THE NEXT PHASE

DRAFT


Retrenchment: REDUCTION; CURTAILMENT; specif: a cutting of expenses

Reactionary: relating to, marked by, or favoring reaction and esp. political reaction.

Reaction: b. tendency toward a former and usu. outmoded political or social order or policy.

Ghetto: 1: a quarter of a city in which Jews were formerly required to live.

Bully: 2.a: a blundering browbeating fellow; esp. one habitually cruel to others weaker than himself. 3. a hired ruffian.

Webster’s New Collegiate Dictionary (1970s?—the edition I used in my college years.)


THE BURDEN, SELF CREATED, OF THE ISRAEL-ANCHORED IDIOTS.

I recently saw a news item about joint maneuvers led by France and joined by Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and other frantic Arab governments. I say “frantic” because these allied governments (not their people) just can’t seem to know what course to take to dodge that feeling of being exposed. Along with France, they scratch away at the litter box.

The power vacuum left after dismembering Arab Iraq is bound to be filled; but by what country or what alliance? Iran and Turkey are the prime candidates but each has its Achilles heel; for Turkey: the Kurdish nation; for Iran: demographics, as a generation is produced so fast after another, hence the opposition, hence the opportunity for the Israel-Anchored Idiots to fund it, I suspect.


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France and England occasionally come into the picture. But their intervention is motivated by trade interests (arms and other government contracts.) They do not possess any (realistic) capability to balance Iranian power. Neither has the extensive global reach the Israel-Anchored Idiots possess.

Conventionally, only the Israel-Anchored Idiots can balance Iranian power. They possess the extensive global military reach necessary to achieve the mission. Add to that that the Israel-Anchored Idiots don’t have a clear-cut Achilles’ heel, such as a Kurdish nation within the American society-at-large. What Muslims they have are too comfortable and happy as Americans, logging in the larger part of their life before a screen of one kind or another. What use can be made of alienated American Muslims hardly destabilizes the polity-at-large—as the Kurdish nation would Turkey. Going postal has limited impact, and young American Muslims heading to Pakistan to wage Jihad is more cause for worry for parents than a threat to the American polity.

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For these reasons, the Israel-Anchored Idiots are the prime candidates to fill in the very power vacuum which they had created. The process, post-dismemberment of Arab Iraq, has found reinvigoration in Arab Yemen. The fact that the ruling elite of the Arab Gulf need the Israel-Anchored Idiots by their side, so badly, is yet another draw. But let’s be clear: For the ruling elite of the Arabian Gulf countries, it’s hardly about balancing Iranian power conventionally. It’s more about defeating Iran as a way of putting the breaks on the Islamic Republic’s influence among their own people - -Iran as the boost for the political opposition in the Gulf, be it Shiite or Sunni, and the Israel-Anchored Idiots as the protectors of the regimes against the opposition.

IRANIAN INFLUENCE TAKES A CIRCUITOUS ROUTE

These ruling elites, it should be clear, wouldn’t be so worried about direct Iranian influence. After all, Iran should least likely want to exert that influence in a direct and forward fashion. That would only alienate the people of the Gulf countries, the very base –now and in the future - - of the opposition. (Maybe, just maybe, I’m giving the Iranians too much credit as smart operators.) But if you consider the Arab nation as one, a nation that happened to have been torn apart by historical circumstance, by Israel-and-its backers, and by division these and oil have caused as to create legions of self-hating Arabs (the oil elite and those on the payroll), then Iranian influence - -the more effective influence - - should reach the Gulf Arabs via such places as Lebanon and Palestine - -and Iraq.

The challenge for the Israel-Anchored Idiots: How to do it? How to balance Iranian influence, especially the one arriving through the circuitous route? You see: The Islamic Republic isn’t about conventional weapons. The damage these would inflict is more in the nature of a deterrent. It’s that Iran is the only true backer of the Palestinian and the Syrian Arabs in a realm where Israel-the-Ghetto-vis-à-vis-the-Muslim-World just won’t budge on colonial expansion of that Ghetto, sinking the Ghetto’s sponsors: the Idiots and the Europeans. Unable to restrain their bully in the heart of the Arab nation - - if anything, secretly harboring support for, and fascination by, that bully/ghetto and putting it to use as they did in Lebanon and in Gaza, similarly to the way I suspect China uses the North Korean bully - - the Sponsors have instead adopted that ghetto’s view. They have resorted to trying to exert “soft power” on the Islamic Republic to change its regime. Without getting into the ultimate serious risks that policy carries (I’ve done that in other posts - -about an engineered Iranian self-disintegration), I would note here that the failure to force the Israelis back to the 1967 borders carries risks that are mind-boggling both to stability in Western Asia and to the American interest of keeping what already is theirs, their property in fee simple - - the Arabian Peninsula.

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For one, note the fact that the Palestinian camps in Lebanon still are a ticking time-bomb. You would think that Syria and Hezbollah would be the ones to rein in these. But neither has interest in alienating the wider Sunni public, the Arab in particular. And why would they want to do the work for the Israel-Anchored Idiots, including the French Ones, anyway? The Israel-Anchored Idiots can supply the Lebanese army with all the weapons in the world. In the end, without Hezbollah’s help, the Lebanese army shouldn’t be able to do it - -to rein in the camps. It can stage a “victory” here-and-there—but the price would be tremendous. Wisdom and economics therefore dictate that it doesn’t even try.

Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia is trying through Syria to tame Iranian influence, hoping to even block it - - the influence that does and will arrive to Saudi Arabia via the circuitous route of Palestine and Lebanon. But Saudi Arabia without an effective professional army (and so owned by Israel’s Boys in Washington, D.C.) can hardly be of help to Syria in returning the Joulan, or pushing Israel back to the 1967 borders - -both essential Syrian interests. Whatever agreement Mr. Asad has reached with the Saudi government on his recent visit there, therefore, wouldn’t be so much about the Levant. (Saudi Arabia already had mostly conceded that to Arab Syria way before Mr. Asad’s visit—not that it had a choice.) It should be more of the nature of providing an “Arab [read: Syrian] cover” to the Saudis (and the Israel-Anchored Idiots coordinating with them) in Arab Yemen. A symbolic cover, no more. The Saudi Ruling Elite accepts that because it direly needs Arab legitimacy. In the eyes of the Arab people, including in particular the Arabs of Yemen, during the rein of Crusader, Bald Samson and the Jewish Boys - -and these are back, Oh Boy!- - that elite had signed off on its Arab identity and had sided in full with Israel and its Jewish American Boys. As a consequence, the Saudi ruling elite now needs Arab Syria to lend it some of that Arab identity that elite had shed, to increase the Saudi Ruling Elite’s effectiveness in Arab Yemen. (Secondarily, Saudi Arabia would need that Arab Syria not intervene in Arab Yemen in any way that would contravene Saudi policy there. Even an Arab Syrian media campaign, no more, against Saudi Arabia in Yemen would make life very difficult for the Saudi Ruling Elite as it would expose its lack of Arab nationalist credentials in a country—Yemen—where these credentials are of the utmost importance.)

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Arab Syria, as cargo cult with salaries to pay, lends the Arab cover to the Saudi Ruling Elite, but only for Arab Yemen. I’m sure Mr. Asad didn’t say it when he was recently in Saudi Arabia - -it’d be too embarrassing - - but the Arab Syrians cannot trust the Saudis for the long term. These, after all, as ruling elite clinging to power, are so fully and unequivocally owned by the Israel-Anchored Idiots and run scared of Israel’s people in Washington, D.C. - - and work with them. (Note their partnership with the Israel Lobby in the polling of the Saudi populace on Iran—see the last post in this blog.) It could be that the Saudis throw tidbits to that Lobby to neutralize it; it could be that both mistrust each other, and likely do. But, in the end, Arab Syria can ill-afford to rely on the Saudi Ruling Elite for any real help against Israel. That Elite belongs to, and is owned by, the Israel-Anchored Idiots, and therefore in part by Israel itself - -they admit it or not.

RETRENCHMENT

Let’s go back to the observation that the Israel-Anchored Idiots don’t have an Achilles’ heel to speak of. That, by the way, isn’t fully true. It’s just that the Israel-Anchored Idiots’ Achilles’ heel isn’t an ethnic group or a sect. It’s the retrenchment that is bound to happen as a result of the financial meltdown. Unless Saudi Arabia and the other Gulf countries are willing and able to foot the bill (which I believe they already are—see prior posts), to the tune of, say, of tens of billions of dollars per year, the Israel-Anchored Idiots shouldn’t have the resources to continue on with spending on the military-in-overseas-campaigns in the Muslim World the way they currently are - -e.g., in Afghanistan and in Pakistan. The bankruptcy of the government is so severe. The steps taken to deal with it have been more in the nature of analgesics to delay the inevitable: radical surgery. The Fed’s policy of reflating the economy to (in part) spike tax collection - - I don’t believe is proving to be medicine enough. So, in essence, what we may end up with is a military campaign in Pakistan and Afghanistan that is funded, likely in full, by the Arab Gulf countries while the federal government effects military retrenchment in other parts of the world to save money.

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I have this strong feeling that the strategists of the state would sooner-than-later be heading to Capitol Hill to help a President (any President) discuss (1) the urgency of retrenchment, (2) the urgency of raising taxes, (3) the urgency of cutting down on social security payments - - and what have you of necessities to save the state-and-the-nation. Mr. Obama wouldn’t be inclined to do it before his next term, if he has one. But if he is re-elected, or someone else is, either would have to pursue a de Gaulle-like Algeria strategy to save nation and state. I don’t think a like policy can be avoided.

The strategists (in the state and in academia) should be expected to move on at least two fronts: that of the policy makers and that of the concentric circles of elite spanning out of urban centers across the country. The idea would be to prepare the country for the coming cuts in spending.

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Retrenchment shouldn’t be expected to affect the ability of the Israel-Anchored Idiots to balance Iranian conventional power. A trip-wire would do. But it’ll take quite a lot of energy to tell the public that the military campaigns in Pakistan and Afghanistan are paid for not by the public but by the Arab Gulf countries. These campaigns, although costy-free, so to speak, might just be emaciated as a result of the public’s ire at cutting its entitlement programs and not the expenditure in Pakistan and Afghanistan. In other words, the Israel-Anchored Idiots may not be able to relay the message to the public convincingly enough that the public is not paying for these military campaigns; or the public may not believe it anyway.

On the unconventional end, the Israel-Anchored Idiots already have lost the war. Their aversion as Christian-Jewish-Israel-Anchored elite to any pride that is Arab/or/Sunni/or/Islamic sinks them, and should continue to sink them in Western Asia and even the Muslim World. As a consequence of this Aversion, they are and should continue to be the reactionary protectors against their own people of what is already theirs: the stodgy and scared (though filthy rich) Arab Gulf ruling elites, and the Israeli bully/ghetto.