SAUDI ARABIA DRAWS A LINE IN THE IRAQI SAND - - AGAINST IRAN

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Ce pays nous ennuie

Baudelaire

According to a Syrian press source, Saudi Arabia has poured around one billion dollars into the Allawi Iraqiyya coalition in the recent elections in Iraq.

The idea, of course, was/is to contain Iran in the hope of defeating it at the propitious time, putting to use the troops of the Israel-Anchored Idiots. In the past, the Saudi ruling elite had put to use Arab Iraq’s troops to achieve the same.

Iran is and will face the following problems in meeting the Saudi challenge:

(1) Iran could defeat any coalition Allawi can hammer together if Iran is able to force unity onto the Shiites: the State of Law (Maliki, who now should’ve become more realistic about his prowess vis-à-vis Iran, and his standing vis-à-vis Saudi Arabia which has pumped so much money against him) and the Iraqi National Alliance. Together these two should amount to 159 deputies, 4 deputies short of the 163 majority. But there seems to be quite a lot of stubbornness on the part of all. Maliki, for instance, still insists on the Premiership while Sadr is opposed to Malki remaining in that office. Iran will be using a lot of arm twisting.

(2) Saudi Arabia has pumped so much money into Iraq, the Arab Sunnis in particular, and into Syria, that Iran isn’t being able to collect on Iraqi Arab Sunni revanchism against the Saudi ruling elite, who likely are coordinating with the Israel-Anchored Idiots.

In other words, Iran has proven unable to take advantage of the fact that the Arab Sunnis of Iraq couldn’t but be aware that the Saudi ruling elite had put to use the Idiots’ troops to defeat them. That Bandar bin Sultan and King Abdallah of Saudi Arabia had partnered with Israel’s Diaspora Boys, Crusader, and Bald Samson to dismember their country and make them eat shit. Saudi money has vitiated revanchism - -for now. Instead of Israel Boys’ shit, the Iraqi Arab Sunnis are swimming in Saudi money. The volume of money the Saudi ruling elite is pumping into the Arab Sunnis of Iraq –-e.g., the Sons of Iraq - - must be so huge that revanchism is nowhere in evidence. The participation of the Arab Sunnis in this latest election, by backing Allawi, indicates that they’re still mobilized against Iran and not against the Saudi ruling elite. It helps that feeling that the Shiite state in Plantation Iraq had been sectarian to the bone.

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With the Arab Sunnis of Iraq having “forgiven” the Saudi ruling elite the devastation of them and their country by those elite’s Diaspora Boys partners, Saudi Arabia had stolen away from Iran droves of Arab Sunnis. But for the money, these (the droves of Iraqi Arab Sunnis) would’ve been in Tehran planning their revenge, as part of a new Iraqi state, against the Saudi ruling elite

(3) It’s unclear where Arab Syria stands. We can speculate safely that the Saudi ruling elite has paid it off. Likely handsomely. What I’m not sure about is whether Syria was paid off to actively help out the Saudi ticket (Allawi’s), or to simply remain neutral. There were two major bombings –Black Wednesday and Black Sunday - - , pre-election, meant to emaciate Maliki. In one, it looked like both Iran and Syria were involved; in the other: Syria mainly, but likely Iran, too.

I had assessed then that the Iraqi-Baath-in-Syria did these bombings with the help of the Ammar al-Hakim (Iranian-backed) people. About Iran’s involvement: Maliki had gotten it into his head that he could ignore Iran. Delusions of grandieur. So Iran (the Ammar Hakim people) had an interest in clipping his wings, so to speak. They have.

What about Syria? Did it catalyze the two bombings to help out Allawi - - to help out the man who is perceived to be connected to British intelligence, and now to Saudi intelligence? Wouldn’t that threaten Syria’s relationship to Iran?

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As I’ve maintained in at least one earlier post: All Iran can hope for from Syria is that Syria remains supportive of Hezbollah. And Syria is; Arab Syria measures its relationships with the parties in Plantation Lebanon using a support-of-the-resistance yardstick.

Otherwise: could it be that Syria now is in full alliance with Saudi Arabia in Iraq? It certainly seems so. But it could be, too, that Syria’s involvement on behalf of the Saudi ruling elite in Iraq is event-specific. Residing in Syria is the Iraqi Baathist state. That state needs to make salaries. It could be therefore that an event such as Black Sunday would net that state (in partnership with Arab Syria), say, $500 million. Black Wednesday: say, another $700 million.

(4) Iran’s failure to secure the allegiance of at least half of the Iraqi Arab Sunnis, for the knowledge these have that the Saudi ruling elite had played such a critical part in their destruction, is due to (a) Saudi money; (b) Syria’s absorption (so to speak), on behalf of the Saudi ruling elite, of Iraqi Arab revanchism; and (c) the Saudi ruling elite having successfully deflected revanchism against it onto Iran by constantly keeping Iran on the defensive (and therefore strictly Shiite) inside Plantation Iraq. Likely this was and is the goal of the Saudi ruling elite: To keep Iran strictly Shiite, and unable to cross over into the Arab Sunni population of Iraq - -or anywhere else within the Arab nation, except for Gaza. But, as I’ve maintained in the prior post: Palestine is emaciated; it happened when the Israel-Anchored Idiots purchased Fateh. Israel is pitted not against the Palestinians (who are now a full protectorate) but against the Israel-Anchored Idiots themselves!

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Laughingly for such a cunning team, Iran is fighting the wrong war. Iran can’t get past its inexpensive investment in Gaza. The Iranian team seems not to be able to get over the mantra that its cheap Gaza investment would always carry the day in protecting Iran’s popularity among the Arab public. Here, the Saudi ruling elite proved more cunning; they had caught on to the substantiality of the Iraqi Arab Sunnis, and not the purchased Palestinians, in determining whether Iran can remain popular among the Arab public, or not. The Saudi ruling elite, it seems, are determined to purchase the Iraqi Arab Sunnis, come what may, to ward off harm (revanchism) and for the benefit-to-their image as not-the- lackeys they are of Israel’s Boys and the Israel Anchored Idiots. The test for Iran therefore is found in the Arab Sunnis next door. And here: the Saudi ruling elite had beaten the Iranians hands down.

THE CURRENT CHALLENGE FOR IRAN AND FOR THE IRAQI ARAB SUNNI COMMUNITY: HOW AND WHEN TO GET TOGETHER

The latest elections in Iraq have shown how creative the Saudi ruling elite have been in cornering Iran in Iraq. True, those elite have the means - -the amazing oil surpluses that Crusader and Bald Samson had given them by refusing to tax energy; only to turn around and borrow some of that money from them to keep up with illusory goals in Israel-Anchored foreign military forays. But these situations are fluid until such time that they’re not any longer. In the situation at hand, all indications are that Iran has failed to forge significant inroads into the Iraqi Arab Sunni community. This failure in good part is related to another failure, that of Iran not reining in the amazing sectarianism of the Shiite State. But could it have? Likely not, since if it had tried to rein in that sectarianism, it likely would’ve lost what control it had over the Shiite state and weakened the Shiite realm which is protecting it. Iran has locked itself into the Shiite box. The Saudi ruling elite’s job has been made that much easier.

But one lesson Iran likely had learned from the Maliki era is that even a thoroughly sectarian Shiite politician - -Maliki - -can nurse delusions of grandieur and become rebellious against Iran. The reverse of this is that Maliki, too, has learned that Saudi money can eat away at his ambitions to become the new Saddam Hussein of Plantation Iraq. The Saudis have gone after Maliki as they would a petty Shiite politician, no more. And he had lost Iran, too. He now should know where he stands in the eyes of the Gulf Arab ruling elites- - as should other Shiite politicians.

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Iran now is back to square one, so to speak. It needs to re-weld the Shiite shield within Plantation Iraq. It likely has learned that it needs within the Shiite bloc forces that would open up to the Iraqi Arab Sunni revanchists. These forces need to reel in these revanchists into the Iraqi state apparatus; Iran, too, will have to nurse them and pay them off handsomely to split the Arab Iraqi Sunni Street and grab its share of it.

This would be a tall order. For now Iran (and Saudi Arabia) should continue to fuel the low-intensity civil war within the Iraqi Arab Sunni community. Plantation Iraq should end up with Saudi proxies - - while bombing Shiite civilians - - fighting Iranian proxies, all Arab Sunni. But this condition hardly would shield Iran’s lungs - - Plantation Iraq, if only because the Shiite realm within Plantation Iraq should forever be difficult to control. Add to that that the Arab Sunnis have become the Saudi ruling elite’s means to keep Iran preoccupied in Iraq.

But these same Sunnis could, too, become Iran’s Trojan horse to penetrate the very Sunni population of Saudi Arabia itself. Iran has to choose. It needs a new formula.

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Iran likely may have learned that it might have to shed the illusion that it can leave the Iraqi Arab Sunnis to Syria. It might be that Iran has shown understanding towards Arab Syria in the cooperation of the latter with the Saudi ruling elite - - “Go ahead, sister; make what Huge Money you can from those Israel-Anchored (Saudi) so-called Muslims.” But the recent election results likely should have awakened the Iranians to the fact that coordination with Syria on the Iraqi Arab Sunnis should be tighter, not looser. Iran is aware that Syria would be a fool to see in Iraq a Saudi-leaning state - - which will not happen, anyway, and maybe that’s why Syria feels free to “fool around” with the Saudi ruling elite under the very eyes of its Iranian ally. This putative Iraqi pro-Saudi state couldn’t be trusted as strategic depth for Arab Syria. Still, Syria would be less amenable to cooperate with Iran –and would lean towards accepting a larger alliance with Saudi Arabia - -if Iran can’t control and buttress it own Shiite realm in Iraq. All forces, it seems, lobby for keeping Iran in the Shiite box, even Syria. One therefore should expect the Iranians to be direly searching for a new formula to bust out.

In the end, therefore, Iran should be able to go on the offensive from its Shiite realm, and not from anywhere else (e.g., via Arab Syria or Gaza.) It would be Iran’s task first-and-foremost to assure that the Iraqi part of the Shiite realm doesn’t cave in to anyone. And it would be from that realm that Iran would have to labor to grab a part of the Iraqi Arab Sunnis, with or without Syria’s assistance. Here, Iran might have to limit itself to the Iraqi Arab Sunnis inside Iraq, not the Iraqi Baathist state residing in Syria, which should increasingly become less meaningful, anyway, if only because it’s residing outside of its part of the Arab nation.

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It’s difficult for me to accept as a given that the Iraqi Baathist state residing in Syria would trust the Saudi ruling elite and would work with them for the long haul. After all, it is that same Saudi elite - -and its reflection in Kuwait—that entrapped the Baathist state on behalf of the Israel-Anchored Idiots and made the Iraqi Arab Sunnis eat Diaspora Boy’s shit. I could be wrong. To my thinking, I can’t conceive that the Iraqi Baathist state hasn’t learned a couple of important lessons from the recent past: (1) that Arab nationalism can be quite dumb when it comes to the aid of fellow “Arabs” (the eight-year war with Iran meant in good part to defend the Saudi, Kuwaiti, and other Israel-Diaspora-Anchored Gulf ruling elite), or ally itself to them; that these cower at the sight of Israel’s Diaspora Boys, would screw you any time the Israel-Anchored Idiots order them, or on their own, and would see you hang in your own Arab capital - - while farting away money and privileges; (2) that there exists an opportunity now for that Iraqi Baathist state to take advantage of Iran’s availability, directly or through Arab Syria, to hammer together an agreement to return them to power as partners with the Shiites and Iran. Before it’s too late, that is. It could be that the Iraqi Baathist state residing in Syria, as revanchist, may prove to be more faithful to Iran than the Shiites themselves.

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But it could be, too, that the Iraqi Baathist state residing in Syria is so penniless that it no longer has any independent say. It has become a tool for Arab Syria and, through Syria, for the Saudi ruling elite, no more. This is more likely what’s going on than anything else. There will come a time, sooner-than-later, when that state would melt away unless Iran accepts it back in Plantation Iraq, trusting in its revanchist credentials, if any are left.

WAITING FOR A NEW GENERATION OF IRAQI ARAB SUNNIS

Most likely, however, It could be that the revanchists who will open up to Iran and work with it would be a new generation of Arab Iraqi Sunni nationalists who aren’t beholden to Arab Syria. Maybe the learning curve in these matters, after all, is generational. Whatever the future holds for the Arab Sunni minority in Iraq, which own “brothers” (the ruling elites of Kuwait and Saudi Arabia) had done it in, that future must account for Iran (whatever its hue) as friend, even an ally, and not as enemy. The Iraqi Arab Sunni minority already has fought its last war for the fat ruling elite of Kuwait and Saudi Arabia and on behalf of the Israel-Anchored Idiots - -just as the Christian community in Lebanon had fought its last war for Israel and its Idiots. The Arab Sunni minority of Iraq can go nowhere fighting Iran for a Saudi or a Kuwait buck, as the Baathist state residing in Syria currently seems to be doing. I would think that it’d be high for that minority to look after itself.

I’m confident it will.