TRAVEL ALERT

Please read IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER at end of post.

(Note: “AFTER THE RETREAT.”

I had started to write what I had hoped would be a series of posts titled, “The Arab Nation: After the Retreat.” But, as happens often when I write, I awoke to something which in this instance I deemed more pressing. I awoke to the fact that the positioning-and-maneuvering between the reluctant ones and Iran, in anticipation of their upcoming meeting in Geneva, might slide towards violence against traveling American civilians. So I interrupted the “After the Retreat” assessments and am issuing this travel alert.

It’s important to note that the issuance of this Alert has been delayed by two days. The delay is due to the fact that I don’t even dare use my computer - - but for the very basic necessities - - any longer. The harmful idiots had pumped so much money into the hiring of informants and computer hackers - - people around me - - that I counted seven people who’ve secured a stream of income just by passing information, handwriting samples, email activities, family history, poetry collection (“Diwan”) and what have you to “consulting firms” (the intelligence establishment) in exchange for payments. These have included at least two, possibly three, “colleagues” (attorneys) whose greediness, adoration of money, (and love for Israel) know no limit. At any rate these have and are acting on behalf of an intelligence establishment which had decided to try to shut down this newsletter. Hence the intimidation and harassment at the Superior Court of the District of Columbia, and against my father at the Lebanese Maronite Church, Our Lady of Lebanon. Because of computer hacking, over-and-over-and-over again by the informants, in this instance, I’ve had to wait to have access to a computer that’s not mine to post this Alert.)


POSITIONING-AND-MANEUVERING

Positioning-and-maneuvering between Iran and the United states is ongoing.
Consider, for instance, the revelation by Iran about the new nuclear fuel processing location and the concerted reaction of President Obama, France’s President and England’s Prime Minister.

Consider that the U.S. almost certainly had known about the location Iran had revealed. Consider that the U.S. had not said anything earlier about it. (The U.S. started collecting information about it in 2007.)

Consider that Iran’s revelation and the Western leaders’ reaction were all part of the positioning-and-maneuvering that are (necessarily?) preceding the scheduled face-to-face negotiations to be held in Geneva.

MORE POSITIONING-AND-MANEUVERING

Consider that the idiots likely persuaded Plantation Iraq’s President Jalal Talabani to go back on his declaration against requesting U.N. Security Council intervention in the form of a tribunal. Maliki had called for an international tribunal to investigate the “Wednesday Bombings” (against the two ministries). Jalal Talabani’s office, including two Vice Presidents, earlier had declared this call by Maliki illegal. Talabani, in a recent volte-face, now does want the international tribunal. The overstretched idiots likely had told him thathe shouldn’t have given away the store outside of the scheduled negotiations.

Consider, too, that the U.S. had retaken over the security institutions in Iraq - - according to the Arab press - - after having surrendered them to Maliki’s people. The idiots are re-positioning. Their return to take over the Shiite state’s security institutions likely is meant to send the message to the Iranians that we’ll delay our withdrawal from Iraq, SOFA-or-no-SOFA. We will stay in Iraq until we’re ready to attack (less realistic) or simply to assure a tighter blockade (more realistic.) (There had been rumors reported in the Arab press that Iranian influence had so increased within these institutions that intelligence staff had started to run away to Jordan. Will the re-take-over stem that flight?)

(Forgive the sarcasm: The idiots’ protégés in the Arab nation are fretting over the obvious disappearance of the once-aggressive excitement that the former deranged Administration had brought to the region. They had so enjoyed the illusions. What with Jordan’s Prince Hasan gloating that the United States had become Jordan’s neighbor. (For the dense ones: the Prince had been thrilled that the U.S. had taken over Iraq; he was so sure it’ll stay.) With Mr. Obama, and following a gargantuan national bankruptcy: No more Greater Middle East; no New (and Improved) Middle East; no Union for the Mediterranean. All gone. What’s left is a sorry attempt by a prominent and skillful former U.S. Senator to negotiate a minute part of the peace needed - without the money to back up the necessary wider peace. That money had been spent on the Iraq and Afghanistan Projects. Still is. I bet no one had told Senator Mitchell that he was being sent on a political suicide mission - - his own. Then still swimming in their sea of illusions, the idiots likely had told him that the matter was a national security priority. He believed them. He listened to the idiots! (IMPORTANT: I have no “in” with anyone. I’m SPECULATING.) Even I had once believed that the idiots were not!)


TRAVEL ALERT

The positioning-and-maneuvering between the idiots and Iran might heat up especially that President Obama and the British and French Executives had promised Iran strict sanctions. Should these sanctions prove effective (such as by intercepting refined gasoline from Venezuela to Iran - - for now China seems to be meeting Iran’s demand), Iran should be expected to retaliate. This might prove particularly true if the Russians join in with the U.S. and NATO. What I’m saying is that the idiots might implement something painful - - such as intercepting gasoline shipments - - as part of the positioning-and-maneuvering. As a consequence (also within the framework of positioning-and maneuvering, a phase that may continue on into that of direct negotiations in Geneva), Iran could retaliate in Iraq or in Afghanistan - - the more likely locations. But it could, too, retaliate overseas. And that retaliation might be of the expedient type - - against U.S, French, and British civilians. I suspect Iran has a network of operatives - - many of them Hezbollah - - all over the globe, especially where Shiite communities - -mostly of the Lebanese Diaspora - - are located. Too, Iran likely has strong connections to Sunni Islamists across the world, the Muslim world in particular.

Iran has Iraq and Afghanistan to retaliate, and Lebanon. So it doesn’t need retaliation worldwide, especially against civilians. But the tension might prove of a kind that would widen the rift even more between the “Muslim World” and the “Christian.” Loose bullets might take action independently.

But the heart of it still is the positioning-and-maneuvering. So: Lest tension between the idiots and the Iranians spike too fast, as perhaps when the idiots undertake some form of punishment that would truly hurt the Iranians - - you should consider less travel to such places as West Africa, South America, and majority-Muslim countries. I would suspend plans to travel to these destinations until the picture becomes clearer about the positioning-and-maneuvering, and about the upcoming face-to-face negotiations.

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IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER:

This newsletter is an open source publication where I produce analysis based solely on my reading of newspapers. This newsletter has no connection WHATSOEVER to anyone in government, to ANY government, or to the business world.