SECOND THOUGHTS ON THE LAST POST ABOUT THE ISRAEL-ANCHORED IDIOTS’ KURDISH TORJAN HORSE INSIDE TURKEY

My little house in Canada
[To which] no one knows the way
Its roof is covered with snow
The field [around it], too
It's surrounded by so many trees
And [it has] so many birds
They land, rest, then fly again
Off the roof of my little house in Canada

...

Around it there's a huge expanse
[My little house] doesn't have a lock
[Yet] I'm not concerned

Fairouz song. (My translation from Arabic.)


Draft.

The following is in the nature of thinking-out-loud - - of talking-to-oneself.

It occurred to me that the Kurdish Trojan horse inside Turkey is getting a boost from the influence the Kurdish warlords have in Plantation Iraq. This influence gains its zest from ethnic-exclusivity nationalism (Kurdish) and from the success of that nationalism in dismembering Arab(non-exclusive Arab nationalism)Iraq by allying itself to Israel and the Israel-Anchored Idiots. This influence should translate into the ability to block Turkey from drawing closer to China, since China would need the Kurdish warlords for oil contracts inside Plantation Iraq. Right? Yes and no. China has Iran and Iran’s influence inside Plantation Iraq as insurance policy for the oil in Plantation Iraq. Still, the Kurdish warlords should be China’s second such policy since they carry so much influence in the Plantation, having conquered the Arabs of Iraq who once had controlled that oil. But the insurance provided by the two warlords (Barazani and Talabani) will never be reliable since the allegiance of these is to the Israel-Anchored Idiots--and likely still to Israel.

Another reason that stands in the way of an alliance between Turkey and China: China should be nervous about Turkey and Turkish ethnic-religious influence over the Chinese Muslims of the autonomous region of Xinjiang, particularly the Turkic people among them. Ditto for Central Asia.

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(It’s always funny to me when I think about the fact that the Idiots are fighting wars in Muslim lands for the benefit of Russia and China. The late Gary Larson, please come back. After all these years, it finally occurred to me - -I’m slow, Mr. Larson: I now know who inspired your genius. You lived among idiots.)

The calculus is complicated. If, for instance, Turkey deems that its influence in Xinjiang would, in the end, hit a wall, then Turkey should be expected not to exercise it. But the Israel-Anchored Idiots may want Turkey to exercise that influence in exchange for IMF loans and other goodies. The Turkish ruling elite, if willing, would have to decide on the size of the loans from the IMF and whether they can get a better deal from China.

IF TURKEY V. CHINA

If Turkey opts to go solely the way of the IMF/Israel-Anchored Idiots, and use its influence in Xinjiang and Central Asia against the PRC, then China would need to respond. Ideally, it’ll have a Trojan horse inside Turkish society, other than the non-threatening Alevis. It’ll be difficult for China since the Kurdish warlords already are taken, so to speak, what with the doors of the White House wide open to them. In other words, China would need to evolve a Kurdish Trojan horse of its own inside Turkey, independent of the two Warlords, since it can’t lay any claim to these—both of these having been recruited by the Israel-Anchored Idiots. The PKK route is blocked since the neighboring countries have colluded with Turkey to emaciate these.

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China therefore by necessity would have to play Kurdish politics. It’ll likely do that by funding the Kurdish opposition (e.g., the Movement for Change.) The people of the Kurdish warlords being eminently corrupt, China then would have to fund whoever plays up this angle—not so much to gain influence inside the Independent Country of Kurdistan, but to use what influence it can muster there to reach into Turkey and counter Turkey’s use of its ethno-religious make-up against the PRC in Xinjiang and Central Asia. Admittedly, using the Kurdish opposition is a long-term project and, for now, hardly compares to the power the Israel-Anchored Idiots have in their ownership of Kurdish nationalism. With that ownership, the Israel-Anchored Idiots hold a fat stick against the Turks’ ruling elite. Not so for China.

Still, China can take the direct route and fund the Kurdish nation within Turkey. But that entails owning a network within Turkey which I doubt the Chinese have. The indirect route, therefore, looks best.


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In essence, therefore, China would be mostly helpless against Turkey should Turkey go the route of the Israel-Anchored Idiots and their IMF. Not fully. China has the Islamic Republic card, a precious card for oil and when it comes to countering Turkey’s putative Islamic influence in Xinjiang and Central Asia. The Iranian card isn’t fully Shia, as Iran has allied itself to Arab nationalism (Syria, Hezbollah, and Hamas.) In this scenario, China would need to prod the Islamic Republic to foray further and deeper into Sunni-based movements and draft semi-solid coalitions with these—if only to help China counter Turkey. In short: Yet another reason (other than oil) for China to latch on to what it has: Iran and what alliances and coalitions Iran can muster for itself - - and for China’s benefit.

TURKEY V. KURDISH NATIONALISM

Turkey can try to see Kurdish nationalism, as freely expressed in the Independent Country of Kurdistan, as friendly nationalism. It’s already doing that. Turkey therefore would continue to dispatch its foreign minister there, and Mr. Erdogan can go there with 200,000 Turkish businesspeople to assure that that nationalism doesn’t spill over to the that part of the Kurdish nation within his country. To absorb the Independent Country of Kurdistan, so to speak, instead of the other-way-around. It could work. But no one has said that nationalism - - any nationalism - - is a logical and rational force. The competition between the two warlords, the High Corruption of their people, and the necessary and unavoidable unwavering of all (the two warlords and likely the opposition) when it comes to Kirkuk and to damming the water away from Plantation Iraq - - all of this while being tasked by the Israel-Anchored Idiots to remain involved in Iraqi politics to boost the Idiots’ chances for the Plantation’s oil - - these contradictions may transpire/resolve themselves into yet more pronounced and extremist nationalism - - a la Israel. That extremist nationalism might (just might) spill over into the part of the Kurdish nation found in Turkey. Farfetched, I admit; but possible.


TURKEY V. KURDISH NATIONALISM - - IF AN IRANIAN CIVIL WAR

Kurdish nationalism for now is contained, self-contained. Turkey can relax. But that nationalism is a potent force. It could erupt yet more potent (spilling over into Turkey) should the balance of power in the region be disturbed any more than it already had. Say a civil war erupts in Iran, for instance, under the pressure of the demographic time-bomb AKA opposition. Say the Israel-Anchored Idiots heed the call of the Washington Post and support (read: fund) the Iranian opposition. (They’re doing that already. National Security Advisor James Jones’ last statements about Iran retaliating via Hezbollah and Hamas seem to be part of a strategy to raise tension on the 31st anniversary of the Islamic revolution to prod the Iranian opposition to engage the government and de-stabilize it.) Say, again, if a civil war: The Kurdish Warlords are bound to claim their Kurds in Iran and the territory where these predominate inside that country. It’ll only be natural. It’s ethnicity-based nationalism, one ethnicity in search of a state. That state already exists in northern Iraq. The part of the Kurdish nation in Turkey couldn’t be expected not to celebrate - - and will likely send volunteers to Kurdish Iran to help complete the task. Turkey then would have to re-think the idea that Kurdish nationalism is contained. This scenario isn’t farfetched, especially that mainstream Israel-Anchored newspapers as the Washington Post are pushing for one essential element of it.


TURKEY V. THE ISRAEL-ANCHORED IDIOTS

Suppose that the Turkish ruling elite go China’s way - - China having replaced the IMF - - at a time (now) when the Israel-Anchored Idiots are raising the tempo of confrontation with China (e.g., the recent multi-billion-dollar arms sale to Taiwan.) If the Israel-Anchored Idiots in retaliation activate their Kurdish Trojan horse inside Turkey, then it’ll be outright war between the Turkish armed forces and the Independent Country of Kurdistan. To pre-empt this war, the two Warlords of Kurdistan would have to be quite cautious about the use the Israel-Anchored Idiots make of them. In other words, the two Warlords shouldn’t be expected to let it happen - - be used as a Trojan horse by the Israel-Anchored Idiots against Turkey. War with Turkey hardly is an afternoon outing on the Promenade des Anglais. It’ll set them back a few decades and would threaten their conquest of Arab Iraq. Here, we find out that Turkey does after all have a modicum of freedom vis-à-vis the Israel-Anchored Idiots even if Turkey goes the way of China. (Concomitantly, we discover that the Israel-Anchored Idiots have severe limitations in their ability to use the Kurdish Trojan horse inside Turkey.) The question for Turkey: Would the benefits obtained from China surpass those obtained from the IMF? The other question: Can the Turkish ruling elite siphon off both?


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But this scenario assumes the ability on the part of the two Kurdish Warlords to resist the pressure by Israel and its Israel-Anchored Idiots. In this scenario, should the two Warlords refuse to activate the Trojan horse on behalf of the Israel-Anchored Idiots, they can expect a reduction - - maybe even a cutoff—of payoff money which they now likely receive from these. In addition, they may see an evaporation of “investment” money by the United Arab Emirates - - money that is really indirect payoffs by the Israel-Anchored Idiots. Too, if the Israel-Anchored Idiots had done their homework, they would have the ability to exercise pressure by shifting support to others within the Independent Country of Kurdistan. All of this by way of saying that the two Kurdish Warlords may have no choice but to heed the orders from the Israel-Anchored Idiots. It’ll be suicidal, since they should expect to be crushed by the Turkish military since they are landlocked and hardly anyone around their fiefdom has any sympathy for them - - and Israel is too far. They won’t disappear since there’ll always be the mountains.

BY WAY OF CONCLUDING

My tentative conclusion: all actors (except for Iran-under-siege and the Israel Idiots wanting to strangulate it) have to be super cautious about disturbing the current state of affairs, though Turkey still would have to decide whether it can live with the Kurdish Trojan horse breathing down its neck or regain the initiative against it. To regain the initiative now, or wait until Kurdish nationalism inflames further. For now, Turkey can live with this self-contained nationalism. An Iranian civil war, however, should inflame Kurdish nationalism, outside and inside Turkey. This Trojan horse - - and the fear of inflamed Kurdish nationalism - - logically should bring the Turkish secular military and the Islamists closer together. Then it might not. Aside from loving power and being Israel-leaning, no one has ever said that the military anywhere, including the Israel-liking Turkish, are politically smart people.

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In the meanwhile, the two destabilizing actors in the region, the Israel-Anchored Idiots (offense, for now) and the Iranians (defense, for now), try to work out a modus operandi as they face-off with each other in the Gulf and its surroundings.