OUT OF IRAQ

r o u g h firs t d r a ft

Defeat: frustration by nullification or by prevention of success. Webster’s


A friend commented that the last post was incomplete in that it didn’t account for all scenarios in Iraq.

Grant it. But the last post wasn’t meant to account for all scenarios. It was meant to refute the demagoguery ( re. false claims) to keep us in Iraq at tens of billion in cost per year.

I can’t conceive of a realistic scenario in Iraq that would result in genocide.

Here’s a variation on an exit scenario which seems to be the harmful idiots’ favorite plan, now adopted by the idiots-reluctant. Please forgive the repeated regressions. These are necessary if only to portray how bleak things look to me: Crusader, Bald Samson, and their Diaspora nationalists had bargained us into an unnecessary defeat from an unnecessary war based on foolish “theories.” Along the way, they bankrupted us, not realizing that the federal government they detest (the redoubt of the darker masses) is the same government they want to wage their stupid endless and harmful (even to us) wars.

THE HARMFUL IDIOTS’ SCENARIO

Masoud Barazani is a favorite guest in Kuwait, which is a base for the harmful idiots -- and from where these had sprung onto us and the region all the trouble we (and the people of the region, especially Iraq) are experiencing -- including our (in effect) defeat.

(I had warned in one of the earliest posts, pre-invasion, that unless the idiots can commit one million troops to the region to stay for generations -- that the U.S. should not invade. Otherwise it’d be defeat. Crusader and the Federal Reserve (under Mr. Greenspan) have so bankrupted us that Mr. Obama’s choices are bound to diminish week-after-week, until the economy and the financial world had stabilized, which isn’t in sight yet. As his choices diminish, Mr. Obama should become convinced -- and hopefully he would -- that saving the country and the federal government financially should be his only priority -- not Iraq and not Afghanistan.)

(I have this creeping suspicion that Crusader’s team and Mr. Greenspan were engaged in a coordinated “bring-down-the-temple” policy. The idea would’ve been to suck out China’s surplus to prevent it from becoming a super-power. As a side-benefit: to bankrupt the federal government so that the darker ones are prevented from enacting such social policies as national health insurance.)

Never forget it: the harmful idiots are forever miscalculating. They’re backed by a money-printing machine so they have no incentive to shed their habits, to learn, and to reboot their mind set. The latter is programmed in good part by nationalists of the Diaspora (sometimes right-wing, sometime liberal -- but forever Israel-centric) and by their inclusion of their beloved, Israel, in their worldwide chain of strategic alliances. I don’t see that ending any time soon. Frankly: I don’t care if it ends or not. I’m beyond this now; as is the country.

So they, idiots of harm and idiots of reluctance and their lapdog, Kuwait’s intelligence service, have been paying off Masoud Barazani. (He all but admitted that much in a recent visit to Kuwait.) But why?

The harmful idiots (and now the idiots-reluctant) want Mr. Barazani to protect the idiots’ Arab Sunni assets in Iraq, especially that our bankruptcy may force us to get the hell out -- in full. These assets live precariously, having shed their once-effective insurgency. That insurgency had put them on the map in Iraq and in the region and had set them in a good position to bargain with the Shia and Iran.

Had they continued on with their insurgency, these Arab Sunni would’ve helped even Baathist Syria bargain better (or bargain at all) for them with Iran. But they made the lazy mistake of accepting idiot and Saudi money. The end result: We leave and many of the “leaders” of the Arab Sunni will leave with us, to the Gulf countries, to Barazani’s fiefdom, and to San Diego. Thus, the idiots want Barazani to threaten the Shia state should this one go Iranian all the way after they order total withdrawal. They want Barazani to, in effect, bargain for the Arab Sunni with the Shia state and with Iran.

(It’s unclear whether Maliki’s recent overture to the “Baathists” had Iran’s approval. Likely not. Likely, the man was trying to please the idiots. If no Iranian approval, then expect a huge exodus of Arab Sunni “leaders” and lesser Baathists from Iraq if U.S. troops leave. San Diego, where the Iraqi-American community has been heading for years, leaving balmy Detroit, will host so many of these -- after a transition stop in places like Jordan, Barazani’s fiefdom, and the U.A.E. Not to mince words: defeats are defeats. Without one million troops to stay for generations, we can’t win in Iraq even if we wanted to. It’s over. The problem for Iran will be Syria which likely cannot bear the -- in effect -- de-Arabization of Iraq. But here, Syria may be stuck with Iran since the Israelis are unlikely to pull out in full of ALL pre-1967 Palestine and the Joulan. Not to mention the Hariri tribunal, especially that the recent international warrant on Sudan’s president likely should convince the Syrian leadership that the West (and their Saudi lapdog) will hang it (as it did Saddam Hussein) the moment it could -- that the current opening to it is a tactical measure, no more, until the West’s bankruptcy is reined in. And the Saudis will not be able to help since all they’re able to do is pump money here and there. They have no troops. Truly: they’re useless. Ditto for the Egyptians. Ditto for the Europeans.)


(There may be enough for Syria to be angry with Mr. Putin’s team for not vetoing the Hariri tribunal at the U.N. Security Council; but the benefits from Russia and Iran likely outweigh the certain-to-come treachery by the (terrifically) Israel-centric defeated harmful idiots and their European lapdogs. The question: will Iran and Russia coordinate? How well? And will Iran cut Syria a slack in Iraq by, in part, giving Muqtada as-Sadr a role in Iraqi politics?)

Barazani is happy to accept the money -- Kuwait’s and ours. But this stratagem by the harmful idiots may at best be ineffective and, at worse, lead to an intra-Kurdish civil war.

Remember Talabani? His fiefdom abuts Iran. So he has to be careful and continue on in his alliance with Iran’s people in Iraq -- and with Iran. Talabani is the best thermometer of opportunism in the region, maybe even the world. He knows the harmful idiots are finished in Iraq. Hence his warm (very warm, as a doormat) welcome of Mr. Rafsanjani on the latter’s recent visit to Iraq. I forgot how he described the visit. (I didn’t write it down.) But I swear he described it as something akin to a “blessing.”

Tat by the harmful idiots in playing Barazani’s card; tit by Iran in igniting an intra-Kurdish civil war.