PUSHING THE ANALYTICAL ENVELOPE: IS IRAN USING THE LEBANESE AS-SAFIR TO SEND MESSAGES TO SYRIA?

(Rough draft)

Likely I’m pushing the envelope analytically on this one; but what the heck. It’s good exercise to push the envelope analytically. It might serve to generate neurons in the little self-referential brains of the Israel-Anchored Idiots.

IS IRAN NERVOUS ABOUT SYRIA? NEJAD’S STATEMENTS

Iran seems to be getting nervous about the visit (for days!) by Syria’s President to Saudi Arabia. Iranian President Ahmadinejcad, during Mr. Asad’s visit to the Kingdom, fired salvos against the Saudi government. He berated it for using its weapons in Yemen instead of in Gaza. For good measure, if only, Saud al-Faisal fired back. He accused Iran of intervening in Yemen’s internal affairs.

(NOTE: The Saudi Foreign Minister's statement will be picked up by the Israel-Anchored Idiots and blown into a super-urgent crisis. With that, the Israel-Anchored Idiots will move even faster to fill-in the power vacuum left by their dismemberment of Arab Iraq - - in which the Saudi Government played quite a systematic role and which results are now haunting that government. The questions Mr. Faisal will have to answer for himself: Can the Saudi Government withstand the intense political dislocation the move by the Israel-Anchored Idiots into the region - -and his country - - will entail? Or will this move be unavoidable, anyway, for systemic reasons? One thing is sure: Mr. Faisal should not expect the Israel-Anchored Idiots to share the Saudi government’s views on the Shiites. We - - even the Israel-Anchored Idiots amongst us - - are not like that. Nor likely are the Israelis with whose proxies his government works - -see below.)

But that’s not all about Iran’s seeming nervousness.

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IS IRAN NERVOUS ABOUT SYRIA: THE (POSSIBLE) USE OF AS-SAFIR

Iran may be playing the Israel Diaspora-Lobby card - - if only to remind Mr. Asad (and the Saudis) that what’s good for the goose (the Saudis-as-renters of Israel’s Diaspora in the United States) can be good for the gander (Iran can do it, too.)

So, as I was “leafing” through Assafir.com (1/13/10), I ran into this strange article filed by Joe Maacaron (sp.), as-Safir’s reporter in Washington D.C. (As-Safir, a respectable newspaper, is Shiite-led - -Arab nationalist—pro-Iranian and pro-Syrian. It’s by far the best newspaper in Lebanon and the Arab nation - -for now. Al-Akhbar - -the same leanings - - is displacing it as I write.) The article was about some sort of polling of the Saudi populace on Iran - - about the state of the Saudi populace’s thinking on war with Iran, on sanctions. For a while into the article, I couldn’t tell who really was behind that polling - - and Mr. Macaron wasn’t helpful on that. One outfit from “Princeton” had worked on this polling along with an Arab outfit who Maacaron tells us hasn’t revealed its identity (!).

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Then things became a lot clearer. That happened when Mr. Maacaron moved on to interview a “researcher” at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy (WINEP) who had acted as consultant to the pollsters. Bingo: That, to me, cleared up the picture about who was behind the polling: the Israel Lobby - - in a partnership with the Saudi government (see below.)

Further, my best speculative guess hovered in-between these two scenarios:

(1) That the Israel Lobby – in this instance, the Washington Institute on Near East Policy (WINEP) -- is trying (independently) to help the Israel-Anchored Idiots in deciding on sanctions. (Some in the Saudi public like these to be “severe;” so, since we’re democratic-to-the-bone, the world being our oyster and all its people fellow citizens, we should aim to please these Saudi subjects, as our elite circles could now point to that poll to justify intensified interference overseas.)


(2) That WINEP is acting as an arm of the Pentagon. In this scenario, the Pentagon under the Israel-Anchored Idiots, has given the Diaspora institutions the monopoly these demand on anything of substance related to the Arab nation and to the Islamic World. Accordingly, the double-functionaries of WINEP (functionaries of WINEP and the Pentagon), be they de jure or de facto, are keeping the Pentagon one step removed from visibility in Saudi Arabia. In this scenario, involving WINEP likely is the Pentagon’s rather sophomoric way of attending to Israel’s fabricated “existential” fears about Iran.


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Of interest here is that the Saudi government has allowed whoever (be they Israel’s people or Israel’s people on behalf of the Pentagon) to conduct such polling. Realistically (to an analytic certainty) the Saudi Government (the Arab outfit whose identity wouldn’t be revealed to Mr. Maacaron) was partner in this polling with WINEP - - once again: beholden to the Diaspora institutions and accepting of them as the medium to reach the Israel-Anchored American decision-makers - -especially the Pentagon. Worse –for poor us—the Arab polling firm that remained unknown: I would dare say (without any hesitation) that it likely was an arm of the Saudi Government. So: the Saudi Government, via the “scientific” polling of a foreign population that our democracy-imbued elite would blindly treat as American, is using the Diaspora to influence the Pentagon.

What’s relevant to us here is that the reporter of a newspaper that is deemed to be very close to Iran has approached WINEP - - an outfit of the Israel Lobby.

Yet more relevant - - key to my analysis, really - - is that nowhere in his article did Mr. Maacaron reveal that WINEP is part-and-parcel of the Israel Lobby.

IS IRAN NERVOUS ABOUT SYRIA? THE SOFTWARE CONTRACT

Add to that the following: On 1/18/ 2010 almalaf.net (close to the Jordanian government and, through it, likely to our beloved CIA) carried a story from The Jerusalem Post which said that last month the Tehran’s Chamber of Commerce had executed a one-million dollar contract with an Israeli company by the name of DaroNet to purchase internet-management software.

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PUSHING THE ANALYTICAL ENVELOPE

The seeming flirtation by as-Safir with the Washington Institute for Near East Policy may be a message by Iran to Syria that Iran, Hezbollah and the Shiite community in Lebanon are able to change course and open up to Israel should Syria heed advice by Saudi Arabia to sever its strategic alliance with Iran. In other words: we will race you to Tel Aviv.

In other words, too, As-Safir is sending an Iranian message to Arab Syria to complement Nejad’s message when he had criticized Saudi Arabia while Asad was visiting there.

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The said contract by the Tehran Chamber of Commerce with an Israeli company should, too, be interpreted as part of Iran’s nervousness about Syria.

Don’t you forget: In this post, I have pushed the envelope really far.

THE SCRIPT

Why do I say that?

Because the entire thing could have been scripted by some Iranian-Syrian coordinating committee - - including Iran’s purchase of Israeli software, Nejad’s criticism of the Saudi government while Asad was visiting, and including even Mr. Maacaron’s flirtation with the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.