GENOCIDE. NOT. ONLY SCARE TACTICS

first draft

d e f i n i t i o n

“Genocide: the deliberate and systematic destruction of a racial, political or cultural group." Webster’s.

My radio is almost always on classical music. Yesterday morning, however, I ventured into NPR News. I heard this guy talk about genocide in Iraq, should the U.S. withdraw. Incredulously, he said (or feigned?), even liberal audiences in California were prepared to accept the (alleged) genocide (he claims will take place) in Iraq as price for withdrawal. Can you believe it, he seemed to be telling us: left-liberals willing to accept genocide just to save money! The guy had, it seems, just written a book.

I’m getting too old for this. But here it is:

1. THIS BLOG WOULD’VE BEEN AMONG TO FIRST TO SOUND THE ALARM

Background: Touting my own horn, this newsletter was first to warn about so many a danger about Iraq and the repercussions of its invasion. For instance, this newsletter had warned that the printing of money to invade translated into money in the pockets of rivals, making the oil grab that much more difficult. This newsletter had warned that an American soldier cost in the hundreds of thousand of dollars-- way before the Congressional Budget Office or the GAO or anyone else had scientifically assessed the hundreds of thousand in cost. Based on what I had seen in Lebanon, this newsletter had warned that, in contrast, a resistance fighter cost only a couple of hundred dollars. Who do you think would win THAT war? I had asked in this newsletter before anyone else had.

2. Having been attuned to so many aspects of the harmful idiots’ Iraq Project (the oil grab they called war), I would’ve been among the first to warn about a genocide should the idiots-reluctant order a withdrawal. Let me put it more clearly and emphatically: Should the idiots-reluctant order a full withdrawal from Iraq, to re-arrange our bankrupt house, there will be NO genocide in Iraq. I’ll explain later.

3. FOREIGN INTELLIGENCE SERVICES/FOREIGN CENTRAL BANKS -- AND THE BOOKS THEY HELP PUBLISH

I don’t know who the guy on NPR was; I don’t care to know. Books are published many times via a network that pre-purchases thousands of copies of that book, assuring the publisher of a profit margin. Groups on the pay of foreign countries’s intelligence services and central banks know how to put a book on the best seller list of even national newspapers. So publishing a book is no assurance of anything, expertise or other. Certainly: the publication of a book doesn’t mean in any way that the author has America’s best interest in mind or even the interest of the cultural group allegedly exposed to genocide. More likely than not, in this instance, even without knowing his name, the guest on NPR has Israel’s and possibly Saudi Arabia’s interest in mind -- the countries (along with Jordan) that most want the U.S. to stay in Iraq.

4. A TRIP WIRE WOULD SAVE TENS OF BILLION OF DOLLARS

As I explained earlier in this newsletter, the idiots-reluctant can erect a trip wire in Kuwait. That should do it, and should save us tens of billions of dollars yearly. No need to be spending money we don’t have on basing fighting troops in Iraq to prevent a said genocide that’s the product of the imagination (and propaganda and scare tactic machines) of self-interested Israelis who don’t want to withdraw from Palestinian and Syrian lands, and Saudi rulers who are scared of their own shadow when it comes to political change or facing-off with Diaspora nationalists. Or even self-styled right-wing theoreticians of defense who want to have endless wars to have secure cushy employment where a soldier would cost in the hundreds of thousand of dollars.

5. FOREIGN INTELLIGENCE SERVICES ARE ACTIVE IN TRYING TO INFLUENCE IDIOT-RELUCTANT ELITE (“PUBLIC) OPINION

For instance, one e-publication I check periodically, a free-for-all publication, had been used cunningly by Syria. A man who edits a Syrian newspaper (almost always intelligence) would write with seeming common-sense about Iraq. (The U.S. Department of State advertises for recruits in that e-publication.) Recently, Israel has gotten onto the act and has unleashed one of its Arab minions to write scare tactics’ articles about the repercussions of withdrawal -- inciting us to beware of Iran and Syria. (Ha!) I cite this in order to highlight the fact that many among those who are loudest in this debate about withdrawal do not represent our national interest. I do. If only because my 401-K is now akin to a 101-K thanks to the Israel-inspired (or Diaspora-hoorayed) invasion of Iraq. (It matters little who used the other: Crusader and Bald Samson using the Diaspora or the Diaspora using Crusader and Bald Samson.) My duties, rights and privileges are here. I am NOT connected to any intelligence service. I live in Fortress Washington D.C., with a moat that is chock full of police organizations suffocating -- but protecting -- me. (Please refer to www.HarryWessel.com)

And I don’t care about ever returning to Lebanon. (I haven’t been there in around six years.) Or about any faction in Lebanon -- though, generally, I favor the non-corrupt across the Arab nation, here, and in the rest of the world.

6. THE ARAB SUNNI OR IRAQ WILL MAKE UP WITH IRAN

Should the idiots-reluctant order a withdrawal, the Arab Sunni of Iraq would converge on Iran directly, or on Syria to get to Iran. They’ll be no genocide of the Sunni. That’s now passe. If you remember: going sectarian was a stratagem of the Baath at first. The Shia took a relatively long time to retaliate. But the Baath is effectively finished. It’s now the Sahwas, and these are on the payroll of the Shia state -- mostly. (I’m not sure about how many still are on the payroll of the bankrupt state -- us.) Will there be sectarian killings in Iraq, post withdrawal? Some such killings are unavoidable; but it’s happening now anyway, with 140,000 US troops in Iraq. (Consider the repeated suicide bombing of Shia pilgrims.) Will there be “the deliberate and systematic destruction of a ...group [the Arab Sunni}?” Absolutely not. Even the Christians of Lebanon, upon conquest by Syria, were not subjected to genocide. Additionally, after it kicked Israel’s ass out of South Lebanon, Hezbollah, which coordinated closely with Iran and SYyria, entered that region and didn’t fire a single shot at a Christian! So Iran knows how to do it -- how not to alienate the entire Sunni world.

7. THE PLAY BOOK FOR THE IRAQI ARAB SUNNI

If anything, the Arab Sunni of Iraq will take a lesson out of the play book of the Lebanese Christians. These, after being dropped flat on their ass by the forever mis-calculating harmful idiots and the idiots-reluctant -- and their cherished Israel -- did an amazing volte face. Two-third of them, just about, hugged Syria and Iran and made up with them. If you think the Arab Sunni of Iraq hate Iran so much, and will forever hate it -- think again. As the Lebanese Christians of my generation will tell you: we grew up so scared of the Syrians. And now? Michel Aoun headed to Aleppo to turn it into the New Jerusalem for Lebanon’s Christians -- then to Tehran where Iran crowned him leader of its own Christians, including the Armenians. (My late mother used to be a teacher at a Catholic school run by nuns in south Lebanon. Most of these nuns had come from Aleppo. So there must be a sizeable Christian community in that city.) The Arab Sunni of Iraq will make up with Iran and they will be spending their summer vacation in Iran’s gorgeous mountains.

8. THE KURDS: GENOCIDE ANYONE?

As I had told you in an earlier post: Talabani’s fiefdom abuts Iran’s border. So he will always be attuned to Iran’s interests. (Consider the zealous welcome he gave Rafsanjani on Rafsanjani’s recent three-day visit to Iraq.) So half of the Kurds will not be genocide-d against. Does Barazani want to butt head with Iran. Can’t do -- he will need to go through Talabani’s lines, mostly. He’s welcome to butt head with Turkey, which abuts his fiefdom. No genocide there -- just two ethnic brands of nationalism going at each other. And both will have to soften their nationalism. Turkey’s response to Barazani, if he barks, would have to be muted so not alienate the Turkish Kurds. Here, if I were Barazani, I’d try not to bark too loud lest I end up disturbing the benefits that have piledd up to Kurdish Iraq from the years of starvation and blockade to which the idiots and their European poodles (now more poodle-ish than ever, the harmful idiots having wiped them out financially) had subjected Arab Iraq.

One scenario is possible: that’s of the Shia state going after the Kurds and re-claiming Kirkuk in full. Genocide? The Kurds are too strong and Talabani way opportunistic (and flexible) to allow it. More importantly, Talabani will need to keep Barazani realistic. So: Arab-Kurdish turbulence: yes, quite likely, and possibly war. But no genocide. A Kurdish civil war? Yes, likely. But it’d be a war within the same group -- no genocide there.

9. SCARE TACTICS, NO MORE

That’s it. So cut the Israeli-Saudi bullshit parading as objective analysis. A trip-wire will do. To the Israelis: Love your brothers and sisters, the Palestinians. To the Saudis: Change that ruling crew and get someone of King Faisal’s caliber on that throne –--and have him visit Tehran and build a summer palace there.