a Syrian family which clearly was Sunni. The Arab nationalism of one of that family’s members was as solid as that of Jamal Abdel Nasser or Michel Aflaq. Which told me that the pressure on Asad and his crew will continue to be immense: to act on an Arab nationalist agenda if only to keep the Syrian Sunni satisfied. And provide them and Arab Syria with an alternative outlet to the sectarian route pushed by the Saudi ruling elite.

Which further indicates that, even without Iran, Mr. Asad could never quit on the Palestinian or the Lebanese Arabs. (If nothing else, Lebanon is owed tons of billions in compensation and the Saudi route would rob Lebanon -- which Saudi Arabia's man had pillaged -- of that money. Arab nationalist Syria would have to push for Lebanon's interest in any negotiation with Israel and its harmful idiot sponsors. Ditto for Palestinian interests.)

The conversation revealed to me that Asad in his Arab nationalist endeavor will continue to need Hasan Nasrallah and Hamas -- both of whom give the Baath government in Syria immense legitimacy.

(FYI: All Arabs, practically all -- 99% -- love Hasan Nasrallah. I say this to educate the harmful idiots who listen to their Arab Uncle Toms (both abroad and the self-hating ones here) and to Israel's diaspora boys. These -- the Uncle Toms and Israel's disapora boys -- likely tell the harmmful idiots that the Arab Sunni dislike Nasrallah. Nothing could be farthest from the truth.)