ARAB OPPOSITION: THE POST-GAZA PHASE

rough second/or/third draft

[A] stranger
And in the lands of strangers
I wander

Sabah Fakhri (My translation from Arabic.)

Ali Larijani is nearly desperate. Or maybe he’s acting, told to do so by Iran’s cunning analysts. He doesn’t say it: that Hamas has scored success for itself and for Iran by forcing Iran’s ally, Syria, to cease contacts with Israel.

Larijani said recently that Gaza was linked to Iran’s national security and its demise would affect Iran’s independence. Quite overwhelming as statements go, but absurd nonetheless. (Unless he’s issuing a threat to the Israelis -- to activate the Lebanon front? As threats go: quite a timid one, style-wise.) Iraq and Lebanon (and Afghanistan) are the most important elements in Iran’s national security. Gaza? Didn’t he see Gaza coming? Israel since the summer of 2006 has been aching for any test to rebuild its image as a defeated forward base for the harmful idiots and a beneficiary of their military-industrial complex. Gaza is a relatively easy target. Unlike Syria which provided (and still does) Hezbollah with a strategic depth, kiss-ass Uncle Tom Mubarak and his crew are out to screw the Hamas Palestinians.

Blame it on Crusader. Gaza, you may say, is Crusader’s last gasp before he and his harmful idiots, including Bald Samson and the diaspora boys, leave office. The new President would want to forget all of this and focus instead on tending to our garden, ignored for so long by the harmful idiots and their Israel diaspora gurus -- pillaged, to the tune of national bankruptcy.

If Gaza falls, Iran should have way better chances at spreading its influence strong and wide across the Arab and Muslim worlds. If Gaza falls, the Arab opposition --including the middle, politically -- would have learned not to ever (ever) trust the West, in particular the United States. The Arab opposition, all Arabs, really, already believe that the U.S. is controlled by Israel’s diaspora boys. Gaza’s fall should buttress that mantra. No longer would anyone in the Arab opposition believe the West's bullshit about democracy and be so impulsive as to come out into the open, as Hamas did. The Arab opposition should’ve learned that following the Algeria experience --and Hamas did, though imperfectly. Hence its earlier military assault on Elliott Abrams's Fateh. Still, Gaza at this time is closer to home, so to speak, and likely would be the last nail in the coffin of Arab street/opposition (including the middle, politically) trust in anything Western. Gaza will be the straw that broke the camel’s back for the non-ruling alternative Arab elite.

Mr. Larijani should know that Iran stands to gain tons from the elimination of Gaza. The Arab opposition should go underground as a result, in full, and devise a terrific network of cells and operatives. (A Western security nightmare, I predict, to be made worse by Western and harmful idiot/Israeli meddling in the Arab and Muslim worlds.) And who best to support and mine this network but Iran? It’ll be this network that should monitor and nix Israel’s spreading influence in the Arab Gulf countries. Even the Salafi of Saudi Arabia should be so embittered by Gaza that they would open their heart and organizational structure for the Arab opposition -- and for Iran. Iran stands to mine a terrific gem. (Saudi authorities have recently arrested a Salafi da3iyah, 3Awad al-Qarni, a religious man, for calling on the faithful to spill Israeli blood as these are spilling Palestinian.)

Gaza, too, should be a lesson to Iran about allowing for a Shia-Sunni front in Iraq -- yet another means to penetrate deep into Saudi Arabia, especially if Iranian money balances Saudi, disallowing the latter from “corrupting” that front. Gaza may just be that event which persuades Mr. Larijani and his Persians that they can nurse a friendly Arab nationalism or else risk an unfriendly one. (I can almost hear Iranian analysts say: Yeah? So where’s that so-called Arab nationalism gonna go for help? To the Israelis and the harmful idiots who fucked Gaza? And fucked Arab Iraq? And are out to fuck them for Israel every time they get a chance? Point well-taken. So sorry I even raised the issue.) The likes of Malikis are no different from the likes of Abbas-es. They’d sell you out cavalierly at the drop of a hat.

(Saudi Arabia, aware that Iran is here to stay, including in Iraq and Lebanon, already is opening up to the Iranians, having recently signed a "border patrol" coordination agreement with them. In essence, coordination on Gulf water security. Saudi Arabia's ruling elite likely senses that the American President-elect should be cutting the fat on the defense budget as part of his effort to re-float the federal government which the harmful idiots and Israel's diaspora boys had driven into bakruptcy. The President-elect would have to adopt this blog's idea of a trip wire, if onlyto save money.)

In short: I don’t know what Mr. Larijani is complaining about. Better times are ahead for Iran, post-Gaza, and for the Arab opposition, gone fully underground.