WHY IT’S NOT ABOUT MILITARY POWER

rough outline.


SAUDI ARABIA RENTS A DIASPORA AND PAYS IT PROTECTION MONEY

To harmful idiots, those established and those coming into the Obama Administration, this is the more complex part of this short outline. (Because of their experience with the Soviet Union, it’s easier to tell them that Iran, even if it develops a nuclear bomb, would not scare anyone. It’ll be assured total destruction, a la MAD, though the “mutual” part of this may not be, should it ever use that Bomb.) The harmful idiots’ Israel-obsessed brain -- and their blind rush to climb up professional ladders -- dulls their senses. Since I’m not interested in climbing up professional ladders, and my brain isn’t fogged up with love for the Father, the Son, and Holy Israel -- I think I can see things more clearly than they.

Here it is: The alliance of the Saudi ruling elite to the Israel lobby is beneficial to that elite in that it neutralizes the Jewish Right and its liberals. It wards off campaigns by these against that elite. This had become particularly pressing after the Israel lobby/Jewish Right took over the Pentago -- to teach the Anglos how to conquer Arabs and lay claim to their oil. Whatever money the Saudi ruling elite is paying the Israel lobby is akin to protection money. That the two will be able to persuade the Obama Administration to keep U.S. troops in Iraq to balance Iranian (conventional) power -- well this subject should be influenced more

– by Iran and what it does or doesn’t do in Iraq and the Gulf; and

– by the Obama Administration needing to save money lest the federal government goes fully insolvent -- and deepen further our disaster. (Mr. Obama should work to place an additional one dollar tax on each gallon of gasoline, now that its price is relatively low -- and have the money go to us (the federal government) instead to the friends and foes of oil-connected Bald Samson and Crusader.)

And, therefore, the Obama Administration should hardly be influenced by the alliance of the Saudi ruling elite with Israel and its U.S. lobby. That alliance should prove insignificant in deciding matters of war, peace, and encirclement of Iran.

Iran can defend itself and define the battle better than the Saudi ruling elite or its Israeli ally -- and better even than the harmful idiots. Its success in Lebanon, along with Syria, is nothing short of stunning. Suddenly the “axis of evil” has within it Christian Lebanese who have always been pro-Western (and super pro-U.S.) and hardly ever terror-minded. Who would’ve said? That Syria would succeed at pulling the Maronites to Aleppo to visit the tomb of Saint Maron! Aleppo as the new Maronite Jerusalem. And the Maronite Patriarch, who (likely getting paid off by the harmful idiots via Geagea and by Saudi intelligence, via Saad al-Hariri), had been unleashing his churches against Hezbollah; He hasn't been mindful (or maybe he is, but money for the church really does matter) that all the sermons in the world wouldn't make a difference in the balance of power within Lebanon. In short, he is now becoming insignificant, or already has. What a coup!

THE SPLIT BETWEEN THE SAUDI RULING ELITE IN ONE CAMP AND THE ALTERNATIVE ELITE AND SAUDI PUBLIC IN ANOTHER.

As you’ve noticed, I’ve been referring to “ruling elite” not to Saudi Arabia. Why?

The very fact that the ruling elite of that country is keeping secret its alliance with Israel and its lobby should tell us that this alliance would have a negative political cost to that elite should it ever be revealed.

And revealed it will be as soon as the American Jewish Right decides that the Saudi ruling elite is changing course and staging a rapprochement with Iran. (It’ll pay money to witness the event, though the Israel lobby would have to be careful: how to admit to receiving money from Saudi intelligence? Tricky. Maybe Israel would release photos and tapes of Saudi princes and officials when the time comes. I’m certain they’ve taped me! Just make sure to remember: I told you so.)


As the oil money diminishes the political price for the alliance of the Saudi ruling elite with Israel and its lobby should prove quite steep for the elite. Money during the recent oil bonanza likely had bought tons of allegiance to the ruling elite. Not for long.


WHY ARE THE SAUDI ALTERNATIVE ELITE (THE OPPOSITION) AND THE PUBLIC SO AGAINST AN ALLIANCE BETWEEN THEIR COUNTRY AND ISRAEL?

At a superficial level that would be understood by the harmful idiots: because the rapprochement between the Saudi ruling elite and Israel and its lobby is...a wedge issue for the Saudi opposition.


At a less superficial level: Arabs aren’t holocaust deniers. Their differences with Israel are about Israel’s treatment of the their brethren -- the Palestinian Arabs -- colonization, theft of land and water, military repression.

Arabs feel that Germany (and Europe) are historically responsible for the harm that had befallen the Palestinian Arabs and the Lebanese Arabs. More recently, ever since 1967, Arabs have felt that the harmful idiots have taken on a part of the historic responsibility thanks to unlimited support for Israel. And thanks to the harmful idiots’ intensive involvement, yet consistent inability to move the peace process forward.

When you talk to Arabs, as an American, you are perplexed by how stupid the harmful idiots are. The idiots’ involvement took so much of the blame off Germany and Europe and placed it squarely in the harmful idiots’ lap! Sadly: in our lap, by extension.

More recently, Arabs have added the dismemberment of an Arab country, Iraq, to the list of repulsive acts by the harmful idiots, with Israel and its American right wing diaspora taking such a leading role in this enterprise. Iraq had nothing to do with September 11. Going for an oil grab while mobilizing Israel’s diaspora (with Israel’s approval and support) and miscalculating . . . What gives?


The Arab public feels that Israel should do right by the Palestinian Arabs and Lebanon – using money from Germany, Europe, and the United States for reparations and compensation. That, to jump over the affected parties to buddy up to Saudi Arabia is a nasty way of doing business. And the nastiness comes from the Saudi ruling elite which is allowing Israel to jump over the head of its victims. (And the money has evaporated , anyway -- yours, mine, and theirs.)


IT’S NOT ABOUT MILITARY POWER

The United States attacks Iran. So what? Are things going to improve for the Saudi ruling elite, or for its ally, Israel?

Hardly.

As this newsletter repeatedly has warned, countries learn from others’ experience and only harmful idiots don’t learn from theirs’ or others’. (Watch them drown themselves and us in Afghanistan/Pakistan! As if the Soviet Union’s occupation of Afghanistan carried no instructive value whatsoever! We’re heading there to fight 40 million Pashtun, hoping to divide them as we did the Iraqis!) In the case of a full-scale American war on Iran, the Islamic state likely has plans to self-disintegrate and fight a guerrilla war. In the case of a more limited war, the Islamic Republic will retaliate all over the globe–but mostly in Iraq and the Gulf. And in Lebanon. (That’s in part why you have Hizbollah.)

Israeli diaspora spokesmen (the alternative ones) with fancy titles now want us to withdraw from Iraq, not too hastily but not too slowly. What bullshit! Why? So that we can wage a full-scale retaliation against Iran when the time calls for it. Like when? When the federal government becomes so insolvent as to rent itself out to the Chinese? Is Iran stupid? Even sanctions will beget retaliation once Iran determines (in full) that Israel’s boys have, too, monopolized the Obama Administration policy on the Middle East and Iran.

If the Iranians can get over their Persian chauvinism, they would seize onto a golden opportunity: to evolve an Arab Islamic front in Iraq. That front would include Sunni and Shia. And Iran will tip its support incrementally towards that front, and away from the harmful idiots’ puppet government. Not an easy task, I admit. But a task, nonetheless. (I'ver discussed this possibility a number of times in the past.) Once such a front evolves, the sky will be the limit. Through that front Iran should be able to neutralize the Saudi ruling elite and the latter’s endless schemes against it. Iran has the seeds for that front: Sadr, the Sunni Association of Muslim Ulamas, and Arab Syria.

U.S. troops, be they stationed in Iraq or in Kuwait, will be political fodder for the Arab Islamic front in Iraq. That front -- and a new Iraqi government -- might just say the hell with the tens of billions of dollars of Iraq’s oil money the US is holding hostage, or might threaten Kuwait to have the harmful idiots cough up the money. That front should scare the wits out of anyone who would still claim compensation for the war in which Arab Iraq had been entrapped by Kuwaiti intelligence and the harmful idiots.

That’s why the harmful idiots need to talk to Iran. More importantly, Saudi Arabia needs to partner with Iran all over the region. This should be done from under an American defense shield (for Saudi Arabia) -- but not with a huge and visible U.S. military presence. Conventionally, some sort of trip wire will have to do. Unconventionally, when it comes to the Arab and Muslim Streets, Mr. Obama or not, the U.S. and its proteges -- the Saudi ruling elite and Israel -- don’t stand a chance. Even if Israel withdraws from every inch of pre-1967 land, we’re bankrupt and can’t help in the payment of reparations.

(I sincerely hope the new idiots aren't counting on President Obama to turn the tide in the Islamic and Arab World. Policies work, not speeches.)

Unless the U.S. adopts and encourages Arab nationalism (and an Arab common market) -- which would distance Arabs from both Israel and the Iranians. But what are the chances of that - - to distance Arabs from the harmful idiots’ beloved? Better another national bankruptcy and impoverishment for all.