LEVERAGE: WILL ARAB SYRIA BE ABLE TO FOIL THE ASSAULT ON OPEC/SAUDI ARABIA AND THE PROMISED STRANGULATION (THROUGH PLANTATION IRAQ) OF IRAN?

D R A F T

ARAB SYRIA: WHY IS IT SO GODDAM ARAB?

Arab Syria might seem an enigma to many. But a an eminently-non-disciplined perspective, as I intend for this essay, might shed some light on the subject.

Let me posit the following:

1. Arab Syria, unlike say African Egypt, couldn’t shed its Arab identity even if it wanted. For a number of reasons:

a) Arab Syria is the heart of Bilad al-Sham (The Lands of Damascus), historically Sunni and Arab. These Bilad stretch outward in so many directions and reach into the heart of Arab Islam: the Hijaz - - Mecca and Medina - - and into Arab Yemen.

b) Inhabited by many minorities (Alawites, various sects of Christians, Druze, Kurds, and Armenians), and Arab Sunni in its majority, Arab Syria by necessity has to remain Arab - - to keep the peace among the minorities, Arab and not, and between the minorities and the Sunni Arab majority. The Arab cultural identity is the bridge among all of these. Arab culture, literature, art, and defense of the Arab identity and of the Arab lands are by (iron- clad) necessity Arab Syria’s way to keep the peace within itself. The examples of disintegration when that identity is shed sit geographically on two sides of Arab Syria’s borders, if only to remind Arab Syria of what might happen to it:

i. Lebanon, which civil war was in good part (only in good part) a miscalculation by the Israel-Anchored Ones (what’s new?) some of whose Christian leaders tried to take it the “Jewish state” way - -to form an exclusively “Christian state;” and

ii. Iraq: the victim (in a hugely significant way) of the terrific power Israeli-American institutions and strategists possess in Washington, D.C. - - to motivate-and-direct the foreign-and-military policy of the United States in the Arab nation and the Muslim World - - and now towards China. (For the latter, see prior post, “How to Scratch Away at the Litter Box: The Israel-Anchored Reluctant Ones Bully china.”) Thanks to Israel’s Boys terrific influence in directing the U.S. government policy in the Arab nation and the Muslim World, Iraq’s Kurds finally are able to boast a de facto ethnically-exclusive state a la Israel, Kurdish as Jewish, one that is more powerful than the disintegrated states south of it in the rest of Plantation Iraq - -the Arab Sunni and the Arab Shia.

b) The two illustrations of disintegration (Lebanon and Iraq) bring out yet another factor that accounts for Arab Syria’s stubborn Arab nationalism:

The fact that the Israel-Anchored institutions of the United States, on the way to dominate on behalf of themselves-as-Anchored-to-Israel, will use (as would any colonial or conquering power) any sectarian-or-religious division to break apart countries. To make the point: If the harmful Idiots AKA Reluctant Ones were spreading across the Arab nation, calling for such things as the unity of this Arab nation and the necessity for an Arab common market, without direct military conquest, they may be able to spread and dominate way more easily. I would dare say, they likely would be welcomed. Or I should say “would’ve been” since, as things stand now, it’ll be too little too late, as the Islamic identity seems to prevail in Western Asia and the presence and conquest by Christian U.S. troops keeps that Islamic identity thriving.


2. Protecting the Arab identity is significantly determined by the need to defeat Israel’s schemes on Arab lands, water, and Arab unity. In other words, you can’t be Arab (and keep Arab Syria united) if you allow the Israelis (and their Diaspora institutions, especially in the lands of the Harmful Idiots and the Reluctant Ones, to have their way against the Palestinians, the Syrian, and the other Arabs. This entails the following:

a) Arab Syria, unlike African Egypt, could not sign a separate peace treaty with Israel. The Palestinians are Arab and fall within the Arab consensus that keeps Syria united. The Syrians, therefore, couldn’t quit on the Palestinians and not have that put a major dent in their Arabism and likely destabilize their own country. (Jordan, Arab, was able to sign because its signing had buttressed the separation between Palestinian and Jordanian, benefiting the regime, while affirming that the moral, historical, and financial responsibility for the theft of Palestinian land and nationhood falls on those who committed that theft: the Israelis, their Diaspora, and the Europeans - - and now the Americans. What’s ingenious is that the closeness of the Jordanian state to Israel forecloses one option Israel dies to execute: the Transfer.)

b) Arab Syria, via Arab nationalism, can project power.


c) Arab Syria features a class of elite that is as sophisticated as was Arab Iraq’s—before the Diaspora institutions put an end to that country to replace it with a Plantation for Big Oil and Bechtel-like outfits. This elite isn’t about to allow a Jewish-American elite (or those associated with these, even if Muslim) to dominate the elite circles in the Arab nation. Grant it, Syria’s Arab elite isn’t the only one fearful of that threat. Other Arab elite (and now Turkish) share that concern. Call this concern a part-and-parcel of protecting the Arab identity.

Besides, to the Syrian elite - -and now even to the Chinese (see prior post, “Scratching Away at the Litter Box…”) - - the continued success of the Diaspora elite in Plantation Iraq (the Diaspora elite already had scored success when it had eliminated and dismantled Arab Iraq, but more success seem to loom on the horizon with Big Oil’s rush which would fund the state the Israel-Anchored Ones had built in Plantation Iraq) - - such continued success should bestow on the Diaspora elite yet more power in Washington, D.C. With more power, the Diaspora elite should possess yet more ability to influence the policy of the United States in the Arab nation and the Muslim World. Arab Syria ponders that, as do many among the Arab (and now Turkish) elite, both government and opposition. (You can spot this concern even in the cautious “establishment” press, e.g., Saudi.)

3. Syria as a cargo cult.

By succeeding against attempts to disintegrate it, most recently by Saudi Arabia (the Bandar bin Sultan faction) at the service of the Jewish Boys, Crusader, and Bald Samson, Arab Syria, as a state, has shown that it wouldn’t allow but the central government to be the recipient of cargo. (In the days when Saudi intelligence, on behalf of the Israel-Anchored Ones, was trying to disintegrate Arab Syria, I remember an incident where that intelligence service tried to pass on $50 million to one Syrian tribe.) Here’s one way Cargo Cult-ism works: If, for instance, Bashar al-Asad issues a threat from Tehran, that threat - - I suspect - - would cost Tehran a couple hundred million dollars. After all, Arab Syria as a state has to pay salaries.

(Another example of cargo cult-ism: Most recently, the Lebanese Christian leader Michel Aoun, who the Harmful Idiots and the Israelis betrayed as they had the Christians of Lebanon - -who had been fighting as a result of the Israel-centric schemes of the Harmful and Reluctant Idiots, and who is now allied to Syria, visited with Bashar al-Asad. My father asked me to speculate about his visit? My answer: Syria wants to assure Mr. Aoun that it’ll not return to the days when its main ally in Lebanon had been Waleed Jumblatt - - not even when Jumblatt’s son takes over the mantle of Lebanese Druze leadership - -not after Mr. Jumblatt had allied himself to the Jewish Boys, to Crusader, and to Bald Samson- -and likely had men of his visit Israel to scheme against Arab Syria. In addition, Mr. Al-Asad, now likely flush with Saudi money (see below), made a payment to General Aoun for the general to make payments to his organization. Cargo cults. My father chose not to hear that.)

BUT A QUALIFIED CARGO CULT

It’s important to stress that the cargo cult feature of Arab Syria’s identity doesn’t mean that Syria would shed that identity just because alternative payments, made say by the Israel-Anchored Reluctant Ones, are proposed. The nature of Arab Syria’s cargo cult-ism is to accept payments, even look for them, from those who would buttress its Arab identity not from those who would weaken that identity - - lest Syria fall victim to the state-of-disintegration that are Lebanon and the Iraqi Plantation of the Israel-Anchored Ones.

So Arab Syria can accept money from both Iran and Saudi Arabia at the same time. From Iran: to keep Hezbollah ready to deter Israel; from Saudi Arabia - -

Here’s my suspicion: Syria and Saudi Arabia –each for his reasons--are now allied to defeat the Shia state in Iraq. (IT’S ONLY A SUSPICION.)

You will ask: But what about Iran? Would it let Syria, its ally, work with Saudi Arabia to defeat the Shia State in Plantation Iraq?

My answer: All that Iran can ask of Syria is that Arab Syria remains the strategic depth for Hezbollah to deter Israel - -and to influence Lebanese politics to protect Hezbollah’s back. That’s mostly all.

And there may be a benefit for Iran in the sponsorship by the alliance of Saudi Arabia and Syria of Baathist leaders and Sunni Islamists, joined together, to defeat the Shia state—though, I admit, I’m now stretching things. By keeping the Shia state a failed state -- and not in any obvious or visible way because of Iran - - the Shia state would need Iran for as long as it exists. Not stretching things: Iran would want its people in government in Iraq, and Maliki has been deemed too fickle. Iran would want the SCIRI-Hakim clan - -though, I suspect that it would give up eventually on that clan, too, because that clan likely would be fickle as well. (By fickle I’m referring to the tendency of parties to be at the ready to be lured by the Israel-Anchored Ones.) Iran can try out proxies to its heart’s content. In the end I think it can only rely on the Sadrists - -however much it distrusts these for their Arabism. Syria and the Baath likely would get along best with the Sadrists, too, and not as well with the SCIRI crowd. That, too, might scare Iran off. The last thing Iran needs is yet another Arab nationalist state in Plantation Iraq. But Iran-being-strangled may not have the luxury of choices of proxies-and-friends anyway.

Since the Iraqi Sunnis chose to flee to Arab Syria (and not to the Land of Bandar bin Sultan, whose faction colluded with Israel and its Boys to totally disinherit the Arab Sunnis of Iraq and make them eat Israeli and Saudi Royal shit) Arab Syria has gained practically a nation-in-exile - -the Arab Iraqi Sunnis. Strangely enough, the Saudi King, who had so recently and obediently (likely on Mr. Bandar’s advice) colluded in the Jewish Boys’ plans to defeat the Arab Sunnis of Iraq, and whose intelligence services had worked so hard to disintegrate Syria, that Old King recently trekked to Damascus.

What was the Saudi King up to? I submit (it’s only a suspicion) he finalized and alliance with Arab Syria, not only for Arab Syria to mediate between him and Iran ( a conclusion of one of my prior posts) but, more importantly, to fund Syria’s effort (with Iran as silent partner of Syria’s—not of Saudi Arabia’s?) to defeat the state the Israel-Anchored Ones are building in Plantation Iraq. Saudi Money flowed to Arab Syria; it was welcomed. (Please remember: this is my analysis; I have no hard evidence.)

Arab Syria now sits pretty: Under the (indirect) protection of NATO, via Turkey, able to deter via Hezbollah, getting paid by Iran, getting paid by Saudi Arabia, and a key player in Plantation Iraq.

Talking about latitude and leverage!

STILL, THE QUESTION REMAINS: CAN IRAN, ARAB SYRIA, AND SAUDI ARABIA DEFEAT THE ISRAEL-ANCHORED ONES IN OCCUPIED IRAQ?

There’s a lot at stake, especially after Big Oil’s move onto the Iraqi landscape. For once, OPEC may see its demise or, if not, near-total control of it by the Israel-Anchored Ones - -via Plantation Iraq. If the Israel-Anchored Ones are able to spike Iraqi production to the promised 6-10 million bpd, OPEC would be finished. Busting OPEC finishes Saudi Arabia’s role as the Swing Producer. It’ll be the beginning of the end for its ruling family since the income of the Kingdom would at worst so diminish; at best the income of the Kingdom would vacillate at the whim of the Israel-Anchored Ones - -though it should NEVER return to anything close to what the kingdom currently makes. The Kingdom therefore will have to live on much less than it ever had since 1973. Politically, if Saudi Arabia had kissed the ass of Israel and its Diaspora in the recent past, it’ll have to hug that ass and suck in its farts once Iraq ups its production to six million bpds.

Iran is threatened (seemingly) even more. The Israel-Anchored Reluctant Ones have seduced Chinese, Russian and other non-Western oil companies by giving them a piece of the Plantation Iraq's oil. If stability asserts itself under the State the Israel-Anchored Ones had built in Plantation Iraq, the oil contracts of the Chinese and Russians should entice the two to join into the strangulation of Iran - - or, at least, not work against this strangulation. (Things are fuzzy about Russia. Cheaper oil through upped production in Plantation Iraq should diminish its income, too. I have my theory about what the Russians are up to; but it’s not for this space. As for China, it couldn’t afford to stay out of the Iraqi market; but would Iran remain its insurance policy against the schemes and ruses of the Israel-Anchored Ones? Likely.) In addition, allowing the Israel-Anchored Reluctant Ones such a free hand in Plantation Iraq (through the state they’re building) would mean that Arab Syria would be sandwiched between two enemies: Israel and Plantation Iraq.

We know that Arab Syria and Iran are strategic partners. I suspect that now Arab Syria and Saudi Arabia are partners, too, if only to defeat the state the Israel-Anchored Ones are building in Plantation Iraq. (I suspect, too, that the Israel-Anchored Ones are playing the Kurdish card to pressure Turkey to join in the strangulation of Iran. But Iran should take care of that likely by warring with the Kurds and coordinating with the Turks - - even the Generals, since I don't think these will ever return to an Israeli mold until they defeat the Country of Kurdistan - - against the Country of Kurdistan.)

The question remains: Will Arab Syria mend the rift between Iran and Saudi Arabia? Is it trying? Has it happened already, in secret? And are Saud al-Faisal’s recent statements to the contrary an act - - a ruse - -to keep the Israel-Anchored Ones self-satisfied while the Kingdom hedges its bets?