ENGINEERING A CRASH TO END ALL CRASHES

very rough draft.

This is a wild perspective on the economic/financial crisis. So take everything I say here with a grain of salt.

1. Let us say that there was a trade and currency war between the United States and China before the crash. Let us say that China was adamant about not allowing its currency to appreciate so that theoretically -- theoretically, no more -- our products (the two we produce in the U.S.) would be cheaper and our people would be working thanks to China importing from us. Just as their people were working thanks to our people importing from them.

2. Let us say that Britain had gone through something similar when it used to import tons of tea from China. Britain would ask China to import something in return from Britain -- to no avail. Britain then devised a scheme: we grow opium in India and use our Navy to force that opium on the Chinese as a way of re-balancing trade with them. This way we’ll get some of our silver back, the same silver we were paying for the tea.

3. Let us say that the White House and Alan Greenspan colluded on engineering the crash in that they both acted with purposeful nonchalance – with (intentional) gross negligence. The White House squandered a Clinton-era surplus; and the Fed refused to raise rates so as to control a wild real estate bubble -- and to control the White House's profligacy. Taxation (a White House’s initiative) and/or higher interest rates (the Fed’s) would’ve avoided the disaster. But it wouldn’t have forced China to re-assess its stubbornness on balancing the trade between the two countries. Tangentially, or maybe not (likely not), China’s economic strength was sooner or later to translate into military power. One more reason (maybe the main reason) to deflate the Chinese economically.

4. Let us say that the Fed knew the bubble would explode; but, as it partook in the trade war, the Fed considered that so many foreign rivals were investing in the real estate bubble -- and creating American jobs and wealth for developers and the Fed’s friends the bankers -- that it kept a hands-off approach. That it figured that when the bubble would burst, so many of the foreign rivals would go bankrupt. Since the U.S. can print money which still would be considered a safe haven (Treasury notes) the U.S. should be able to print its way out of the meltdown, but it’ll be more difficult for the foreign rivals, including China, to do the same..

5. Let us say that this hands-off policy, in its results, would re-assert American dominance over a united Europe and would force the issue of balanced trade with China. Or, more to the point, would scuttle China’s push towards the super-power status.

6. Let us say that China prepared for this American scenario by piling up two trillion dollars-worth of hard currency in reserve.

7. Let us say that for now the crash engineers will need to wait out the Chinese until these spend the $2 trillion and be made modest, accepting the engineers’ conditions for a more balanced trade. But there’s a problem here: the only way balanced trade will occur is if wages in the U.S. are so scaled back, so repressed, as to equal in their meagerness the wages in China. Even if one accounts for a re-evaluation of China’s currency, how could an American worker be expected to accept wages so low? (Should we expect a domestic social upheaval?)

8. Let us say that the White House played its role in this trade war by spending away on “wars” -- on its constituency, really, in the military-industrial complex. (These “wars” made millionaires out of so many.) The White House, too, played its Fed-assigned role by squandering away the Clinton-era surplus in a tax give-away, and wouldn’t even think about raising taxes for the “wars” it chose to wage, yet another route to speed-up the crash.

9. The questions: Did the Fed and others around it know that the crash would be so severe? Will we pay a price in social upheavals as a result? And what’s the plan for what comes after? Is there a plan? Are we going to be able to see a manufacturing re-birth in America? Less importing? Will the international players be able to synchronize new trade rules that allow for all to have their cake in employment share? Or is the crash the norm for what’s to come: repeated crashes meant to discipline China and prevent it from gaining a super-power status? Which might just mean that we’re up against more of the same -- with China piling up more of a surplus and our Fed (in cahoots with a White House) engineering more crashes in the future to scuttle China's goal of attaining the sought-after superpower status.

My guess: politics will eventually displace public policy and a new Bush-Greenspan-like team will emerge to give us more bubbles. More crashes. More of the same.

THE IDIOTS-RELUCTANT : THE ILLUSIONS

rough 2nd draft -- Added parts are prefaced by a bold "ADDED" towards the end of the post

WHAT TO CALL THEM

As I was leafing (so to speak) through Arab publications, I saw a reference to U.S. Senator John Kerry ordering the Saudi proxies in Lebanese politics (allied to those on the payroll of the idiots-reluctant -- see below) to win the upcoming parliamentary elections against the Iranian-Syrian proxies. I got to thinking: I need to find a name for the new Diaspora-hugging cadres of the Obama Administration. I know: Bush Junior had fused the foreign policy institutions of the United States to those of Israel. But if you think about it: all he did was take to new height what the Diaspora-centric Democrats had always done or wanted to do. With one difference: Crusader was a non-treated alcoholic, which very likely affected his decision-making, perhaps adding a sadistic flair to his personality. (Or perhaps the sadistic trait had been there to begin with, and alcohol was used to dampen it to make the person more socially acceptable, then the sadism was made worse by non-treatment of the alcoholism.) No such recklessness in the new administration. But what am I going call the old-new foreign policy cadres whose ranks are so intermingled with the ranks of the revered Diaspora? How am I gonna explain events such as when Martin Indik, a Diaspora nationalist, visits Qatar. Is he visiting as representative of the Diaspora? Or as representative of the Diaspora’s Brookings Institution? Or as representative of Israel? Or the Obama Administration? Did he carry a threat to Qatar from the Diaspora?

The idiotic element is still with us in the Obama Administration, in good part because its foreign policy cadres are so intermingled with the Diaspora cadres, which colors its perspective of the Arab and Islamic Worlds. This fusion, so to speak, among cadres places severe limits on the country’s freedom to maneuver in those Worlds. Rivals are happy: they can use the fusion of the foreign policy institutions of the United States with those of the Diaspora/Israel as a powerful wedge issue in the Arab and Islamic Worlds. The best illustration here is Iran’s championing of the rights of the Palestinians -- who are both Arab (the Arab World) and Muslim in their majority (the Islamic World.) So we know that the “idiot” element is still with us. But we also know that the harmfulness is on its way out, mostly. And we do know that there’s a new sense of realism about limitations to U.S. abilities in the Arab World. That the Israelis and the Palestinians, for instance, have to do it together; that no one can force them to agree. Hence the mediation (and nothing more) by former U.S. Senator Mitchell. This realism tampers the severity of idiocy.

Hence my new-found name for the foreign policy cadres of the Obama Administration. I shall call them “the idiots- reluctant.”

THE LIKELY ILLUSIONS OF THE IDIOTS-RELUCTANT

Here are refutations to the illusions the idiots-reluctant hold or are likely to hold:

1. Reality check: The end of Saudi Influence.

Saudi Arabia can’t change much in the region. Neither can Egypt, which influence had ended when it left its Arab “siblings” behind and signed a separate peace treaty with Israel -- Camp David. Saudi Arabia tried to recapture some influence at the Kuwait economic summit. But its volte-face there -- criticizing Israel for its savagery in Gaza -- , in view of its earlier support of the Israelis, was disingenuous -- supremely fake. It was (and is), therefore, to naught in that this volte-face will not gain the Saudi ruling elite any more legitimacy at home or in the Islamic or Arab Worlds.

That this ruling elite now is seeking an Arab consensus is indication of defeat, nothing less. Which would be fine had Saudi Arabia had armed forces to reckon with. But it doesn’t. Its armed forces are just another way at funneling money about and its defense contracts AKA protection money are nothing but the same (e.g. the Yamama contract with Britain and Bandar bin Sultan’s alleged $2 bn commission.) Had the Kingdom had effective armed fores, its defeat (thanks to Crusader and Bald Samson and the Diaspora) would’ve been an occasion to re-assess its defense strategy as smart Iran had done following its defeat by Arab Iraq. The Saudi ruling elite, however, foolishly had adopted (and possibly still does) the dubious proposition that Israel is a strategic ally. (Strategic ally for what?) Foolishly, the Saudi ruling elite went as far as aiming to finish the only Sunni army left that can fight for Saudi Arabia sooner or later: Hamas. As if to push the envelope on an absurdly baseless Israel-as-a-strategic-ally proposition, the Saudi ruling elite gave its Israeli ally one last chance to finish Hamas once-and-for all. But the Israelis proved reluctant to be the army of politically-bankrupt Arab reaction -- which Israel had defeated on the battlefield (Egypt) and politically (stealing any source of influence away from Saudi Arabia in the United States and exposing it albeit inadvertently -- on Diaspora theories -- in Iraq.) More importantly, the Israelis didn’t want to lose troops by fighting in an urban environment. So they resorted to murdering civilians, including children, from a distance, wholesale. Hamas didn’t have the wherewithal to stop them. It could do one thing: hide and wait out the Israelis while these massacred away. Hamas succeeded.

It thus became clear to the Saudi ruling elite that their Israeli ally is useless. More correctly: that their “strategic” ally -- by dodging urban warfare and replacing it with murdering civilians from afar -- is harmful. Not that the new awareness helped in any significant way. The Saudi ruling elite has nowhere to go. The only way it can get out of its defeat is to begin by changing the cadre at the top and place people there who (1) aren’t known for corruption and (2) aren’t exposed to blackmail, internationally. What are the chances for that?

2. Reality check: the end of Saudi influence -- Between a bankrupt protector and an agile Iran.

Events have piled up to compel the Saudi ruling elite to change course or, more correctly (at this point of confusion), to act as if it’s changing course. These events:

i. The dogged feats of Arab resistance -- Hezbollah in 2006 and Hamas recently;
ii. losing Iraq to Iran; and
iii. the financial bankruptcy of the American state, Saudi Arabia’s main protector.

The bankrupt American state will not be able to wage war on Iran in the foreseeable future. To put it differently: the bankrupt American state (the federal government) can deter Iran conventionally, but it absolutely and most certainly can’t vitiate the immense influence which Iran gains in the Arab and Muslim Worlds by supporting the Palestinians and Arab Syria. If anything: Iran’s support of the Palestinians castrates the harmful idiots whose foreign policy institutions have all but fused with those of Israel. Crusader and his circle have turned us into the albatross of the globe. Harmful idiots inspired by the Jewish Right bankrupted us, not realizing (they’re so Israel-focused) that bankruptcy devastates our foreign policy.

The idiots-reluctant, whose ranks are one-and-the-same as those of the Diaspora, depreciate our foreign policy even further by flying about, not realizing that all know that they represent a bankrupt state and therefore have little or no pull. (I'm talking about -- maybe only about, and only maybe -- the many congressional delegations.) They seem like little teenagers who so want to fly about the globe. The only ammunition they have: President Obama’s image. But that will wear out fast. Common sense. “Where’s the beef?”

3. Reality check: Iraqi Kurdistan as a safe base of operation for the idiots-reluctant. Not.

The Kurdish leadership was one of the two main pillars on which Crusader, Bald Samson, and the Diaspora built to invade and eliminate Arab Iraq. Here’s a reality check:

Jalal Talabani’s fiefdom in Iraqi Kurdistan abuts Iran’s borders. which means: Iran has influence over, say, half of Iraq’s Kurdistan. That’s why Kuwait, a base of the harmful idiots from where they had set up Arab Iraq and the U.S. Congress (which knew it was being set up but it and all U.S. institutions allow each American President one war to feel Presidential and help him erect his penis), welcomes Masoud Barazani and showers him with financial and other support.

The idea is to use Barazani’s Peshmergas as leverage to control Iraq’s Shia state. Barazani’s fiefdom in Iraqi Kurdistan has a buffer zone between it and Iran The buffer zone: Talabani’s fiefdom. Masoud therefore can act more freely as paid proxy of the harmful idiots and of Kuwaiti intelligence -- dominated by the harmful idiots. But, if push comes to shove, Iran may be able to ignite an intra-Kurdish civil war: Talabani’s fiefdom against Barazani’s. Saddam Hussein had done in the past. So it can be done. But only if Iran feels threatened. As things stand, Barazani for now isn’t a threat to Iran and to its influence in Iraq. If anything, Peshmerga pressure on the Shia state may benefit Iran in that it’ll push that state deeper into Iran’s lap.

The harmful idiots and the idiots-reluctant may have to factor in (as should their man, Barazani) that the Kurdish nationalist is prisoner of that very nationalism. So what? Well, he moves to restrict the PKK (Kurdistan Workers’ Party) to his own peril, politically speaking. If he doesn’t, Turkey howls. If he does: his own people will get his ass and that of his son.



4. Reality check: it’s highly unlikely that Iran and Turkey will wage war on each other.

Iran and, to a lesser extent, Turkey, are trying to fill the void left by the elimination of Arab Iraq. Hence, if you hadn’t noticed, the hyper travel schedule in the region of Turkish officials. Iran has an advantage in this “race.” Though Turkey had condemned Israel’s massacre of Palestinian civilians in Gaza, Turkey comes nowhere close in the competition for the hearts and minds of the Arab public and that’s due mainly to Iran’s unwavering support of the Palestinians and Syria. Besides, Turkey is yet to gain the trust of that public. I don’t keep up with Turkish affairs, but I suspect (and so likely does the Arab elite) that the old alliance between the war and intelligence institutions of Turkey and those of Israel likely is still strong.

The Saudi ruling elite watches as Iran and Turkey gain prominence in the region while Saudi Arabia is left behind. The Saudi ruling elite must feel totally defeated and helpless. Worse: totally irrelevant. So it and the idiots-reluctant AKA Diaspora may engage in some wishful thinking. To awaken everyone: It behooves the irrelevant Saudi ruling elite and the idiots-reluctant to shed any illusion that Turkey and Iran will wage war againsgt each other. It could happen, but it’s unlikely. Commercial exchange in the region (and between Russia and Turkey and Russia and Iran) is thriving. Both Iran and Turkey will think twice before engaging in wars. Not to mention that their war, if it ever happens, will include the funding and arming of Kurds, some against Turkey, some against Iran. A messy and expensive state of affairs that both Turkey and Iran should dread.

5. Reality check: Turkey and Iran are here to stay as players in Arab decision-making.

So: Iran and Turkey are here to stay, more Iran than Turkey, as part of “Arab”decision-making. And that is because --

a. Neither Saudi Arabia nor Egypt have armed forces to reckon with; AND

b. Iran is too smart to let the Arab nation (Sunni, but Shia , too), including Egypt, be mobilized against it.

(These two factors are one and the same. Discuss.)


6. Reality check: Lebanon can only be governed by consensus.

Maybe the Saudi ruling elite -- and the idiots-reluctant, if the reporting about Senator Kerry’s order (see above) is true -- feel that Lebanon is where they’ll take a stand and regain some luster. So Saudi intelligence, via Hariri, is pumping money to effectively buy votes for the upcoming parliamentary elections. I think the Hariri camp possibly will pull a modest victory.

But anyone who knows Lebanon (and has American interest in her heart not Israel’s, as many a Lebanese agent of that country, or is not self-serving as would be the payees of the idiots-reluctant in Lebanon) can tell you that Lebanon can only be governed by consensus. Almost any sect, in its ability to build coalitions, holds what the Lebanese have always known as a “veto power” on the action of the state, including the armed forces. So a parliamentary victory in Lebanon for the Saudi camp will mean diddly-shit in terms of achieving the goals of the dying Axis of Conquest and New Colonialism -- such as disarming Hezbollah. The Lebanese army will not get you out of the need for the consensus.

Besides, you should expect that Hezbollah and its allies will wage a campaign asking that Lebanon be compensated in the hundreds of billions of dollar for the destruction the Israeli war on the Palestinians has caused it and for the destruction the very presence of the Palestinians (410,000 by last count) has done to it. The campaign might just stick since all the Lebanese know that Lebanon is bankrupt and needs the money. And they should be, consciously or not, reluctant to let go of the only card they have to obtain that money.

Sadly for all, however, no one has that money since Crusader, Bald Samson, and the Diaspora had spent it on chimeric schemes to Judeo-Evangelize Arab Iraq. So, to the idiots-reluctant: please stop flying about. The job is here. To quote Voltaire: One needs to tend to one’s garden. F— the Middle East.


7. Reality check: the Saudi-Syrian dance is to naught – for now.

It’s about defining who the enemy is for the Arab nation. For Syria, it’s Israel. For the Saudi and Egyptian ruling elite: they would like it to be Iran. But their own people don’t buy that. Besides, Iran is way too smart to let this happen. In the end, Syria will ask that the Saudi ruling elite torpedo the very Hariri tribunal that elite worked so hard (and likely bribed lots of people, including the Russian leadership) to see it come to light. The Saudi ruling elite will ask Arab Syria to at least take some visible and concrete steps to distance itself from Iran. Likely: neither will do either.

8. Reality check: no Arab illusions about the idiots-reluctant.

No one among the Arab elite has any illusion about the United States. Saudi Arabia doesn’t but can’t help things since it is under the military protective umbrella of the United States AKA the Diaspora. But that’s not the only reason. Saudi Arabia’s ruling elite is wide open to international blackmail, with domestic repercussions, by the idiots-reluctant AKA Diaspora. The ruling elite could enact some mild and symbolic reforms to garner the love of the idiots-reluctant AKA Diaspora, as in appointing a woman to a high position. But no one is fooled. The Diaspora controls U.S. foreign policy in the Middle East, tightly. These are not my views. These are the views expounded repeatedly on the pages of the Arab press. ( DELETED SO NOT TO GIVE IDEAS TO THE IDIOTS-RELUCTANT TO MAKE THEM LOOK LESS IDIOTIC. I have to have my fun, too.)

9. Reality check: can Saudi Arabia emulate Arab Qatar? No it can’t.

Saudi Arabia has one outlet and one outlet only: to emulate Arab Qatar. But can it? It likely cannot. The main reason why it cannot emulate Arab Qatar is because the Diaspora would unleash its people against the royals, blackmail the hell out of them. (Hence the hypothesis advanced in this blog that Saudi Arabia has been funding the Israel Lobby in Washington, D.C – paying it protection money under the guise of the “strategic alliance” with Israel.)

[ADDED: In other words, the Saudi royal elite has placed all its eggs in one (American) basket. The Diaspora, knowing that, had/has gone on a campaign to monopolize any and all sources of influence relating to the Arab and Muslim Worlds in the country of the idiots-reluctant. Diaspora nationalists as a consequence had succeeded at forcing the Saudi ruling elite to go through the Diaspora itself to assure that the idiots-reluctant don't unleash against the privileges of the extended royal family -- including the very political system of the Kingdom. The Diaspora nationalists went after the Republican party (and Texas), once a bastion for the Saudis. The Diaspora fused its right wing with that party's Evangelical base, without which base the Republican party would weaken even further. The Saudi royal elite, so reliant on the U.S., found itself without anyone in that country to protect it. It's exposed and at the mercy of the Diaspora nationalists. Hence the "strategic" alliance with Israel.]


[ADDED: This so called strategic alliance has NOTHING to do, absolutely nothing, with Israel's alleged ability to balance Iranian power. Israel CANNOT balance Iranian power. Israel can hardly manage Gaza and the West Bank and south Lebanon and relations with Egypt. Israel can hardly manage itself in its voracious appetite for Palestinian and Syrian Arab land. Thus, to claim that Israel can balance Iranian power is a deception offered to the Arab public, and is borne out of the fear the Saudi royal elite has of Israel's American diaspora. So, in the U.S., on which the Saudi royal elite relies for its country's regional security and for the protection of the royal system of government, the royal elite has no choice but to ally itself to the Diaspora, and likely (highly, very highly) pumps money into the Diaspora's organizations -- the home of the Diaspora nationalists.]

[ADDED: DELETED: writing reflects anger by the author at the spying and attempted intimidation against him by Diaspora nationalists and their Arab informants.]

In short, the Diaspora, in the age of Obama, would hit at the level of democratic rights , civil liberties, women’s rights, and political participation in the Kingdom. And the Saudi ruling elite no longer has the Republican Party to hide behind since, as we learned during the rein of Bandar bin Sultan’s “brother,” the Republican Party cannot do without the Evangelists, and these have been successfully brought into an alliance with the Diaspora -- another fusion, really –-- via the Jewish Right AKA “neo-cons.” For the Saudi ruling elite: Bye, bye old Republican Party. The Saudi ruling elite therefore, by definition if not necessity, lives at the mercy of the Diaspora.

BALD SAMSON TO MALIKI: WE MADE YOU A*!&#?!

For s e n s i t i v e handling. Top Secret.

CONTOURS: BALD SAMSON, AN UGLY BUGGER, A CIA MAN WHO'S SECULAR, A NEW VICE-PRESIDENT, AN IRANIAN FOREIGN MINISTER, AND A BOW-LEGGED GYPSY

THE NEW VICE PRESIDENT

Recently, Vice-President Biden said the U.S. will be placing pressure on the Iraqi government to enact reforms that should further national reconciliation. Meaning: let’s get some anti-Iran Sunni in the Iraqi government before the troops (mostly) depart since, once their number diminishes, the Sunni majority will flock to Iran and Syria. Not to mention that the Sunni World hates us for what the harmful idiots had done (and continue to do) to the Sunni in Iraq and Palestine.

THE UGLY BUGGER AND THE BOW-LEGGED GYPSY

Also recently, Iraqi Prime Minister Maliki, in the presence of the French roving merchant, Nicolas Sarkozi, told Mr. Biden off. He asserted that the days were over when the U.S. could push the Iraqis about. Meaning: we have Iran on our side and Europe is coming around . As a result, the harmful idiots are passe.

A CIA MAN WHO'S SECULAR

Ayad Allawi, the former Shia Baathist who turned on his buddies and became an asset of British and American intelligence, expressed his frustration about the Iraqi government being so sectarian -- so exclusively Shia, so close to Iran. Meaning: what a mistake I made. I’m of a generation that cherished secularism. Yet: I committed treason against my own convictions and sold out for a buck my honor. Should’ve taken that medical degree more seriously.

AN IRANIAN FOREIGN MINISTER

Then, most recently, Manouchehr Mutaki headed a delegation into Baghdad. From there he waxed eloquent about the “wisdom” of the current leadership in Iraq. He said there was no reason to discuss Iraq with the harmful idiots because, well, the security situation has so improved. Finally, he added that the current Iraqi government is able without help to spread security across the country. In other words: no one needs the troops of the harmful idiots. Hurry up; get the hell out. [Added: Mutaki, too, likely wanted to provide assurances to the Maliki government that Iran wouldn't bargain away its governance and shove Saudi-oriented Iraqi Sunni on it to please the harmful idiots.]

BREAKING AN ENCRYPTED PHONE CONFERENCE -- SOME FICTION TO TAKE YOU WHERE THE ACTION IS

Using a couple teenagers, the children of friends, SaudiPolitics has been able to break the encryption and listen in on a conference between Bald Samson and Mr. Maliki. Here’s a verbatim transcript:

“Listen, Maliki: you’d better give those Sunni a larger say in your government, you understand? We need them there to balance all those fucking Iranians you had take over eachc and every single fucking post in the ministries, I’m -- ”

“Hey, hey, hey -- Baldy -- Baldy! Who the fuck do you think you are, talking to me as you would a slave? Can’t your Israel Jewish brain understand that I am the Prime Minister of a sovereign nation? Who the hell do you think you are?”

“Listen ugly bugger, we fucking made you, asshole. Have you forgotten -- ”

“Yeah? Yeah? I fucking made myself, Bald son-of-an-ahbah [bitch, in Arabic.] WHO THE FUCK LET THIS BALDY THROUGH? ALI, MY ASSISTANT, YOU’RE FIRED!”

“Listen, repulsive–looking bugger – ”

“NO, YOU LISTEN; who the fuck do you think you are? You’re no longer the Vice President. What are you? Some fucking oil executive? I only talk to Mr. Obama. I’m not dealing with some rude has-been -- ”

“HAS-BEEN? HAS-BEEN? YOU FUCKING INGRATE! We spent ourselves into national bankruptcy to put you in office you son-of-a-bitch. I should’ve had our CIA lodge a bullet in your fucking Iranian ass -- ”

“If you don’t stop your insults, Baldy, I’ll lodge a bullet in your Allawi’s ass, your CIA man. You’re lucky we let him be involved in politics here. You bark any more and I’m shipping him back to London or sending him to join that other idiot in Crawford.”

“THAT IDIOT? THAT IDIOT? THAT idiot, asshole, put you in office and protected you there. What a fucking mistake we made not dealing with that Saint, the real President, Mr. Saddam Hussein, may OUR God have mercy on his soul. He fucking had people like you under his boot with a gun up your fucking Iranian ass -- ”

“Hey, hey, Baldy. Calm down. Calm down. Neither one of us can afford a stroke. Okay? You’re on blood thinner and I’m on eight different medications. Besides I have the French President here -- ”

“You tell that roving whore, that fucking bow-legged gypsy, to stop snatching contracts away from us. My daughter is in business -- ”

“Bald Samson -- relax -- ”

“I f -- ”

“Baldy: relax. We’ll give your daughter a couple of contracts. Relax. Okay?”

“Okay. A couple of contracts.”

“You bet. Say hello to the Israel Jews around you.”

“The fucking assholes! We would’ve had our boy there and you would've been the gofer you are in one of Tehran’s bazaars -- but for the fucking Jews assuring us that they can make Iraq ours.”

“But I’m here now. It’s over. Too late. The ship has passed. The train has left the station. The fat lady is singing. Three contracts for your daughter and a few for your other proxies. Just relax”

“Define ‘a few’.”

“four --- Okay, six!”

“Alright. Good doing business with you , Mr. Prime Minister. And congratulation on your win in the provincial elections.”

“Thank you, Mr. Vice President.”

NATIVE MERCENARIES

rough draft

Basing his commentary on an article by the Jewish Right’s civilizer of Arabs, Thomas Friedman, Abdel-Bari Atwan, Editor of Al-Quds al-Arabi (Palestinian nationalist, Arab nationalist, Islamic nationalist) bitterly brought up the issue of the new mercenaries. These are Palestinian, but they're funded and trained by a harmful idiot by the name of Keith Dayton. (“[Keith] Dayton’s Palestinian Republic,” www.alquds.co.uk, 2/8/09.)

The harmful idiots (my words, but please feel free to spread them) claim that these troops are meant to spread the state’s control over the state’s borders. But what borders, asks Atwan, and what state? Atwan notes that Dayton escorted the civilizer of Arabs (my words) to the town of Jenine to show off his achievement: the native mercenaries of the no-state. Atwan bitterly refers to Dayton as these troops’ “master.” That the way the civilizer of Arabs described the salute to Dayton by the Second Division of these troops -- that such military salute indicated that these troops followed Dayton’s orders, and not those of any other authority -- referring not-so-implicitly to the asset of the harmful idiots/Israelis, Mahmoud Abbas.

“And it seems that Dayton’s troops have in fact begun to execute their mission so completely,” writes Atwan, referring to the suppression by these native mercenaries (my words) of those who wanted to protest Israel’s attack on Gaza. Atwan contrasted the bahavior of these native mercenaries towards those Palestinians and the respect they give to Israelis. He was referrring to these mercenaries' inaction at the sight of Israeli colonialist settlers attacking Palestinians in al-Khalil around one month ago. He noted that those being attacked had dared ask one of the commanders of these native mercenaries to intervene. His answer was that his orders were not to intervene against Israelis.

That Dayton would focus on the town of Jenine to show off his achcievement is, to Atwan, obvious for its symbolism. Jenine is known for its heroism, writes Atwan. Its refugee camp, only one square kilometer in area, had resisted the attacking Israelis for ten days and had killed 26 of them and wounded 36.

“Therefore, the goal behind the formation of these troops and their ‘fattening’ and the spending of millions of dollars on their training , is not to prepare for the establishment of the Palestinian state, but to prevent such, and to bless the current occupation,” writes Atwan.

“Dayton’s security troops which now count 1600 had been trained in Jordan; they're currently being readied to welcome into their fold another 500 who [currently] are being trained similarly; [these security troops] would have as their task the defense of the [Israeli colonial] settlements, the repression with force of any Palestinian resistance, and to work side-by-side with their Israeli counterpart (...), [to] put an end to [Palestinian] nationalism.”

It seems that the American plan for the West Bank, as revealed by Tony Blair and Gordon Brown, is to raise the standard of living as alleged prelude to establishing the Palestinian state. Benjamin Netanyahu has caught on to this plan and is now campaigning for “the economic peace” with the Palestinians while promising not to return the West Bank and the Joulan to their Arab owners. In other words, Atwan is saying that the American plan for the West Bank is very much the Israeli: to create native mercenaries, pay them well, allegedly raise the standard of living of the Palestinians -- all to wipe out the Palestinian national identity and Palestinian nationalism, and do away with the Arab demand that their land be returned to them.

Atwan pokes bitter fun of the statements by one commander of the native mercenaries -- to the effect that the Palestinians are welcome to protest the attack on Gaza so long as they protest in a civilized manner. Did he mean a la far-away Europeans: to stand in the night and light candles while their brothers in Gaza die. Besides, he notes, how can the Palestinians protest, anyway, at a time when Israeli soldiers are debasing and insulting them daily and the settlers are attacking them.

Atwan concludes:


They want the Palestinian people to become busy with its monthly paycheck, with money coming from donor countries. They want that people to forget its cause. And those who will not accept the contract (paycheck for repressing national feeling) will have to deal with Dayton’s troops including, he warns, the possibility of torture.

“It’s a bleak future that awaits the Palestinian people under the General Dayton and his plans and [the plans of those] who believe in him. What is more depressing yet in our view is the presence of a Palestinian leadership which gives him the space [to execute his plans], and provides him with [the needed] ‘cover of legitimacy’ (...)”

HEADLESS CHICKENS ON A TRAIN THAT HAS LONG LEFT THE STATION

a rough draft.


SUMMARY: The Axis of the Screwed, led by Saudi Arabia, convened a conference in Abu Dhabi recently. The conference likely was a message to President Obama to give them assurances that he would champion an aggressive anti-Iran policy. Or else. That kind of threat worked with Bald Samson in May 2007. Will it work with Mr. Obama?

*********************

Now they have no one to fight for them. And if Hamas goes, they really will have no one.

Egypt had been taken out with Camp David. Arab Iraq was taken out by the Jewish-Evangelist Big Oil politicians of the country that detests Arabs, especially the Sunni. Now they only have Israel left to fight for them – they hope. As if to make sure their suicide is complete, they cheered Israel on to take out Hamas. But Hamas resisted well. Lucky for them Hamas resisted, though they don’t know it. Their hope at one time, when the Jewish-Evangelist Big Oil politicians had ruled, was to have the harmful idiots dominate their region and eliminate any and all Arab opposition groups. Hezbollah (the 1980s; 2006) and Hamas (2009) have dashed that hope. Not that they have adapted to the new reality. They haven't: They’re headless chickens. The Arab Axis of the Screwed (Saudi Arabia-U.A.E.-Egypt) has only money – the Egyptian ruling elite is a beggar member. Israel is an uncertain tool for them, at best. Will this (money and Israel) be enough for them to wipe out all Arab opposition -- their antithesis since it champions non-corruption -- to their rule and to contain Iran?

THEY DREAD IRAN, BUT NOT FOR LONG?

The Iranian threat, to them (as a ruling elite), is multi-faceted:

-- Iran will be impossible to dislodge from Iraq for the foreseeable future. Forget all the U.S. press reports about how great Maliki has done in the provincial elections. These reports are tantamount to “let’s declare victory and depart.” Which is not bad for us in the United States, now that the Jewish Evangelistas, the Federal Reserve, and the bourgeois economists have so bankrupted us. But an Iraq that is close to Iran is yet another Arab country that will make Iran yet more acceptable to the Arab public; yet another bridge to the Sunni public -- the same public who scares the hell out of the ruling elite.

(Meanwhile the harmful idiots, via Kuwait, are banking on the Kurds to restrain Arab Iraq. Consider Masoud Barazani's recent visit to Kuwait where he thanked it for the economic support it had provided his real country – Kurdistan.)

-- Iran as a Shia power is an appealing pole to the Shia in the Arab Gulf. These are treated as second class citizens. For instance, they’re not allowed a real voice, let alone to rule, in a sectarian polity like Bahrain's, where they are a clear majority. (Please understand: I'm not inciting; my hope is to provide parameters to those whose task it is to define policy.)

-- Iran threatens the stature of Saudi Arabia within the Arab and Muslim Worlds and at home (in Saudi Arabia) in three ways:

a. Iran is perceived by the Arab public as having long ago taken on the cause of the Palestinian Arabs, majority Sunni;

b. Iran supports Syria, which gives Arab Syria prominence within the Arab World, lifting it from an impoverished land to a pole that competes with rich Saudi Arabia and Egypt combined;

c. Iran, by its mere presence, gives countries such as Arab Qatar room to maneuver in foreign policy, which gains the Qatar ruling elite tons of legitimacy. (Until, that is, the harmful idiots overturn Shaykh Hamad’s rule when they catch their breath from the financial meltdown and the Iraq fiasco.) That contrast in legitimacy (the Qatar ruling elite as supporter of the Palestinian people, including Hamas, at a time when the Saudi ruling elite is colluding with the atacking Israelis.) It couldn’t be good for the Saudi ruling elite, could it? Another example is Lebanon: Saudi Arabia restricts its financial help to the Hariri team; while Iran floats the entire bankrupt Lebanese state – all of it, not only one team.

But the countries of the Axis of the Screwed can’t seem to catch up with the times.


SUMMIT CONFERENCES AS A WEAPON. NOT

Other than money, the Axis of the Screwed is left with one weapon and one weapon only: summit conferences.

On or about February 3, foreign ministers of nine Arab countries, led by Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, met in Abu Dhabi. Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Jordan, Tunisia, Morocco, Bahrain, and Yemen dispatched their foreign ministers; and so did Mahmoud Abbas.

Absent without explanation were Iraq and Kuwait. Some at the conference told the press that these two had said they would send their foreign ministers to the summit; but they did not. Obviously, the two countries are way too close geographically to Iran and the Abu Dhabi summit was all about containing Iran. Syria was kept out since it’s allied to Iran. Qatar was too, for its support of Hamas, itself supported by Iran. Hamas – well it’s part of the problem for the Axis of the Screwed, isn’t it? Libya wasn’t told at all about the meeting. Oman wasn’t there, but it had been busy mediating between Egypt and Syria.

Bahrain was there. It forever amazes me how Bahrain can get away with being so flagrantly anti-Iranian. (Bahrain is home to the U.S. Fifth Fleet. Maybe that’s why.) Bahrain has a Sunni government ruling a Shia majority. On or about January 30, thousands of Bahrainis took to the streets to protest the illegal naturalization policy of the government. This Sunni government policy is meant to add Sunni to the population to balance the Shia majority. An estimated 12,000 to 20,000 people marched.

STOP NON-ARAB (IRANIAN) INTERFERENCE IN ARAB AFFAIRS

The U.A.E.’s Foreign Minister, Shaykh Abdallah bin Zayid Aal Nahyan, linked the summit to Saudi King Abdallah’s call at the recent Kuwait economic conference, for reconciliation among Arab countries. This statement revealed that (1) Saudi Arabia was in fact the force behind this silly contain-Iran summit; and (2) Saudi Arabia may be changing tracks from inciting Sunni turmoil in Syria to paying off Syria (lovingly) to break its alliance with Iran. Or maybe use both: carrot and stick. The U.A.E.’s foreign minister said that one aim of the conference was to “assure the non-intervention of non-Arab parties [he meant Iran], such intervention [being] unwanted and unnecessary.”

The conference wasn’t really about reconciliation among Arab countries. How could it be with so many of these not present? Besides, that train has long left the station. The conference if anything was yet another asinine effort by Saudi Arabia to rally the troops (a metaphor: to rally those addicted to conferences) to contain Iran.

The U.A.E.’s foreign minister promised yet more meetings of the kind. (Iran is so scared.) He said that these meetings would re-affirm Arab support for the Arab (it’s called Arab, but it’s really Saudi) peace initiative with Israel – something for the Obama Administration to chew on. And that the conferees met and would meet again to affirm their support for Mahmoud Abbas, and for the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO) as the sole and legitimate representative of the Palestinian people. So sad. So desperate. As if Israel is listening to them.

In other words: Saudi Arabia and the U.A.E. want Khalid Mishaal, Hamas, and Syria to know that Saudi Arabia and the U.A.E. will fight to the last drop of oil any attempt by these to form a new organization (alternative to the PLO) to lay claim to the allegiance of the Palestinian people. Hamas (and Syria) have used this threat after they’ve come to be stunned by the not-so-subtle support by Mahmoud Abbas, Saudi Arabia, and the U.A.E. for the Israeli barbaric (really: killing a couple hundred children!) war on Gaza. Consider that there were reports in the opposition press that at least one official within Abbas’s circle had expressed frustration that the Israelis wouldn’t engage Hamas fighters directly so as to extricate Hamas from Gaza..

The Lebanese daily al-Akhbar (Left; close to Hezbollah) said that one source at the Abu Dhabi conference had told it that the conferees had wanted to support Egypt’s efforts in Palestine, which the source said were meant to draw all Palestinian organizations closer once again. The idea, the source had revealed, was to contain Iranian influence since Iran gets quite a lot of mileage from the Palestinian cause. Another goal, that source had revealed, was to pressure Syria to split from Iran.


THAT TRAIN HAD IN FACT LEFT THE STATION. HEADLESS CHICKENS BEHIND THE TIMES: WHY SHOULD HAMAS TRUST THEM? AND WHY WOULD ARAB SYRIA SPLIT FROM A FAITHFUL BACKER – IRAN?

Now that Hamas has stood its ground, the Saudi strategy, it seems, is to try again to re-unite Hamas with the asset of the harmful idiots and their Israelis – Mahmoud Abbas. Not that Hamas isn’t willing to act from under the umbrella of the PLO. But Hamas likely is in a state of shock: how could these so-called Arabs (Abbas, Fateh, and the ruling elite of Saudi Arabia, the U.A.E., and Egypt) hooray as Israel was committing mass murder against their people? (The state of shock likely accounts for Hamas’ paranoid behavior vis-a-vis the distribution of U.N. aid.)

That train has left the station. Hamas should’ve learned not to trust these, and to trust Iran. It’ll work with Fateh and Mahmoud Abbas, but on its terms. For as long as over 600 Israeli checkpoints dot the relatively minute West Bank, Hamas wouldn’t trust Fateh. These Israeli checkpoints are meant against it. They’re meant to keep Abbas alive politically (though imperfectly) while Jordan and the harmful idiots train the CIA-fuunded shock troops for him. Which troops are meant to wipe out Hamas. No. This isn’t the way to deal.

That train has left the station.

Arab Syria isn’t going to trust them either. Can’t they see that Iran has been a faithful supporter of Syria for decades now? That Iran and Russia have kept the Syrian armed forces capable (not to mention Hezbollah's), not like the Saudi armed forces or the Emirati – which exist on paper only, as a way of channeling money about. Syria isn’t the U.A.E.: it can’t allow itself to be defended by a motley of British, French, and American troops. (It’s really the Americans who deter on behalf of the U.A.E. and Saudi Arabia. The British and the French are in it for the ride and for some money. They can hardly defend themselves. Ask the British sailors who in detention were wolfing down Persian food. Do you remember?)

Besides, the French have plans to reduce their military presence overseas, in places like Lebanon, to save money. And the British Foreign Minister recently returned from Afghanistan to allude to the fact that Britain can’t do it alone – that others have to pay up for British military services. (He wasn’t referring to the European cover his country had given the harmful idiots in breaking up Arab Iraq, which exposed those who he wants to have pay for services which wouldn’t have been needed in the first place had his government not assisted in breaking up Arab Iraq.)

Syria is unlikely to let go of the consistent help Iran and Russia offer it. It can’t sit there begging as Egypt for a buck from the Saudi ruling elite. That Saudi elite will explode from within, anyway. For years I’ve heard that there were 6000 Saudi princes. By now, if each had on average six boys (princes) – since they can marry four wives, and more if they divorce so long as they pay – there are likely 36,000 princes soon to be all on the government payroll. Not to mention the princesses who, too, likely are on the payroll, though at a lesser amount. If each prince on average receives $300,000 per year – 36,000 prices will be receiving nearly $11 billion. (I’m not particularly good with numbers; you’d need to crunch up your own.) Add the payroll for the princesses. Consider that each of the six little princes will reproduce like his dad.

Iran is a more reliable ally financially and technologically for Syria. Splitting it from Iran is not a strategy; it’s an illusion.

THE WAY AHEAD

The Arabs of Iraq are uniting to face off with the Kurds, but this time these Arabs of Iraq, Shia- led, aren’t and will not be anti-Iran. (Iran can thank King Abdallah and Bandar bin Sultan and their Jewish-Evangelist politicians of Big Oil for bringing Iraq’s Arabs into Iran’s fold. ) Iran has floated Lebanon financially and , oddly, made it more Arab than ever before. Hezbollah is here to stay; Hamas is here to stay. The Israelis live in a world of daydreams about a Jewish ghetto they’ve romanticized, cleansed of any and all Palestinians. The United States is in no mood for wars against Iran or anyone. The West, China, Russia – all are dreading domestic turmoil. No one has time for asinine contain-Iran policies which the Axis of the Screwed is championing in its conferences.

Iran will wait out Angela Merkel and Nicolas Sarkozi, likely assets of the harmful idiots (and the Israelis for Sarkozi), who should face the same fate as another, Spain's Jose Maria Aznar. What with the financial meltdown and the associated social turmoil to come.

I say they’re going to run.

Run to Tehran and accept it. Like Arab Qatar, they’ll be living under the umbrella of U.S. protection but with close relations with Iran. The best of all worlds. I bet you Israel already has opened channels with Tehran. Why should they be left behind?

So what if they have to give their Shia Arabs some rights? Only us, the U.S., under whose defense umbrella they’ll be living, will have to struggle with our self-image: to be defending pre-historic regimes, such as Bahrain’s, say at a time when the political opposition in like sheikdoms is boiling over. Do we sit idle and watch as these governments we have under our defense umbrella stifle any and all democracy? True, we should be the last to lecture anyone, after the beastly war on an Arab country that has meant us no harm and the devastation we brought onto that country. But here in America, post Crusader, we breathe in a democratic ethos. So it’s unlikely that we would stand for no democracy at all in protectorates made up of Arabs, especially Sunni, who the American public detests. That public will blame the Arab Sunni for not accepting the gorgeous democracy we had brought them by orphaning their children in Iraq. Let alone have American protect them.

It’ll be our dilemma, not theirs.

D.C JAMES AND THE ARAB NATION

rough draft

D.C. James, a friend from the nation’s capital, teaches somewhere in the desert. He wrote to ask me whether I truly believed that Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates were allied to Israel; and whether Qatar supported Hamas.

NOT A QUESTION OF BELIEF

Yes and yes, I wrote back. And it’s not a question of belief. I arrived at the first conclusion based on analysis. I use open sources. I don’t want to embarrass people anymore than I already have. But in one post, “Israel Says Who Would Be (Saudi) King,” I brought out the fact that three of the more important Saudi princes were jockeying about, gesturing to Israel and its Diaspora Boys to get them to the throne. Then, quite later, there was the inclusion of an article by an Israel Lobby Diaspora Boy in the Saudi al-Hayat; then the inclusion on the first page of a major Saudi daily of an Israeli mis-information article about Syria. (Be mindful that I may have missed a lot more pieces of evidence since I don’t access each and every source daily.)

When you’re using open sources, these pieces of evidence are as good as gold. Saudi Arabia will not come out and say, “Hey, we’re allied to Israel.” Nor would the U.A.E. Such would doom them before the (psychologically) conquered Arab nation, including their own people.

About the U.A.E., I wrote to D.C. James that all evidence point to the reality that the U.A.E. has all but leased away its foreign policy to the harmful idiots and to the Diaspora Boys.


TOTAL FUSION BETWEEN THE FOREIGN POLICY INSTITUTIONS OF THE HARMFUL IDIOTS AND THOSE OF ISRAEL

I don’t want to go over things I’ve already covered. But I told D.C. James to be aware that during Crusader’s years, there was total fusion between the foreign policy institutions of the harmful idiots (e.g., the Pentagon, the CIA, State) and those of the Israelis. And signs are that this fusion is going strong in the Obama Administration. Thus: Israel liking you is tantamount to the foreign policy establishment of the harmful idiots falling in love with you. (Hence the jockeying about by the Saudi princes to snatch Israel's approval.) There’s really no American foreign policy in the Middle East. There’s only Israeli foreign policy.

Not that fusion between the two had not existed before. At the risk of over-simplifying, the very occurrence of Lebanon’s civil war and that country’s destruction had been a byproduct of a culture within the land of the harmful idiots of not doing anything that disturbs the feelings of the Israelis AKA Diaspora Boys and their community, cherished as saintly by the wider culture. (It really is an anthropological phenomenon based in the wider culture more than in anything else.) The destruction of Lebanon, and later Iraq, and later (once again) Lebanon in 2006, and later Gaza – these were all product of a culture in the United States that despises Arabs and Arab Muslims.

There’s no question in my mind whatsoever that this culture, especially its political branch, hates Arabs, but especially Sunni Arabs. It does give a break to Christian Arabs if these hate their culture of origin and so state on the record. Which isn’t difficult since as a cargo cult a number of these Christians are pre-disposed to self-hate, anyway. What with wanting to escape the demographic time bomb that is the Arab World to the source countries of the cargo -- the West. (Reproductively, however, self-hate may be rewarding.) But this culture would surprise you in that it loves Iranians (it hates Arabs and especially Arab Sunni, but it LOVES Iranians) and it harbors nearly solemn respect for the Iranian ruling elite -- yet it despises unabashedly the Arab ruling elite.

The Saudi princes can kiss ass as much as they want -- but the fact is that when one of them is featured on television (and I’ve been to two social events where Saudi princes appeared on television) there’s revulsion by the American audience. (I told you to be a Levantine is to be the perfect anthropologist who can do and observe without informants.) No culture respects people who are self-hating. One would want to blame it on September 11. But I think it runs deeper. The Diaspora Boys play an essential role in evolving that hate, especially now that they're drinking from the same cup as the Muslim-hating right-wing Evangelists, having sat in each other's lap. And the co-opting by these Diaspora Boys of Arabs and Arab-Americans, to the point of turning them into self-hating Arabs, didn’t and doesn’t help. But the Diaspora boys have an engine all of their own. And this engine refuses to see any limits to what it can do.

(Watch the Saudi ruling elite run ads in major American newspapers to gain the love of the American public. It’s like the stupid Chevron ads meant to make the public love Chevron. ”Will you join us?” Oh, so caring. “ Will you fucking stop sucking our blood?" is the response these Chevron questions likely solicit among the public. I know, I know, there’s more to the price of oil than Big Oil. Still, Chevron's ad campaign is hilariously stupid. We're the cult of energy, come to us, come to us.)


ARAB QATAR

Arab Qatar is the future.

To begin with, you’d have to be a fool to contest the reality that the Arab Gulf will need to be under the protective umbrella of the harmful idiots. But of all those Gulf Arabs, only Qatar dare tell these that it is Arab first and would not partake in kissing their Diaspora’s ass and that of their Israel. Kuwait’s leaders betrayed the Arab nation (and shot themselves in the foot) when they accepted to work with the harmful idiots to set up Arab Iraq. Saudi Arabia’s King and his main adviser, Mr. Bandar bin Bush, were in on the invasion of Iraq ordered by their relative. The U.A.E. rents away its foreign policy to the Israelis AKA Diaspora Boys. Yemen is patriotic but has no money and is rife with domestic turmoil. Oman would rather that the ocean swallow it and relocate it to a different continent altogether.

Who’s left but Arab Qatar? That it supports Hamas -- so what? Hamas is an Arab political party not an Israeli. That Iran backs Hamas -- so what? It’s the harmful idiots who made Iran what it is today. Why should Arab Qatar and its ruling elite take the lemming plunge by following about idiots who are harmful? Arab Qatar couldn't be unaware that the idiots' public hates Arabs, in particular the Sunni, to the bone, and that the idiots have fused their foreign policy institutions to those of the Israelis. Following blindly behind these harmful idiots AKA Israelis, as the Saudis, the Emiratis, and the Kuwaitis, is for the Qatari ruling elite tantamount to taking the lemming plunge!

My concern, frankly, is that the harmful idiots AKA Diaspora Boys would do something sleazy as arrange to stage a coup d’etat against the current government of Shaykh Hamad. They’re idiot and harmful enough to try it when the time permits. They’d be the last to understand that Arab Qatar not only is the trend for the future, but should be that trend.